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@K33Research

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Understand the digital assets industry, from short-term market signals to long-term fundamentals. Formerly Arcane Research.

Oslo, Norway
https://t.co/IWfZbowvqg
Joined December 2019
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
1 month
New Report: The Forces Moving Bitcoin In this report, we present a framework aiming to describe which factors are relevant for bitcoin's price discovery, the interplay between them, and how their importance varies over time. Download the full report now:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 years
New blog post: We predict that the use of the Lightning Network will outpace network capacity growth going forward.
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@K33Research
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3 years
NEW REPORT: The State of Lightning⚡️ The State of Lightning provides the most comprehensive overview of usage on the Lightning Network seen to date. Powered by @OpenNodeCo and supported by @lightning Download now:
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2 years
El Salvador🇸🇻 is building the world's first #Bitcoin city, financed with "Bitcoin Volcano Bonds" - as announced by @nayibbukele and @Excellion on Sunday. This infographic explains how it works. From our weekly market report:
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3 years
Institutional buying?🏦 The number of addresses holding at least 1000 BTC has skyrocketed lately. The growth from January to December last year: 6.7% The growth from December until today: 7.2% Read more in our weekly report tomorrow: Data: @glassnode
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@K33Research
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3 years
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@K33Research
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2 years
Stablecoin lending yields more than twice as much as US junk bonds and almost 150 times as much as the average US savings account. No wonder why the cryptocurrency lending industry is growing at such a staggering rate. From our weekly market report:
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2 years
“If the Terra Ecosystem was a sinking cruise ship, the captain and distinguished guests fled in superyachts, leaving most passengers behind without lifeboats.” New piece by @andershelseth
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2 years
NEW REPORT: The State of Lightning - Vol 2 Powered by @OpenNode Adoption is rising quickly, and the use of Lightning is growing much faster than the public numbers show. Learn more in our new report:
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4 years
S&P 500 fell for most of the day, while #bitcoin climbed. First day in a while without tight co-movement. Is this the start of a decoupling and a return to uncorrelatedness for #bitcoin ?
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3 years
Bitcoin’s climate footprint of 37Mt CO2 is still minuscule compared to other digital industries. The total GHG emissions from digital tech are estimated to 1600Mt, with Bitcoin contributing to roughly 2.3% of the digital tech emissions.
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4 years
The BTC deposits at major exchanges has dropped significantly since April and is currently at the low-levels of May 2019. This suggests that more users prefer to store their BTC in private wallets, which may lead to a lower selling pressure the upcoming months. Data: @glassnode
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3 years
A total of $602m worth of bitcoin short positions got liquidated in the aftermath of the Tesla news. Combined with the earlier short-squeeze driven by @ElonMusk 's bitcoin tweet, a total of $1.2b shorts have been liquidated on Musk driven events. Data: @bybt_com
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4 years
The BTC deposits at major exchanges is still falling, and currently sits at its lowest levels since November 2018. This could lead to a lower selling pressure going forward, as fewer hodlers are preparing to sell and realize profits. Data: @glassnode
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4 years
Did you know that #bitcoin has broken its all-time high vs Argentine Peso, Turkish Lira and Brazilian Real? Read more in our weekly market update tomorrow:
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3 years
Since #Bitcoin miners have economic incentives to utilize renewable energy, their sustainable power mix is estimated to be 58% - almost three times higher than the world average. Learn more in our weekly market report:
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3 years
#Bitcoin returns have historically varied between trading hours. In 2021, most returns were made when the European market was open, while the Asian trading hours yielded negative returns. Subscribe to our weekly report: Data: @NYDIG_BTC
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2 years
BITI, the first inverse BTC ETF, grew further last week. After becoming the second-largest bitcoin-related BTC ETF in the U.S. after only four days of trading, the net short exposure has grown further and increased by more than 300% last week.
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Finale🎅⚡️ @THNDRGAMES @acinq_co @voltage_cloud @LNMarkets @Okcoin @walletofsatoshi and us have 1,4 mill sats left when everything else is paid out according to our estimates. They must go! 10,000 sats to the first 140 to post an invoice here. Max 1 per person🎅
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4 years
⚡️The Lightning Network BTC Capacity just passed 1000 BTC⚡️ The BTC Capacity of the Lightning Network has been trending upwards the last 12 months and has now returned to the levels of May 2019. Data ( @LNstats , 1ML)
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2 years
In July, a Texas bitcoin miner earned more turning off its machines than mining bitcoin. @RiotBlockchain generated $9.5 million worth of power credits in July, significantly more than their bitcoin production this month of 318 BTC, worth $6.9 million.
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2 years
Presenting the Lightning Xmas Calendar, starting on Dec 1st ⚡️🎅 Learn about the Bitcoin Lightning Network and win daily prizes! With the help of @acinq_co , @Okcoin , @walletofsatoshi , @THNDRGAMES , @voltage_cloud , and @LNMarkets , the current prize pool stands at 10 million sats!
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3 years
Data from @glassnode shows that the number of active BTC addresses dropped sharply in May, and is now at the lowest level since November last year. A top signal, or just a correction? Read more in this week's market report:
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4 years
(1/2) Argentines are dumping record amounts of pesos for #bitcoin on @LocalBitcoins , as the government is about to default on its debt () and the currency is suffering from inflation. (Source: @Coin_Dance )
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2 years
NEW REPORT: How Bitcoin Mining Can Transform the Energy Industry Bitcoin miners are uniquely flexible energy consumers that can help solve some of our biggest energy problems. Powered by @CowaMining Learn more in our new report:
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3 years
Lightning Network activity on the rise⚡️ The BTC Capacity on Lightning has reached a new ATH of 1151 BTC! On Saturday the number of public channels on Lightning reached a new ATH of 40,400, surpassing its 2019 peak of 40,319 public channels. Read more:
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2 years
Lightning Network capacity has exploded since El Salvador🇸🇻 made #Bitcoin legal tender in September. Lightning Network capacity is now 3,225 BTC - a new all-time high. From our weekly market report:
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2 years
🎅⚡️Dec 1st here, and so is the first day of The Lightning Christmas Calendar! ⚡️🎅 Reply with the correct answer to today's question, and enter the draw to win 100,000 sats being sent to one lucky winner tomorrow. Deadline: Dec 2, 13.00 CET More on the calendar -> picture 2
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3 years
A strong debut by $BITO - the first bitcoin ETF in the US. IT had the highest natural* volume on day one of any US ETFs in history.
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4 years
The bitcoin hashrate reached a new all-time high this week with the 7-day average hashrate surpassing 140 EH/S. That’s 36% higher than the hashrate starting this year, a clear indication that the bitcoin fundamentals are as strong as they’ve ever been. Data: @glassnode
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 22🎅⚡️ The juicy prizes in the Lightning Christmas Calendar are thanks to generous contributions from @acinq_co , @Okcoin , @THNDRGAMES , @walletofsatoshi , @voltage_cloud , and @LNMarkets . And because of them, there's still a lot left
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3 years
ETH Futures launch on @CMEGroup 🏦 The first day of trading for CME's ETH Futures ended with over $30 million in volume and $20 million in open interest. Read more in our weekly report later today:
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2 years
The Bitcoin Lightning Network ecosystem is growing! Our data on Lightning Network payments points to usage growing more than public capacity as well. Stay tuned for an updated State of Lightning report in early April 👀⚡️ Read more:
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ That's it with winning opportunities for this time! ⚡️ We'll continue paying out the prizes, so don't despair if you haven't got your invoice paid yet! And if you slept, post your invoice, we'll pay out tomorrow too!🎅
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3 years
The 2017 bull market gave investors several buying opportunities. On-chain data is now showing similar trends: The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is dropping towards 1 again. Are you buying this dip? Read more in our weekly report: Data: @glassnode
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3 years
1/ Yesterday, we published our new report: The State of Lightning - providing the most comprehensive overview of usage on the Lightning Network seen to date. Powered by @OpenNodeCo and supported by @lightning Short summary in thread 👇
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar 🎅⚡️ @acinq_co , @Okcoin , @walletofsatoshi , @THNDRGAMES , @voltage_cloud , @LNMarkets , and @ArcaneResearch want to thank all who participated in the calendar. We hope you had fun and learned some new stuff! And merry Christmas to all!🎅⚡️
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2 years
Haven't found the time to read our in-depth report "The State of Lightning" yet?⚡️ No worries! Thanks to @TheGuySwann @BitcoinAudible , the full report is now available as podcast episodes🙌 Part 1: Part 2: Enjoy⚡️
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Read_591 - The State of Lightning - Part 2

Listen to this episode from Bitcoin Audible on Spotify. "What the Internet has done for information, Bitcoin and the Lightning Network will do for money. " - Elizabeth Stark Finishing the amazing...

open.spotify.com
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3 years
Chart of the week! ⚡️⚡️⚡️ Lightning has gotten increasing attention lately and has seen strong growth in 2021. Yesterday, the network capacity surpassed 1500 BTC. More about lightning in this week's market report: Data: @BitcoinVisuals , @LNstats
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4 months
THORChain has survived the bear market and hacks, recently hitting all-time highs in trading volume. THORChain’s RUNE is solidifying its place in DeFi, but Navigating Narratives argues that there are more intriguing plays in the ecosystem. Read more👇
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The Cross-Chain Comeback

Crypto markets are ruthless. To survive, you must provide a service for which users have a real need. THORChain has shown resilience through all the noise.

k33.com
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ Meme competition - haha, too close to call! Therefore, 10,000 sats to everyone who replied with a meme within the time limit⚡️⚡️ Saturday's Dec 11 task will drop tonight - with deadline Sunday evening. Have a great Saturday!🎅
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4 years
Introducing our new article series🥳 Each month, our own @ercwl will share his thoughts on the market and what he's paying a particular interest to currently. This month, he covers governance tokens, layer 2 solutions and bitcoin. Read his first piece:
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3 years
One of the main stories of the year has been the sharp decline in the aggregated BTC exchange balance. After moving sideways throughout November, the BTC exchange balance has once again started declining. Data: @glassnode
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 3🎅⚡️ We are barely getting started. Reply with the correct answer, and enter the draw to win 100,000 sats! Also, be sure to pick up your prize if you participated yesterday⚡️ Deadline: Dec 4, 13.00 CET
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2 years
The Weekly Update: Week 51 This week's report is a special edition - much more comprehensive than usual. We summarize what happened in the crypto market in 2021, with some predictions for 2022. Enjoy the report!
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K33 Research Home

Understand the digital assets industry, from short-term market signals to long-term fundamentals.

k33.com
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2 years
The gold-backed token market has increased by 360% since the beginning of 2021. So far, primarily gold-backed tokens have attracted investment, but other commodities may soon follow. Read more on our new research platform:
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2 years
⚡️🎅 The Lightning Christmas Calendar 🎅⚡️ Record number of contestants on yesterday's task ⚡️ The lucky winner of 100,000 sats is @Btcfan4 , congrats! 😁 AND, 5,000 sats in bonus for all participants within the deadline. Reply with an invoice, preferably QR-code 😁
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3 years
Bitcoin's unique properties make it the perfect collateral asset. - No counterparty risk or credit risk - Trading 24/7, 365 days a year, all over the world - The most portable asset the world has ever seen Read more in our report powered by @Bitstamp
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⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 16🎅⚡️ Back to Basis! 100,000 sats to one lucky winner, and potential for some participation bonus 👀 Deadline Dec 17, 13.00 CET Answer in reply⚡️
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2 years
SEC has denied all #bitcoin spot ETFs but has been comfortable approving futures ETFs that include rolling costs. SEC's mandate is to protect investors, and they sure have protected BTC investors from higher gains. From our weekly report:
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3 years
Never have we seen so many active addresses on the Bitcoin blockchain. The number of active addresses (7-day average) surpassed 1.24 million on Jan 8th, marking a new record high. Read more in our weekly report: Data: @glassnode
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3 years
Presenting our new report! Banking on Bitcoin - The State of Bitcoin as Collateral Bitcoin's unique properties make it the perfect collateral asset. This report covers how bitcoin is used as collateral today via exclusive data. Powered by @Bitstamp
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ Next up we're playing Turbo'84 by @THNDRGAMES !🏎️ Participation bonus to everyone playing. Extra bonus to highest score. Proof by screenshot in reply! Close at 20.00 UTC Iphone: Android:
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Turbo 84 - Retro Arcade Racing - Apps on Google Play

The ultimate arcade-style endless runner retro racing game.

play.google.com
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2 years
Our report "Summary of 2021 in Crypto" is now available in video format thanks to @coinbureau . If you haven't read the report yet, you can find it here:
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MINDBLOWING Crypto Report!! 2022 Insights You Can't Miss!!

📲 Insider Info in my Socials 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/socials/🛒 Best Deals in Crypto 👉 https://guy.coinbureau.com/deals/👕 "Keep Calm Hodl On" Hoody ...

www.youtube.com
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3 years
We're excited to announce our new partnership with @BlockFi ! A new biweekly report series by BlockFi and Arcane Research, assessing the state of institutional investments and activity in the digital assets space, exclusively for BlockFi clients.
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2 years
A very important date for #Bitcoin is rapidly approaching. November 14th is the final deadline for the SEC response to VanEck’s spot-based BTC ETF. Will we see a spot-based #Bitcoin ETF soon? From our weekly market report:
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ TRADING COMPETITION! Read the instructions carefully. Links: Phoenix on apple: Phoenix on android:
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 4🎅⚡️ First Saturday of December, but The Lightning Christmas Calendar does not take weekends off - just like Bitcoin. 100,000 sats to one correct and lucky respondent. Mark what's true. Either screenshot or letter/numbers in reply.
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3 years
According to data from @skewdotcom , CME is now the largest futures market for #bitcoin ! Institutional investors are here🏦💰
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4 years
Whales are accumulating more #BTC The number of wallets holding more than 1000+ BTC just reached a new all-time high🐳 The recent uptick shows that large BTC holders currently have no interest in realizing profits. Data from @santimentfeed
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11 months
⚖️Comparison: 'Spray & pray' altcoin vs. bitcoin-only strategy The altcoin strategy buys the entire top 100 by mcap in January 2015 - then buys all new entrants to the top 100 later. The bitcoin-only strategy simply buys bitcoin every time instead.
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4 years
News Update: @Equinor , one of the largest energy companies in the world, has partnered with the startup @CrusoeEnergy to significantly reduce flaring from operations through bitcoin mining.
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5 months
A faster recovery than previous cycles? 📈 If the current price rally marks the start of a new and prolonged bull market, the recovery will be significantly quicker than in previous cycles. There are rational arguments for this recovery being faster than the past cycles. The…
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2 years
We’re live! @AdoptingBTC #adopt21
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2 years
Bitcoin is no stranger to long and painful drawdowns. The current 222-day long drawdown of -73% may feel painful, but the faith of #bitcoin hodlers was tested much harder in 2013 and 2017.
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 21🎅⚡️ The last hard one today. The remaining days are going to be plain sailing 😁 100,000 sats to the winner, and participation bonus to the rest of the participants⚡️ Deadline: Dec 22, 17.00 CET
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2 years
ICYMI: The web3 landscape Read the first part in @sblikstad 's new series about web3:
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4 years
Through its ownership stakes in MicroStrategy (1.51% as of December 31st 2019), the Norwegian Government Pension Fund now indirectly holds 577.6 bitcoin (~57.5 MNOK, 6.3m USD).
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2 years
VanEck's spot-based #Bitcoin ETF may have been rejected, but there are still many more applications coming up. Pay attention.
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2 years
The futures basis on CME’s most traded BTC contract, the front-month futures contract, is trading in sharp backwardation. The previous all-time low occurred in July 2021 and was followed by a hefty short squeeze. What will happen this time?
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2 years
Bitcoin mining is an energy-intensive and stable load that can be rapidly adjusted up or down with extreme precision at no extra cost. These factors make it an unmatched alternative for stabilizing electric grids through demand response.
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2 years
#Bitcoin transaction fees have been abnormally low in this autumn's bull market. During other bull markets, mean fees have been about $60. The mean fee now is just $3. Why are fees so much lower in this bull market? Subscribe to our weekly market report:
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3 years
The Fear and Greed Index is now at 21, a level not seen since April 2020. An extremely fearful market like this has historically presented solid buying opportunities during bull cycles. Read more in our weekly market report:
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3 years
Ecosystem overview: The map below shows how all parts of the growing bitcoin ecosystem are connected, exemplified by a few companies. Learn more about the bitcoin trading ecosystem and the emerging institutional infrastructure in our new in-depth report:
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2 years
#Bitcoin beats both the stock market and gold for the third year in a row. Will #Bitcoin beat the stock market and gold next year as well? From our weekly market report:
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2 years
⚡️🎅Dec 2, and day 2 of The Lightning Christmas Calendar!🎅⚡️ Reply with the correct answer to today's question, and enter the draw to win 100,000 sats being sent to one lucky winner tomorrow. Tomorrow might be good for some random prizes as well 👀 Deadline: Dec 3, 13.00 CET
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2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 10🎅⚡️ It's Friday, and time for some light-hearted fun! Post your best meme according to the description in the picture. A total prize pot of 300,000 sats will be dealt discretionary⚡️⚡️ Deadline: Saturday 13.00 CET
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@K33Research
2 years
Thousands of people globally are donating millions worth of cryptocurrencies to support Ukraine🇺🇦. Have we underestimated the power of using cryptocurrencies for fundraising?
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 years
This quarter could be an eventful quarter for bitcoin as we await SEC’s final verdict on the ever-growing list of pending BTC ETFs. Will we see a bitcoin ETF being approved this year, and if approved, what impact could ETFs have on the bitcoin price?
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
4 years
New investors entering the market?🤠 📈The search interest for "buy crypto" is growing rapidly and has spiked this summer📈 We're now at the highest level since January 2018, according to data from @GoogleTrends .
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
Hello crypto twitter👋👋 We're searching for someone to help us with graphics and illustrations on our new research platform! Looking for work? DMs are open🤝
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
#Bitcoin exchange balance is plummeting and sits at the lowest level in more than 3 years. Holders are moving bitcoin out of exchanges - limiting the supply that is available for selling. Sign up for our weekly report: Data: @glassnode
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
#Bitcoin trading activity is far higher during US market hours. The trend is even more telling in 2022. Since Jan 1st, 43% of the BTC trading volume occurred during US market hours, with bitcoin seeing high correlation to S&P 500. From our weekly report:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ Winner of the Dec 21 task and 100,000 sats is @theuglycats ! Bonus to the rest who participated in time, 20,000 sats yet again ⚡️ Reply with an invoice to your answer on the task post 😁
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
We are currently in El Salvador🇸🇻 to present our research report on the Lightning Network⚡️ at the @AdoptingBTC conference. If you haven't read our Lightning Network report yet, you can download it here:
The State of Lightning

Since its launch in 2018, the Lightning Network has long been a place for development and niche applications. Recent development shows that this is changing rapidly.

k33.com
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 years
NEW REPORT: The Bitcoin Trading Ecosystem We're excited to share our latest report, discussing different aspects of the bitcoin trading ecosystem and gives an overview of how interconnected the current infrastructure is. Powered by @LMAX Download now:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
4 months
Why you should sell all your ADA (Cardano) The Cardano network’s complete lack of meaningful activity will make the Ada token worthless over time. Read the full reasoning on K33 Research 👇
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Why you should sell all your ADA

The Cardano network’s complete lack of meaningful activity will make the Ada token worthless over time.

k33.com
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
Did the Terra founders and VCs cash out huge profits before the project collapsed? Clusters of wallets funded by Terraform Labs and/or other early top holders have $6 billion in net outflows to centralized exchanges and bridges from October 2021 to May 2022.
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar - Dec 5🎅⚡️ Weekly task. Deadline next Sunday, so take your time. Doing some daily tasks first will also make the weekly task easier. Read the cards carefully. 500,000 sats to one winner. + 500,000 sats in bonus/participation pot Have fun!
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ Make a wish 22 Dec So many good wishes, impossible to differentiate. 10,000 sats to all who made a wish (we'll tag you 😁) And 100,000 sats to @CrytoAlex and @Liquicitizen2 for the family type of wallet wish 😁
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
1 year
A reliable pattern or an illusory correlation? BTC’s current drawdown and recovery cycle is remarkably similar to the pattern seen in the 2018-19 bear market in terms of length and trajectory. If history repeats, BTC will peak around May 20 at $45,000.
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 years
Hey crypto twitter 👋 We're looking for an analyst to join our growing research team! Apply here:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
⚡️🎅The Lightning Christmas Calendar🎅⚡️ First out: Rewards on the Turbo´84 by @THNDRGAMES competition. Some crazy speeds🤯 Participation bonus of 10,000 sats to everyone who played in time. We´ll tag you 😁 100,000 to 3 fastest: @sammywiener @pazzay1 @Arshiya_mhe
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 months
Live from Oslo! @VetleLunde joined Bloomberg TV yesterday, discussing the current Bitcoin ETF flows, what could be next for Bitcoin after the ETF narrative, and the potential implications for altcoins. Watch the full interview here:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
420,000 Norwegians (10% of the adult population) own cryptocurrencies Over the last year, we've seen a doubling in the female ownership rate in crypto. 330,000 Norwegian adults aged 39 and younger own crypto, compared to 198,000 Norwegians owning stocks.
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
⚡️🎅The Lighting Christmas Calendar - Dec 11🎅⚡️ Enough with the memes 😅 New daily task with deadline Sunday 19.00 CET is now out. 100,000 sats to one of the contestants that get it right⚡️ Answer in reply. Best of luck!🎅
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
What is Taproot, the next Bitcoin upgrade? Taproot is arguably the most important and anticipated upgrade to the Bitcoin network since the Segregated Witness (SegWit) upgrade in 2017. Learn more in our new blog post:
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
If #Ethereum 's merge on Wednesday goes as planned, ETH miners will be obsolete. ETH miners earned $18 billion in 2021, compared to $17 billion for BTC miners.
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
4 years
New money flowing into bitcoin - Realized Cap reaching all-time high @glassnode (4/6)
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
3 years
"...over time we expect Lightning to become a payment option as common as cash or credit card payments are today.” - @Snyke , Researcher at @Blockstream
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@K33Research
K33 Research
@K33Research
2 years
What makes the former Soviet republic of Georgia🇬🇪 so attractive to #bitcoin miners? Read the first piece in our new article series by @JMellerud , describing the bitcoin mining industry in various countries worldwide, starting with Georgia.
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