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NFLPlayoffScenarios

@NFLScenarios

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NFL tiebreaking expert. Protégé of the great @JoeNFL . /u/NFLPlayoffScenarios on reddit. All posts can be found on /r/NFLPlayoffScenarios.

Joined October 2016
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
4 years
And now for some really exciting news: I have launched (with massive help from @RayLehnhoff ) the new NFL Playoff Scenarios website! All the latest scenarios (and eventually historical scenarios) can now be found at
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Why have I been radio silent all day? This might have something to do with it:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
Here are your clinching scenarios for week 16:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
With 271 games in the books, it is time for me to sign off. Before I do, though, I want to acknowledge the people that help me do what I do.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
DAL will clinch the NFC East in week 16 with: 1) DAL win/tie 2) PHI loss/tie 3) 1.5 or more combined wins from (LV, JAX, LAC, NE, MIN, ATL)
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
Enjoy the playoffs everyone, and I'll be back in November!
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
What to watch for in the early slate: 1) CAR is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss 2) NYG is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss 3) ARI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
4 years
And we finally have the full KC scenarios! And you thought the TEN scenario last week was complicated...
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
Enjoy the playoffs everyone, and I'll be back next November!
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
Updated seed possibilities after the late slate of games:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Clinching Scenarios for Week 16:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Updated Seed Possibilities:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the CIN win, NE has been eliminated from playoff contention. They become the first AFC team to be eliminated this season. #CINvsIND
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Actively working on the week 18 post. It won't make it up before 2024 on the East Coast, but the West Coasters will hopefully get it in 2023.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Welp, it's official. The LV & LAC elimination scenarios are reaching the edge of absurdity. In the interest of doing everything else, we're going to defer calculation until after Saturday's games. (Note that LV/LAC play on Thursday)
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the DAL win, NYG has been knocked out of NFC East title contention. #DALvsWAS
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the GB loss, SF has clinched the first playoff berth of the 2023 season. #GBvsNYG
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the CLE win, CLE has clinched a playoff berth. #CLEvsNYJ
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the DET win, DET has clinched the NFC North division title. #DETvsMIN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
With the NYG/WAS tie, CHI has been eliminated from playoff contention. They become the first NFC team and the second overall to be eliminated in the 2022 season. Note that this was a required tie. Had either team won, CHI would be alive entering the 2nd window.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
With 272 (still a strange number to type) games in the books, it is time for me to sign off. Before I do, though, I want to acknowledge the people that help me do what I do.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the KC loss, KC has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #KCvsLV
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in IND/HOU: 1) If IND wins, IND clinches a playoff berth, and HOU is eliminated. 2) If HOU wins, HOU clinches a playoff berth and IND is eliminated. 3) If HOU & IND tie, PIT & BUF clinch a playoff berths and HOU is eliminated.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
PHI clinching scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
And most importantly, acknowledgements. I cannot express enough how much I appreciate you all. @jeff5768 @photograph_IC @KyleStanderfer @Ivan_Urena1 @TD_Tom_ @JAnstey04 @RayLehnhoff @JoeNFL
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
2023 Playoff Bracket
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the LAC loss, LAC has been eliminated from playoff contention. #LACvsBUF
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in GB/MIN: 1) GB is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss. 2) CHI is eliminated from playoff contention unless GB & MIN tie.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the SEA win, DET cannot clinch a playoff berth in week 15. #SEAvsPHI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
👀
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Happy week 18! What to watch for in PIT/BAL: 1) BUF clinches a playoff berth with PIT loss/tie 2) PIT cannot clinch or be eliminated from this game's results alone. Below is the extent of their clinching scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the CAR loss, CAR becomes the first team to be eliminated from playoff contention in 2023. #CARvsTB
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the NE loss, NE has been eliminated from 1 seed contention. #NEvsNYG
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
Week 17 NFC Scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
The story of the NFC: The 6, 7, and 8 seeds are all out of division title contention, but the 11, 12, and 14 seeds are not.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the ATL loss, DAL has clinched a playoff berth. #ATLvsCAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
NFC clinching scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
That would be a good summary.
@p0megranat3man
Pomegranate
9 months
@NFLScenarios Are the Chargers at the point where if a team just coughs on them, they are eliminated?
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in MIN/CIN: 1) CIN is knocked out AFC North title contention with a loss. 2) LAR is knocked out of 1 seed contention with MIN win 3) GB is knocked out of 1 seed contention with MIN win
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the NYG loss, NYG has been eliminated from playoff contention. #NYGvsPHI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Happy final day of Scenario Season! Here's what to watch for in the early slate (ignoring ties): 1) DET is locked into the 3 seed with a loss 2) MIN is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss/tie OR wins/ties by both TB & NO
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
Your possible seeds entering Sunday:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
With the JAX win and TEN loss this week, the week 18 game between JAX & TEN will be for the AFC South title regardless of week 17 results. The only thing week 17 results could affect would be what happens in the event of a tie.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the BAL win, PIT has been knocked out of AFC North title contention. #BALvsJAX
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
Week 13 Playoff Elimination Scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
While I've received questions about many teams, BAL seems to be the one most people are curious about. BAL makes the playoffs in week 18 with BAL win + IND loss + LAC loss + MIA loss/tie. With MIA out of the picture, BAL advances over IND/LAC on head-to-head sweep.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
AFC South in a nutshell: HOU finishes the season 3-2-1 in their division, and 0-11 outside of it.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the IND loss, IND has been eliminated from playoff contention. #INDvsHOU
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the MIA win, MIA has clinched a playoff berth. #MIAvsDAL
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the NO win, MIN has been eliminated from playoff contention. #NOvsATL
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the LV win, LV cannot be eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15. #LVvsLAC
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
With the BAL loss, CLE cannot be knocked out AFC North title contention this week. The division remains a 4-team race entering week 17. #BALvsCIN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
8 months
Updated draft order after Wildcard games:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the CHI win, CHI cannot be eliminated from playoff contention in week 16 #CHIvsARI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the CIN loss, CIN has been eliminated from playoff contention. #CINvsKC
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the SEA loss, MIN cannot be eliminated from playoff contention in week 17. #SEAvsPIT
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
For those interested, I finally finished (hopefully without error this time) the 1 seed elimination scenarios for JAX. 4 normal and 131 Strength of Victory/Strength of Schedule.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
Week 17 scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the CLE win, NYJ has been eliminated from playoff contention. #CLEvsCHI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the GB loss, GB has been knocked out of NFC North title contention. #GBvsTB
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for on Monday Night: 1) DET clinches a playoff berth with SEA loss/tie 2) If PHI loses, neither PHI nor DAL will control their division fate, as a 13-4 tie would fall to Strength of Victory (PHI would have a measurable edge)
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
2 years
The expanded playoffs rumors seem to me to be very unlikely to be true, but as I am not privy to internal discussions, I can't say never until an announcement is made. That said, an expansion would pull NYJ, WAS, & NO out of elimination. No teams would automatically clinch berths
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in DAL/DET: - DAL is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss - DET currently controls the 2 seed. A loss drops that control to 3, and opens them up to 1 seed elimination this week.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the WAS loss, WAS has been eliminated from playoff contention. #WASvsLAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the SF loss, DAL cannot be knocked out of 1 seed contention in week 16. #SFvsBAL
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
This is not accurate. CLE could still win the AFC North.
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NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the PHI win, CHI has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #PHIvsBUF
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
The AFC this year should be quite fun from a scenarios standpoint. Currently there are 11 teams between 5 & 6 wins. To put the chaos into perspective, PIT is currently the 5 seed due to their tie. Had they won, they would be the 2 seed, had they lost, they would be the 9 seed.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the GB win, CHI has been eliminated from playoff contention. #GBvsMIN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
With the SF loss, DET cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week. Miraculously, they remain alive entering week 14. #SFvsSEA
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
CHI can get the 7 seed, but it would require, among other things, a GB/MIN tie tonight.
@a10qui
Aq
9 months
@NFLScenarios can the Bears still get the 7 seed? (Cowboys fan wanting an easy game)
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
1 year
Fun little tidbit for MNF: it determines the 1 seed in the NFC. Why? SF beat NYG & NYG hasn't played PHI yet. If NYG loses, PHI will get the 1 seed over SF on Strength of Victory(SoV). If NYG wins, SoV will be tied, SF will get the 1 seed on combined conference PF/PA rank.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the BAL win, BAL has clinched the AFC North division title and the 1 seed in the AFC. #BALvsMIA
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the KC win, KC has clinched the AFC West division title. They are now locked into the 3 seed. #KCvsCIN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
With the SF loss, DAL has officially clinched a playoff berth. They become both the 2nd NFC and 2nd overall team to clinch a playoff berth in the 2021 season. #SFvsTEN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the KC loss, DEN cannot be eliminated from AFC West title contention in week 16. #KCvsLV
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Merry Christmas to all who celebrate! What to watch for in LV/KC: 1) KC clinches the AFC West division title with a win/tie 2) LV is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss 3) KC is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
With the ARI loss, ARI did not clinch a playoff berth this week. We enter week 15 with all 14 berths still available. #ARIvsLAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in IND/PIT: There are no immediate scenarios that can be resolved in any way, but this game is substantial to pretty much every AFC team's scenarios, clinching & elimination.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the GB win, NO has been eliminated from playoff contention. #GBvsCHI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
NFC first-round playoff matchups: 1) GB - bye 7) PHI at 2) TB 6) SF at 3) DAL 5) ARI at 4) LAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Updated AFC seed-specific scenarios:
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NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the TB win, TB has clinched the NFC South division title and is locked into the 4 seed. #TBvsCAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the DET win, MIN has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #DETvsDEN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
Merry Christmas Eve to all who celebrate! What to watch for in the early slate: 1) DET clinches the NFC North title with a win/tie 2) DET clinches a playoff berth with SEA loss/tie (or DET win/tie, obviously) 3) MIN is knocked out of NFC North title contention with a loss/tie
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the JAX loss, BUF has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #JAXvsTB
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the PHI loss, SF has clinched the 1 seed in the NFC. #ARIvsPHI
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
Get your magnifying glass ready! Week 13 DET playoff elimination scenarios:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
3 years
2 weeks ago, ARI controlled the 1 seed. Now, they don't even control their own division.
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the BAL win, CIN has been knocked out of AFC North title contention (and consequently 1 seed contention). #BALvsJAX
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in BUF/LAC: 1) LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss/tie 2) BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with a loss/tie 3) BUF win/tie prevents CLE from clinching a playoff berth in week 16
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
With the ARI loss, ARI has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #ARIvsHOU
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
What to watch for in SF/BAL: - DAL is knocked out of 1 seed contention with SF win
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the NO loss, ATL cannot be eliminated from NFC South title contention in week 16. #NOvsLAR
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the DET win, GB has been knocked out of 1 seed contention. #DETvsDEN
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the HOU win, HOU has clinched a playoff berth. #HOUvsIND
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
10 months
Updated ARI elimination scenarios after TNF:
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@NFLScenarios
NFLPlayoffScenarios
4 years
With 256 games in the books, I am signing off for the year. Before I do, though, I want to do my yearly acknowledgements. Thank you to every one of my followers, those who ask questions both here and on reddit, and to all the enthusiasts. You make this work all worth it.
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NFLPlayoffScenarios
9 months
With the JAX loss, PIT has clinched a playoff berth. #JAXvsTEN
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