Why there’s unlikely to be a rally-round-Trump effect from his illness: It’s one thing to get struck by lightning; it’s another if you were standing on the roof of the White House with your 7-iron raised to the sky, screaming, “It’s only drizzling!”
BREAKING: Nearly 3 out of every 4 Americans doubt that Pres. Trump took the threat that COVID-19 posed to his well-being seriously, nor the steps necessary to avoid contracting virus, according to a new
@ABC
News/Ipsos poll.
The
@AP
calls it for Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards. It’s the second gubernatorial victory for Democrats in a red state this month and comes after President Trump campaigned in the state twice in the final 11 days of the race.
What should Trump do next?
There is 12% of the country, and a fifth of Trump's 2020 voters, that want Trump to fight to retake the presidency right now, before the next election.
"The only reason you would divest CNN would be to kowtow to the president because he doesn't like the coverage," one source said. "It would send a chilling message to every news organization in the country."
Alaska Gov. Bill Walker (I) is dropping out of his reelection race (
#AKGOV
) and endorsing former Sen. Mark Begich (D) over Republican Mike Dunleavy.
Walker: "In the time remaining, it has become clear we cannot win a three-way race."
@AP
Edwards in his victory speech: "Our shared love for Louisiana is always more important than the partisan differences that sometimes divide us. And as for the president: God bless his heart."
NEW: Leading Republicans, including some who’ve stood by Trump, say: enough
@GovChristie
urges Republicans to “separate message from messenger” because: “I don’t think the messenger can recover from yesterday.”
w
@alexburnsNYT
>
This is like an alternate universe. And Rod Blagojevich wasn't popular. He had a 13 percent approval rating in Illinois -- before he tried to sell a two-year Senate appointment.
Blagojevich’s wife goes on one of Trump’s favorite shows to describe how hard his imprisonment has been on their kids. Judge Jeanine says Blago was popular and just doing “politics” when he tried to sell a Senate seat for personal gain. Audience of ONE
The
@uscensusbureau
says it has agreed not to release apportionment data or non-citizen counts until after the “change of Administration” on Jan. 20.
The takeaway: Trump’s plans to exclude undocumented immigrants is dead. Read
@ZachMontellaro
—>
According to the State Board of Elections website, Klacik got fewer votes than Mfume in all three categories she said she won: in-person Election Day voting, in-person early voting, and ballots cast by mail, previously called absentee ballots.
Not a small thing. 👇
PHILADELPHIA (AP) — Civil rights lawyer Larry Krasner, who wants to combat justice system inequalities, is elected Philly’s top prosecutor.
Is there a bigger scam in the automotive world than the "Check Engine" light?
"Something's wrong, but we're not going to tell you what it is. Good luck, sucker!"
Inbox, from
@NCSBE
: "The N.C. State Board of Elections anticipates that the results reported by the end of election night will include 97 percent or more of all ballots cast in North Carolina in the 2020 general election."
New
@AP
call: D.C. voters have voted to approve Initiative 77, a ballot measure that will require employers to pay tipped employees, like waiters and bartenders, the same minimum wage as other workers.
Virginia, with all of the massive amount of defense and other work I brought to you, and with everything planned, go out and vote Republican today. I know the Dems are saying that they have your vote locked up, but that would mean a long slide down. VOTE REPUBLICAN TODAY!
House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Nov. 12: “So the only thing I would ask for you in the press — these are new members. Give them an opportunity before you claim what you believe they have done and what they will do.”
GOP Sen. David Perdue's vote share in Georgia is down to 50.1% as predominantly Democratic votes are added to the statewide tally. That's only barely above the majority threshold to avoid a Jan. 5 runoff with Democrat Jon Ossoff.
#GASEN
#DCsBravest
responded to an outside fire in the 100 block of H St SE that has been extinguished. There were no injuries. This accounts for smoke that many have seen.
Good reminder from
@JohnKingCNN
about tonight’s vote count: Trump led Georgia by 9 points at midnight ET on election night. Expect the Rs to jump out to leads tonight — and make sure you have plenty of coffee.
BREAKING: Joe Biden leads Pres. Trump 54-45% among likely voters in Pennsylvania, new
@ABC
News/WaPo poll finds, thanks in large part to a 2-1 lead in the Philadelphia suburbs.
Election Day weather forecast: Great!
Outside of the Pacific NW (where folks vote by mail), basically no rain/snow is in the forecast across the entire country. That means voters waiting in pandemic-mandated lines outside polling places should stay dry, if maybe a little chilly.
By a more-than-two-to-one margin, *Texas Democratic voters* would rather see Beto O'Rourke run against John Cornyn (
#TXSEN
) in 2020 than continue his presidential campaign.
New
@QuinnipiacPoll
:
Two more Democratic wins in New Hampshire. It wasn't a national election — but if there was one, it would have been a wave. It's a long way to 2018, though.
Some interesting trivia: With the new
@foxnewspoll
just out, Seth Moulton has now registered 0% in *all* of the 38 qualifying polls being used by the
@DNC
for debate eligibility.
Inbox: The
@foxnewspoll
survey that showed President Trump's approval rating ticking up to 48% (equaling a high-water mark set early in his adminstration) also shows Joe Biden leading Trump by 9 points among registered voters, 49-40%.
🚨 from NRSC Chair Cory Gardner:
Roy Moore is "unfit to serve in the United States Senate and he should not run for office. If he refuses to withdraw and wins, the Senate should vote to expel him, because he does not meet the ethical and moral requirements of the ... Senate."
Whoa! Lots of new Senate polls, all within the margin of error.
Arizona: Sinema (D) 47-44
Indiana: Braun (R) 45-43
Missouri: McCaskill (D) 44-41
North Dakota: Cramer (R) 48-44
Tennessee: Blackburn (R) 47-44
The world will little note nor long remember the ~12 hours when it was thought the president might show up at Pa. state Senate Republicans' press event.
Feinstein's death means, for the second cycle in a row, Californians will vote 4 times next year for the same Senate seat: in the special election primary, the general election primary, the special general election and the general election for a full term.
I am seriously considering boycotting October 15 debate to bring attention to DNC/corporate media’s effort to rig 2020 primary. Not against Bernie this time, but against voters in early states Iowa, New Hampshire, South… -->
A 9NEWS and survey of Colorado voters shows that former Gov. Hickenlooper is still the favorite to take on incumbent Sen. Gardner in the November election
#CoPolitics
.
If you took the time between the scheduling of this press call and its cancellation (27 minutes) and multiplied it by 5,000, it would still not equal the current 146,000-vote difference in Michigan between Trump and Joe Biden.
The Trump campaign announced a 3 p.m. press call on "the campaign's legal efforts in Michigan" at 2:32 p.m. and postponed it (without setting a new time) at 2:59 p.m.
Important subtext here: While there will be a lectern for Gabbard at next week's debate, she is struggling to meet the DNC's slightly higher threshold for the 5th debate on 11/20. She's 0-for-12 on polls so far, though she has a month-plus left to make it.
Nehls' district went from Trump +1 to Trump +16 in redistricting, as Republicans gerrymandered Texas' map to shore up all the suburban seats that had gotten competitive as voters realigned and the state inched bluer
Good insight into the congressional incentive structure, via pics from two joint sessions three years apart
Nehls in ‘21, newly elected and asking to work w Biden on criminal justice
Nehls in ‘24, wearing a Trump mug shot t-shirt
It's pretty clear that we've arrived at the scenario a lot of folks feared: A very close Electoral College race has come down to a number of states where the count is proceeding in a way that overstates the president's vote share compared to a complete tally, which he could lose.
New
@ABC
/
@PostPolls
survey: Majority holds President Trump and congressional Republicans mainly responsible for the government shutdown, and only a quarter back Trump’s claim that there’s a crisis at the southern border