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Integrated Kyle e/acc Profile
Integrated Kyle e/acc

@KyleSamani

149,453
Followers
5,543
Following
440
Media
23,335
Statuses

Managing Partner @multicoincap . Telegram: . Opinions are my own; not a solicitation; not an offer for investment advisory services

Austin, Texas
Joined June 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
0/ Why the next bear market will not be like the last one And in fact, we may not have a bear market at all Or we may have half a bear market, depending on your perspective A thread
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
The world is healing
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Bought 8 figures of Loot AMA
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
1 year
0/ Some thoughts on Vision Pro From someone who was one of the first builders on Google Glass.... 10 years ago!
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
The most important theme of 2022 is going to be composability The next generation of apps are going to leverage a multitude of composable crypto primitives to deliver experiences that were not possible before My keynote from the 2021 Multicoin Summit:
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ @elonmusk getting a lot of hate these days, both from crypto maxis, and the media Probably the largest source of hate is "hey he is manipulating markets, this is bad and not fair, what is he doing" With very high probability, this is the wrong interpretation
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Solana DeFi teams, now is your opportunity to shine It is always darkest before dawn
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ DeFi derivatives Probably the single most important question in DeFi over the next few years A thread on how we're thinking about it
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
6 years
So a number of LPs asked me about IOTA today. My response:
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
21/ In summary 1) The next bear market will not look like the last 2) More likely that tech crypto goes through more short-lived 2018 SaaS bear markets (eg May-June 2021) 3) The decoupling is real 4) When BTC gets flipped, things get *really* interesting {fin}
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Going on @UpOnlyTV with @cobie later this week What should we talk about?
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ One theory of the metaverse is that the company that controls the social graph, will have the strongest influence on the Metaverse So I’ve been thinking a lot about how to get the social graph data out of Facebook and Twitter, etc
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Just bought this using @solana Pay
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
EOS
@Fiskantes
fiskantes.lens ⭐️🩸
3 years
What's the stupidest investment you ever made? Mine was well before crypto.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
10 months
Solana
@brian_armstrong
Brian Armstrong
10 months
The next step for crypto is to make payments instant and free globally. This will take lots of work from all of us, Coinbase included, getting layer 2's integrated, better on-ramps, simpler UX/onboarding, etc. A magic threshold would be getting the average payment under 1 cent
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
It’s always darkest just before dawn
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 months
People like to say that @solana fundamentals have not changed in the last X months That’s not true One very important thing has changed There is now incontrovertible proof that the solana network can run *at scale*: 1) while maintaining ~0 fees for normies 2) without falling
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
12/ This is why I expect SOL and ETH to substantially outperform BTC through the next “bear market” The tech money doesn’t care about macro They just want to be long the stuff that they think is going to change the world
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
. @APompliano is right JP Morgan is trying to create a privatized overlay money system on top of the Fed's USD
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ @solana Breakpoint is here! There are thousands of people in Lisbon, and everyone wants to get connected to the right people So here’s a thread on some of those people, and who they are trying to connect with I think everyone’s DMs are open. Don’t be shy!
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
0/ Predicting the future is hard The most common way to do this is by using data, and extrapolating from the past This works ok when things are changing in a predictable-ish way But sometimes things change unpredictability 2022 will be a year of unpredictable changes
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Anyone working on web3 AirBnB? DMs open
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 months
There are going to be a ton of air drops for @Solana @solanamobile Saga owners over the next 12 months h/t @kankanivishal
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 years
I don't think I've ever seen an entire category collapse this fast, ever
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 years
In the 1600s, commodity market traders would watch for incoming ships with telescopes, and front-run the market by short selling when they saw ships sitting low in the water, implying that they had more supplies Awesome
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
6 years
Hypothesis: biggest mistake tech people make when evaluating financial markets is to think exponentially when the market acts linearly. Biggest mistake finance people make when evaluating tech is to think linearly when tech evolves exponentially
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
0/ A thread on decision making (DM) Both personally, and in the context of investment decisions at Multicoin
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Solana
@elonmusk
Elon Musk
3 years
@TeslaGong @mishaboar @DogecoinFdn Not recently. What matters imo is lowering fees, decreasing block time & increasing block size. A single layer network with exchanges as de facto layer 2 seems like the simplest solution for a medium of exchange.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
This is very exciting... a p2p VPN with distribution to millions of users Could be one of the biggest breakthroughs in privacy on the internet since the advent of SSL h/t @brave @BrendanEich
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
1 month
On Saturday, I completed the most difficult physical activity of my life: a 200 mile bike ride 6am start time. Finished around 9:55pm. Start in the dark, finish in the dark.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Take as much risk as possible Don’t stop working out even at 80+ hour work weeks
@martyrdison
Madison Campbell
3 years
it’s my 26 birthday and as a gift please give advice you wish you knew at 26
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
Fascinating and counter intuitive
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
9/ The train has left the station: all of the tech builders and investors have underwritten tech crypto as having a meaningful probability of reshaping commerce, finance, and the fabric of society at large And they are comfortable meeting on that and holding for years
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
0/ A counterintuitive lesson on fund structures TLDR - hedge funds are better structures for *long term* investing than venture structures I say this having run one of each for 3-4 years now A thread for entrepreneurs and LPs
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
I know it sucks rn But keep chewing glass It will get better wagmi
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
I got a 4” cube
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
First paragraph of ATOM 2.0 paper is absolute fire
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Have spoken with various teams around wormhole, exchanges, Stablecoins issuers, etc in the last 24 hours Remarkable to see everyone - including fiercely direct competitors - come together to resolve the situation as fast as possibly Wagmi
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
3/ What does Musk know? Crypto is big, and getting bigger, and that he can do something(s) amazing with it The most probable explanation for his actions therefore is that he is figuring that out right now Long Musk! {fin}
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 months
Working on my 2024 predictions rn @helium and @Hivemapper will be two of the leading torch bearers of the industry by EOY 2024
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
1/ Broadly speaking, there are two cohorts of people in crypto Money crypto Tech crypto The zeitgeist of the space was dominated by money crypto people from 2011-2017 Since 2017, tech crypto has come to dominate the zeitgest
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Thoughts on @THORChain 1) 2nd exploit was not new bug. It was already there 2) it was known to be unaudited. Obv a little irresponsible, but also to be expected 3) Thorchain is probably the most complex crypto thing in the world other than bleeding edge ZKP stuff Wgmi
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ Sushi and super apps. A 🧵 Sushi just turned 1. I think Sushi is little bit lost, and doesn’t know what it wants to be when it grows up Multicoin owns some SUSHI
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
1/ Musk is probably *the single most long term oriented human on the planet* He is trying to a) save the planet from humanity's gluttony (Tesla) b) save the human species from idiosyncratic risk tied to Earth (SpaceX) Literally no one operates on this timescale
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
6 months
@Jason @cz_binance respectfully, 1) these claims are factually incorrect 2) your interpretations are the opposite of what is actually happening happy to discuss any time!
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
22 days
The technical term for this behavior is gaslighting
@BlurCrypto
Blur
23 days
Oh wow, this is pretty bad from @RenzoProtocol 1st, a large portion of the tokens are going to investors and team 2nd, looks like they’re trying to skew how bad it looks with the design of the pie chart Notice the bottom “half” is 62%, whereas the two 2.5%’s appear to be ~20%
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ The new @CreamdotFinance Iron Bank is one of the coolest things I've seen in DeFi in a while Why? It actually *creates* value for tokens like YFI and ALPHA Huh?
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Breakpoint LFG
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
2/ So, what is Musk doing in crypto? I don't know But He is almost certainly playing the game at a level that you fail to appreciate
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
What are the most interesting Cosmos based chains being built?
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
10/ There is a huge amount of capital out there that will never believe in BTC because they don’t believe in owning non-productive assets There isn’t a single investor in the world that doesn’t believe that software isn’t eating the world
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
Serious question Who in the world thinks it's a good idea to buy ETC in the middle of a 51% attack?
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
How do you think we’re going to render the metaverse?
@rendernetwork
The Render Network
3 years
We’re excited to announce a new technical partnership with @solana and @metaplex ! The future of the #Metaverse is NOW, on the Render Network! $RNDR #RNDR #Solana #Metaplex #SolanaBreakpoint #BreakpointLisbon @SolanaConf
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
BAYC surpassing punks in market cap is a harbinger of utility layer 1s (ETH, SOL, etc) surpassing BTC Lindy is nonsense
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
I have watched every major keynote by every major tech co over the last ~15 years And the Meta keynote is by far the best and most important one January 2007 iPhone keynote will be looked back on as a rounding error
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
29 days
Biggest problem in Bitcoin ecosystem is fragmentation of standards BRC20 Inscriptions Runes God knows how many L2s UX is going to rapidly degrade. All ecosystem participants - wallets, indexers, market makers, devs, etc. - will suffer
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
6/ Tech people by and large don’t care about any of that stuff They just want to build cool new things If the price of BTC-USD goes down 50% because of gov actions, there is no real reason why that has to impact what people build, or phase investors who invest in tech crypto
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
As we enter this new crypto bull market, lots of you are going to launch new funds When we started in 2017, we made all kinds of stupid mistakes A lot of people helped us. So we are looking to pay it forward DM if you'd like to chat. Always happy to help new managers
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
The next 100M crypto users aren't going to use seed phrases
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 months
Spent roughly 3 hours playing with Apple Vision Pro today. Some thoughts 1) the pass-through fidelity is impressive, but not yet ready for mainstream adoption. Things are still a little too grainy 2) the hand tracking is butter smooth, no matter where you have your hands (in
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
So, Apple just announced yesterday that they’re allowing devs to go around Apple Pay for in-app purchases This was probably the single biggest risk to mass market adoption of crypto And prices didn’t really react Long your longs with longs. LFG
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Multicoin Capital had 0 LUNA or UST exposure
@Darrenlautf
Darren Lau
2 years
Dragonfly had 0 LUNA exposure - sauces
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
11/ Over the next ~5 years, every pool of capital around the world will be buying crypto 100% of them will invest in tech crypto < 100% of them will invest in money crypto
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 months
For the first time, we decided to share some of our thoughts publicly on areas we're excited for in 2024 Everyone's DMs are open, feel free to reach out!
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
19/ Once BTC is flipped, it’s pretty much game over for BTC A large part of the value prop of BTC is that it’s the largest and most liquid Once those stop being true, it has even less to offer
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Just ordered a Solana phone AMA
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Solana right now is making serious inroads in onboarding web2 devs at the highest rate in the history of crypto
@Arthur_0x
Arthur
3 years
I'm gonna get chastised for saying this but the level of organic developers interest in @solana now is absolutely on 🔥now even for a non-dev like me.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
This is bigger than you think Brave is the most interesting canvas for crypto integration out there LFG
@lukemulks
LukΞ Mulks 🦁⟁◎⟁
3 years
News from the @BrendanEich @aeyakovenko @SolanaConf stage: - @Solana integration plans in-browser for Brave's +42M monthly active users - THEMIS to be built on Solana - Expansion of $BAT via wrapped $BAT utility into the Solana ecosystem. Here comes the 🔆, LFG! $SOL
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
7 years
Just met with an institutional manager. $30B fund. Min check size $300M. Current crypto allocation: $0 We aren't even close to the top
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
We are hiring for investment team! To apply, please write a thesis on the subject of your choice in crypto. The weirder and more non-consensus, the better. Only requirement is that it's as good as what's on our blog Please email to @SpencerApplebau and @shayonsengupta
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 months
Excited to announce one of our largest investments ever, @zama_fhe , in which we co-led a $73M round along with @protocollabs Zama is the world's leading cryptography company focused on FHE FHE is going to reshape the fabric of computing
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
My two favorite sources of alpha 1) Duration 2) Willing to lose 100% of your capital
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 months
the @jump_firedancer client will be 200x more efficient in ability to receive and parse transactions in real time insanity
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 months
Henceforth Solana shall be known as Bitcoin Satoshi’s Vision
@jahris_
jahris | helius.dev
3 months
wow WOW
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Avalanche, Celo, Fantom all announcing LM programs to copy-paste EVM code in the last week 1) All of them pursuing the same strategy is obviously bad for all of them 2) Stifling growth of their own ecosystems 3) Increasing regulatory risk
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
14/ The world actually does not care about non-productive assets They want productive assets As they learn about crypto, they are gonna buy the productive things in far more size than the non-productive things
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 years
0/ Some thoughts on the BTC halvening TLDR - it is *extremely* bullish There will probably be lots of volatility +/- 60 days the halvening, but that is not the point of the this thread
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
At BTC Miami in May, I made two bets with @lawmaster , each for 1 ETH 1) That ETH will flip BTC by EOY 2021 2) That SOL will flip ETH by EOY 2022 Let the record show that I have paid 1 ETH for losing bet #1
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
2022 gonna be insane for Helium
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
If it weren't for ETH, BTC would likely be at ~30% of its current value The 2017 ICO bubble Drew all the attention to crypto, and those watchers are now allocating to BTC
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
1 year
0/ I've been thinking (and tweeting!) about AI over the last 6 months There are a lot of crypto x AI intersections - far more than what I've outlined in this post But this post outlines what I think are 4 of the most important
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Just left @aclfestival and saw this billboard
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
0/ The single most important question in NFT land is How do you enable the long tail of creators - think 25M+ around the world - to generate say $50-100k / year in income, so they can self sustain A thread
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 years
Watching a @ProjectSerum UI to see the order book flash on the right and update every 400ms is just magical It looks and feels *identical* to a CEX, but underneath, it's a censorship resistant DEX Welcome to the future
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
4 months
Probably the sector of @solana that has been compounding most quietly, and is poised for success is payments 1) NYDFS blessing a few weeks ago 2) outstanding on-chain transfer volumes for USDC and USDT 3) Visa integration 4) shopify integration 5) token extensions about to hit
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
4/ Money crypto people think primarily about interest rates, the politicization of central banks, etc Tech people care about building
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
Who is best positioned to capitalize on the app chain thesis?
Cosmos
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See results
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
We appreciate the support and relationship w/ @binance and are excited to develop it further! Binance is the most popular crypto product in the world. They are in an amazing position to build the future, and we are excited to work more closely with them
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
8/ It’s possible that crypto is still a few years too early from truly breaking into the mainstream But I think at this point, that no longer matters
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
I will happily take the other side of this and argue that SOL will pass BTC in market cap LFG
@bgurley
Bill Gurley
3 years
Great quote from a deep crypto big brain tonight "If SOL eats ETH then every single token is worth remarkably less." It really is "turtles all the way down," and there is no reason that each primitive can't be 100% altruistic, with zero rake.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
5 years
0/ Thread Today I'm excited to share Multicoin Capital's analysis and valuation on Binance coin $BNB ! It's available in English, Chinese, Korean, and Japanese Disclosure: we're long BNB cc @cz_binance @binance @BinanceLabs
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
0/ An alternative theory on why Ethereum DeFi has been underperforming TLDR - the market is becoming more *mechanically* efficient as professional trading firms build infra, and they are sapping retail’s DeFi yields H/t @SpencerApplebau and @TusharJain_
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
3 years
Over the last decade, Otoy's Octane has become the most widely used for creating 3D renderings for small artists (Beeple) and large (Disney) And now they're building the decentralized @RenderToken network on Solana, to scale out computations 1,000,000x+ to support the Metaverse
@BrendanEich
BrendanEich
3 years
Future is here and @OTOY invented a lot of it. From @JulesUrbach ’s Solana Breakpoint keynote.
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
9 months
0/ there’s been a lot of discourse lately about the benefits of modular systems, and the problems with integrated (fka monolithic) systems So I articulated all of the things that aren’t in mainstream discourse
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@KyleSamani
Integrated Kyle e/acc
2 years
13/ A small % of capital in the world is non-productive Fiat cash is ~$100T Gold is ~$10T Public and private equity, debt, and real estate are at least 100x larger
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