Heinrich Leopold @LeopoldHeinrich Twitter profile

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The current Arctic cold bubble is super charged with ice cold air of -84C in the core (left picture Dec 1, 2022), 15% colder than last year ( right picture Dec 10,2021). The integrated total is 25% higher, which will shape up in a mega winter.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas By Dec 6 Europe is submerged in deep cold air down to Spain and North Africa. Something we have not seen in decades.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The Arctic bubble continues to cool down at record pace, now -84C end of Nov. These numbers are rarely seen at its peak in December. As cold air is heavy and sinks to the surface, the bubble swallows warmer air from the oceans (red circle) and grows to a veritable monster

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas By Dec 9 Europe will be deeply frozen. Even UK will freeze, which is a rare condition.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#Natgas By Jan 4, 2023 the frigid cold air will gravitate towards Europe again, whereas North America will get relief. The Arctic bubble is so big and cold that a warm up will not happen, even in NA. The whole winter is likely being exceptionally cold for the Northern hemisphere

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

You do not need a lot of maths to see that the left picture has absorbed a lot of more cold air than the right picture from last year. Eventually this cold air will be distributed over the Northern hemisphere resulting in a long and cold winter. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the polar vortex (left) weakens rapidly, it cannot hold the polar air bubble with centrifugal forces anymore and the bubble disintegrates (500hPa), releasing Arctic air to continents, which will put Europe including Spain, Italy, UK.... in a complete freeze by Jan23.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the stratospheric polar vortex is currently still strong and collecting warm air from oceans - funneling the public into the illusion of a mild winter - the Arctic prepares for an polar outbreak in Europe of historic dimensions by the second half of January.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

..and statistically, strong winters are preceded by a warm fall. Nature is tricky, setting all kinds of trap for us - even for #natgas traders and politicians.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 22 the Arctic has accumulated an unprecedented amount of cold air (left, see white area, which is below scale in comparison Dec6,right). As the polar vortex weakens, this cold air will sweep over the continents in the second half of January leading to a cold winter

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

3 years

Energy density of oil is 10kWh per kg, for a battery this is 0.2 kWh per kg. If we transform the current energy working storage of 1 bn tons of oil into battery storage, we would need 50 bn tons of Lithium, Nickel, copper. We currently produce 50 mil tons per year. #natgas #oott

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The polar Vortex reaches -88C. The devil's herd of red eyed cows with steely hooves is plowing through the ragged polar sky chased by horses snorting fire, hunting down the last warm air bubble, cooling it down to -88C and preparing to unleash a tsunami of frigid cold air

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

The reason why October/November has been so warm was that the polar vortex is extremely strong and soaks up a lot of warm air from the oceans. This sweeped the continents with warm air travelling to the Arktis. This warm air is now cooled down in the Troposphere to -84C. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

By Dec 25 all of North America is covered by polar air as the center of gravitation of the polar break out shifts from Europe to NA. Most ignore what this means for #natgas demand and supply. I have never seen a chart like this. And I have seen a few winter storms.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas As I thought it can not get more intense, nature tops it again with a December 6 forecast beyond imagination. Barents Sea, Bering Sea, Grönland Street (red circle) are closed and poised to freeze off. Freezing line goes deep into the heart of the South (yellow circle).

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 27 the center of polar air is right over North America with -40C, an historic cold air mass. I am accumulating natgas derivatives for March. It is an outstanding opportunity, yet everybody has to decide on its own what to do with it.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

Due to a rapidly weakening of the Arctic cyclone, the polar air bubble breaks up and expands over continents, flooding the US with extreme cold polar air deep into the South. It is a fantastic opportunity to grab and accumulate #natgas on the cheap over the next ten trading days

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the polar cyclone weakens, it opens the floodgates for polar air to sweep the continents. Evidence gets stronger by the day that the first wave hits Europe (as predicted) on Jan 20. Especially UK will be hit by historically low temperatures in Scotland.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#Natgas By Jan 20, Europe will freeze again deep into Spain, Croatia, Serbia and Turkey - just in synch with the polar vortex weakening.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Cold air has receded to the North Pole and is flowing now back over the continents creating an polar air tsunami of historic proportions. The models get colder and colder.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

Texas winter storm II by Jan 27? Looks likely! Single digits deep into Texas. The cold waves will keep getting stronger week by week. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As expected Europe is plunging into a deep freeze far into Spain, France, Italy by Jan 20. The models are getting colder by the day as the polar cyclone loses its grip over the cold air bubble covering the Northern hemisphere and polar air can expand over the continents..

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas Despite forecasts for a warm up yesterday, the latest forecasts for Dec 19 are colder than ever for this time of the year. -20C for Central Europe and even -8C for Spain. And Scandinavia is going into extreme low temperatures.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 23 Europe will be covered by deep snow from a surprising snow and cold chaos over this weekend deep into Italy, Sicily, Greece, Corsica,Sardinia,...even North Africa, which nobody has seen it coming - except the polar vortex.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Looks like the vortex is getting serious. Europe plunges into deep freeze by Feb 8. - as expected.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Models are improving by the hour. The polar outbreak extends now far into Texas, Louisiana, Alabama....by Jan 23. The bubble is now also visually gigantic.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the polar cyclone has been super strong until mid January, it will rapidly weaken until end of January and finally split by Feb 1. I have never seen the polar cyclone so strong and imploding so rapidly, which will give us a weather event of historic dimensions.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas German electricity generation runs basically on coal only. No wind, no solar, little nuclear, hydro and gas. Reality sinks in. The green hype is gone and delayed for at least ten years.

@ElectricityMaps | Live 24/7 CO2 emissions of electricity consumption

Electricity Maps is a live 24/7 visualization of where your electricity comes from and how much CO2 was emitted to produce it.

app.electricitymaps.com

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Weather models are cooling by the day. European snow cover is forecast over half of Europe including Greece, Italy, Turkey, even Lebanon and North Africa reaching 3 foot of snow. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas More evidence for a deep freeze, especially in Europe by Dec 10.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

Just in time for Jan 15 and the looming disintegration of the stratospheric polar vortex, the cold is back in Europe. An incredible high amount of frigid polar air has been accumulated in the Arctic, which is about to be distributed over the Northern hemisphere. Back in #natgas .

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas Europe is submerged by snow and the US will follow soon. Especially the SouthWest is about to be covered by a gigantic polar air mass of historic proportions.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

7 months

#natgas Europe turns extremely cold by Dec11. No signs of mild December.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Polar break out on Feb1 comes now much earlier than expected as a massive polar air pocket, colder than the North Pole, flushes southwards deep into Texas due to weaker zonal winds. Chicago will be colder than the North Pole. The vortex has predicted it exactly.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas By mid Dec half of Europe will plunge into a deep freeze. London below zero from Thursday on. As this has not affected the US yet, it will get a fair share of the winter soon.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 28 Europe plunges into a deep freeze, -20C and snow chaos. The US is not there yet, despite a polar air pocket hanging over Canada ready to flood southwards when the jet stream weakens. It is a tough game. Anybody who cannot stand the heat should stay out of it.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The Arctic bubble is now extremely big and attracts more warm air (yellow). Can the blue bubble swallow the yellow bubble and grow even bigger or will the bubble disintegrate? The bursting bubble will sink the Northern hemisphere into a deep winter.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The giant stratospheric polar vortex is in the midst of splitting up. When this happens the true winter will start around Jan 20 as the polar cyclone loses control over the polar bubble and polar air can flood the continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas To the astonishment of weather forecasters models (Jan17,23,31) are becoming colder and colder in Europe. This is exactly what the weakening of the polar vortex suggests. This will intensify as an historic strong vortex has accumulated a record amount of arctic cold air.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

@work_socks @DoombergT This is the politically correct forecast. Last year NOAA did it for the last year and was completely wrong. They forecast EVERY year a mild winter. When the winter is strong they just move on and predict the next winter as mild.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The polar vortex has a strong grip over the polar air bubble at high zonal winds accumulating massive amounts of warm air (yellow). This will change abruptly from Jan9, Jan12 and Jan14 when the vortex finally disintegrates, releasing the hounds over the continents again.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The cold Arctic air mass is splitting up on the 500hPa level on Dec 4, leading to a vast cluster covering the Northern Hemisphere. The frigid polar air mass is 25% larger than last year, which forces polar air to flood the continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

This works like a giant heat exchanger which transports warm air into the stratosphere, which is cooled down to extreme temperatures. This way the Arctic loads up with massive frigid air, which is then released after the end of the Arctic winter late December. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The situation in the stratospheric sky is going to get a veritable thriller. The polar vortex will manage to cool down the warm air bubble (Dec 10, yellow) and is going to merge to form a mega nova. You can see how the eyes of both bubbles (red circles) are close to unite

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The giant air bubble in the stratosphere is so cold that it attracts a lot of warm air (yellow bubble). This happens usually in January when the bubble is on its culmination point. As this happens in the first week of Dec is a sign of massive generation of cold air.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas By Dec 14 Europe is forecast to sink in a deep freeze. As the Arctic is still in its accumulation phase of collecting cold air, January can be expected to be much, much colder when the Arctic floods the Northern hemisphere with polar air .

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The longer term mild forecasting models are now backpedalling to extreme cold in Europe. The Atlantic is blocked by a massive high over Iceland and polar air can invade Europe.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Within a few weeks the polar vortex has slowed down from record strength on Jan9 to a shadow of itself by Feb6. The vortex predicts now a cold February for the history books.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas US average temperature fell briefly below 30F this morning or -13.4F below normal. If we get this low in January it would be a strong winter, yet to get this low in November is an absolute sensation.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas On Nov 15 I have been estimating a strong winter due to the +25% higher activity of the polar vortex, which goes from accumulating to distributing frigid cold over the continents. The tsunami of cold air is coming to the US exactly 1 month later at all mighty consequences

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The strength of the polar vortex triggers further accumulation of cold air in the Arctic, which entails a temporary warm up on continents. However, the Arctic prepares for a disintegration and distribution of cold air on every level (2m, 850hPa, 500 hPa, 10 hPa clockwise)

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas On Jan 9 the polar cyclone is super strong, much stronger than I have ever seen during Jan. On Jan 27 the cyclone will be reduced to a shadow of itself and vanish until end of Jan and cannot hold the polar bubble together anymore. Polar air will sweep the continents soon.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The polar cyclone weakens dramatically from Jan 9 (left) to Jan 25, leading to a massive outbreak of polar air to continents in 10 days. Forecasters still mourn the mild weather, yet the polar cyclone, which is on top of the command chain for the weather, says otherwise.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 15 the gigantic stratospheric polar vortex is about to be swallowed by an even greater monster bubble of warm air from Oceans. This will have an big impact on the weather of the Northern hemisphere as involved air masses are unusually big.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

3 years

By November 23 much of the US and Europe will plunge into a deep freeze. It looks this is going into a perma freeze as the following days will not bring relief. The Arctic is loaded with frigid air (the white fields indicate < -40 C out of scale temperatures !!!!). #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas A comparison between the stratospheric vortex of Dec29 (right), 2021 and Dec29, 2022 ( left) shows the current Arctic cyclone is much more active than last year. The Arctic is still accumulating and cooling a lot of air from Oceans leading to many more storms this winter

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas In Jan 22 the Arctic polar air bubble shows the same shape as in Dec22, as a large amount of polar air invaded NA and EU. This time the bubble at 500hPa is much larger AND colder with extreme pockets over UK (-38C) and Siberia (-50C) triggering extreme cold by end of Jan.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

It works like an air tsunami. First, frigid cold air is accumulated and glued to the North Pole, creating the illusion of a warm winter on continents. When the vortex and centrifugal forces are weakening, the polar air is released to continents. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas As the current cool down is accepted by weather forecasters, the question remains what will happen beyond the current cold wave. The comparison between the polar vortex Jan 1, 23 (left) and Jan 1, 22 shows that the Arctic is still hyperactive and a warm up is unlikely.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Chances for an 'event' are increasing by the hour. By Jan28 the polar cyclone will be almost gone, which will stop zonal West winds and unleash a massive tsunami of polar air on continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas Warm air is trying to attack and prick the polar vortex. Over the next few days we will see if this will happen. A disintegration of the giant bubble, which is around 25% bigger than last year, will certainly intensify the flood of frigid air to the continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

Mounting evidence for a strong winter. #natgas

MagicMuffinman

@MuffinmanMagic

2 years

The snow covered area in the N-hemisphere is currently the largest ever since start of records in 1967 This has historically been an indicator for long and hard winters Got fossil fuels? @PauloMacro @DoombergT @contrarian8888 @INArteCarloDoss @chigrl

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas A comparison of polar bubble temperatures reveals that the bubble has not got bigger since Dec 1 (right), yet will be much colder on Jan 17 (larger white area). When the bubble disintegrates and bursts all this extreme cold air will be distributed over the continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 28, just in time for the disintegration of the stratospheric polar vortex, polar air on the 500 mb level disintegrates too and covers Europe and North America with a massive dome of polar air.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 28 the polar air bubble disintegrates and a big chunk of polar air (-46C, yellow circle) has left the North Pole and is gyrating towards Texas.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

The super strong stratospheric bubble bursts in Jan 20 (Dec27, Jan16, Jan18, Jan20 clockwise). Zonal winds will subside and the Arctic cyclone loses its grip over the polar air bubble. This opens the gate for polar air to flood the continents and is a signal to step into #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

$natgas When the Arctic winter ends on Dec 22, the stratospheric polar vortex at 10hPa looks fragile (left chart). This will be the trigger for the Arctic to release the hounds and flood the continents with frigid cold air (middle 500hPa, right 850hPa).

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The stratospheric polar vortex swallows vast amounts of warm air (yellow), pumping the Arctic up with large amounts of frigid air. This causes temporarily milder conditions on continents, yet prepares a tsunami of cold air later during the winter.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#economymonetary Asset losses at small commercial banks accelerated again to a record $-236bn. As long term rates soared last week, the losses will reach $-300bn soon and will become a challenge for the banking sector again.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

3 years

By December 23 the Arctic is loaded with frigid cold air up to - 88C. It is important to understand that this air has double the density than normal air. The amount of cold is gigantic. When this air expands and spills over into the continents we will get a small ice age. #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas It is impressive how fast the stratospheric vortex implodes by Jan29 (left) as warm air swallows the remains of a once mighty vortex (Jan9, right). This will reduce centrifugal forces and zonal winds, which will open the gates for polar air to flood continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

By Dec 13 temperatures are forecast below freeze deep in the South in Alabama, Louisiana, South Carolina...... #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The strong stratospheric polar vortex fills up the lower levels of the Arctic with frigid air. Between Nov 30 and Dec 16 the 850hPa level close to surface, increases frigid cold air by > 50% in just two weeks. This frigid air is now waiting to flood continents.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The winter intensifies in Europe and up to 20 inches of snow cover are expected in January. Polar cyclone temperatures have been -20C below average, which explains the mild temperatures. The rapid warming up in the stratosphere will give way to an historically cold winter

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the tide turns slowly on the surface, big changes are happening in the Stratosphere where the strongest vortex I have ever seen (left) is slowed down to a trickle less -68C from -88C and less volume. It reduces centrifugal forces on the oceans leading to a cold winter

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#Natgas Coldest Christmas in decades is looming. Few actually believe it and think it is just noise. In my view this winter is much colder than many before and a few more winter storms will follow.

Snowstorm, blizzard conditions just prior to Christmas | AccuWeather

AccuWeather meteorologists say the chances are increasing for a major storm with snow and strong winds to occur in the days before Christmas over the central...

www.youtube.com

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas The status in the Stratosphere is now quickly changing and the temperature goes from extreme cold (strength Jan9) to extreme weakness. As the change is gradual, London goes from below zero C already next week, to much lower temps beyond next week at accelerating speed.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Once in a generation winter storm sends wind chill warnings to the South. Absent zonal winds cannot prevent the flooding of the continent with polar air. The polar cyclone has lost its grip over the polar air bubble = more flooding of cold to come.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the situation in the stratosphere escalates (left) a cold wave starts rolling over Europe as models steeply turned colder (Jan 16, 19, 26 clockwise), which will intensify until end of Jan. I have got narrowly stopped out on my US fut, yet my UK fut are still running.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

3 years

#natgas Within 20 days, the frigid air mass in the Arctic stratosphere will morph into a cold monster, which will spill over into the Northern Hemisphere. The increased size, yet more important the deeper color, indicate temperatures of up to -80C.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas As the polar cyclone loses its grip over the Northern hemisphere air bubble, it expands like a Kraken, bringing pockets of polar air deep into the Mediterranean, Turkey, Midwest... Be greedy when others are fearful, yet always work with a stop. We do not know the bottom.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Within five days the stratospheric temperature has shot up +45C from -75C to -30C. The vortex has now the same strength as during the summer=zero. This will have serious consequences on the weather on continents as this will stop zonal winds.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

High in the endless sky of the stratospheric Arctic, nature is preparing something big. #natgas

Mark Margavage

@MeteoMark

1 year

If you are a meteorologist and this doesn’t get you excited for Winter Weather forecasting, you need to check for a pulse. Run after run of both the GFS and ECM are indicating a major disruption and stretch of the Stratospheric #PolarVortex #wxtwitter #WinterIsComing

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas did break down again as polar air cannot yet flood North America, despite a massive congestion of polar air over Canada. However, the polar outbreak is more and more confirmed over Europe, where polar air is forecast to sweep deep into the Mediterranean ( right chart).

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The comparison of the polar air mass (500 hPa) on Nov26 and forecast Dec 11 shows how the Arctic air mass expands -nearly doubling in just two weeks. The stratospheric vortex is highly active in cooling down vast amounts of air from oceans and disposing it on the surface

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

...word about a polar vortex is spreading. It looks like #natgas is bottoming out.

zerohedge

@zerohedge

1 year

US NatGas Prices Rise As Models Suggest 'Polar Vortex To Unload On US'

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas By Jan 10 the polar frigid air bubble is still compact as the polar cyclone is unusually strong. However, by Jan 18 the polar cyclone loses its grip over the bubble, which disintegrates and large pockets of frigid air are sweeping into California, Nevada, North Africa...

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas A surprising snow bomb hits Europe/Germany nobody forecast, except the polar vortex.

Deutschland schneit ein: Bis zu 30 Zentimeter Neuschnee am Wochenende

In den nächsten Tagen kommt gleich dreimal Schneefall auf uns zu. Einmal ist sogar ein sehr seltenes Polartief dabei. Diese Tiefs sind besonders garstig, den...

www.youtube.com

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

Within two weeks the still strong polar vortex (Jan23 left) completely collapses by Feb8. Last year this happened in mid March, which has been followed by a massive surge in #natgas

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

Coldest Christmas in 30 years. It is now official. Few believed it. #natgas

Met Office

@metoffice

1 year

🥶 Parts of North America may have their coldest Christmas for 30 years 📉 This follows record breaking temperatures, including a fall of nearly 18 degrees Celsius in 9 minutes in Cheyenee, Wyoming and wind chill values of minus 55°C How may this affect the UK's weather? 👇

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas Having predicted a mild winter, even NOAA has changed its mind and predicts -15C in Germany by mid December. Evidence for a cold wave is mounting

Bis -15 °C: NOAA haut eisige Ostlage 🥶 für Deutschland raus! Wie...

Das aktuelle Wetter für Deutschland vom 24. November 2022. Heute Morgen haut der Frühlauf vom US-Wettermodell GFS der NOAA eine heftige Ostlage raus. Zwische...

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas The Arctic bursts with frigid cold air, which breaks out and floods the continents, down deep into Texas, New Mexico and Arizona. This is how an polar air tsunami looks like. As many in the US Southeast still may wonder about the mild winter, they will be surprised soon.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

So many 'climate experts' look so desperate now.

King Arthur & Excalibur

@OscarsWild1

1 year

So after hundred of years of #AGW #GlobalWarming , #ClimateChange .. and 'no more #snow ' by 2012 where do we stand if we consider the #snowstorms they said would never happened .. happened? Like right now and next few weeks?

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas UK electricity prices soared to nearly €1000 per MWh as wind capacity utilisation slumped to 1.44% (only 568MW out of 39.5 GW are operational). 21.9 GW comes from gas. This is the dilemma of renewables. You do not have it when you need it the most

@ElectricityMaps | Live 24/7 CO2 emissions of electricity consumption

Electricity Maps is a live 24/7 visualization of where your electricity comes from and how much CO2 was emitted to produce it.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

The storage withdrawal of -202 bcf is rather conservative given the forecast Arctic break out around Christmas. This is how a tsunami of polar air looks like. I have never seen anything like this. And we are still in December. #natgas

Celsius Energy

@CelsiusEnergyFM

2 years

After the GFS & ECMWF trended colder overnight, I'm now projecting a huge -202 BCF #natgas storage withdrawal for Dec 17-23, easily the largest draw for the week in the last 5 yrs. This is still preliminary & will undoubtedly change as the forecast evolves but, still, impressive.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

Basically it says Texas, New Mexico... will have the same temperatures as the North Pole in about ten days. This is not only about demand, yet about supply too.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

#natgas Huge snowfall in the Alps. Next week extreme cold is forecast in Europe. It is ice cold in London and the wind is coming from NorthWest. We will see how this turns out.

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas As many think current temperatures are extreme, the forecast for Dec 5 looks even more extreme. Average temperatures 8C ( 35F) are coming deep down to Louisiana and Texas, the rest of the US on average deeply below zero C ( 30F).

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

1 year

European weather models flipped in just one day from +23C to far below zero and Arctic outbreak. Weather does surprise. Will $natgas surprise too?

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Heinrich Leopold

@LeopoldHeinrich

2 years

#natgas By Dec 15 the Arctic is overflowing with frigid air and a gigantic cluster (red circle) of frigid air splits from the Arctic circle, increasing the chances for an Arctic mid December in North America.

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