Do diversity quotas prioritize numbers over merit and genuine integration?
In this episode, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein (
@MvLiechtenstein
) interviews human rights advocate Ayaan Hirsi Ali (
@Ayaan
) to discuss the challenges women face in achieving…
NEW REPORT: President Bola
#Tinubu
has taken daring steps to stabilize
#Nigeria
’s public finances, but more is needed to realize the potential of the richly endowed country.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Teresa Nogueira Pinto (
@Teresa_np
):
A self-declared anarcho-capitalist, he is, in reality, a free-market advocate who champions the power of the private sector, entrepreneurial initiatives, the vital benefits of competition and a streamlined government. Argentina desperately requires this remedy despite the initial…
Javier
#Milei
’s victory in
#Argentina
’s election marks the end of a close political flirt with China, which has been ramping up cooperation with Latin America as part of its strategic goal to gain space supremacy.
Read more in our report by
@awgadzala
:
Next week,
#Kenya
will host the continent's first climate summit.
@MvLiechtenstein
reminds us that Africa doesn't fit neatly into the boxes that the West keeps trying to create for it:
NEW REPORT: Ankara’s many-sided approach to cooperation with Africa is bearing fruit.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Teresa Nogueira Pinto (
@teresa_np
):
Ecuadorian port cities and their suburbs have become hotspots for exports of South American cocaine to Europe and the United States, and in some cases, of gruesome violence associated with drug trafficking and organized crime. President Daniel Noboa’s mano dura (iron fist)…
NEW REPORT: A center-left ruling team is about to replace a conservative one in Warsaw. Expect improved relations with Brussels and Berlin and shifts in many current policies.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Matt Boyse:
India has the world’s largest population and the fifth-largest economy, growing faster than any other among the top 10.
The multipolar world order that India has sought for over seven decades may not be a reality yet, but India is certainly in a unique position today.
Read more…
The Romanian paradox: impressive economic performance despite the perception of unimpressive governance and political processes.
It offers two clear scenarios, both with equal chances of prevailing.
Around 22 countries negotiated and explored bilateral trade with
#India
in rupees. Is this another sign of the reassessment of the dollar's global status?
@Colombatto
writes that India will likely need at least a decade to build enough weight in terms of GDP and international…
Police in
#India
fired tear gas and water cannons to scatter thousands of farmers trying to stage a protest march to Delhi after they rejected a government offer on prices for their produce.
Already in 2022,
@PramitWorld
wrote that government subsidies and inadequate investment…
At 35 years old, Daniel
#Noboa
is Ecuador's youngest elected president and heir to his father's banana business. He has less than a year to govern before the next election. Guillermo
#Lasso
, the ex-president of
#Ecuador
, was fighting for survival and ultimately dissolved the…
NEW REPORT: The fallout of the Kremlin’s war against
#Ukraine
includes
#Russia
's loss of influence over ex-Soviet republics.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Paweł Kowal (
@pawelkowalpl_EN
):
NEW REPORT:
#Egypt
’s hopes for becoming a regional
#gas
production powerhouse and
#LNG
export hub are thwarted by question marks over its social and political stability.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Carole Nakhle (
@carole_nakhle
):
NEW REPORT: Discontent with the status quo led to a close 2022 election in the ex-Portuguese colony, which is still healing from civil war and facing tough economic challenges.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
about
#Angola
's economy:
NEW REPORT: Expectations that June’s revolt would lead to a regime change were misplaced. Instead, the Russian state will enter a phase of slow decay.
Read more in a new
#GISreport
by Pawel Kowal (
@pawelkowalpl_EN
):
At this year’s Munich Security Conference, European defense was a huge topic of debate.
GIS founder and chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein (
@MvLiechtenstein
), argues in this week’s comment that Europe needs to achieve military sovereignty:
The head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, and the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, have flown to Mauritania to sign a series of deals on migration and energy, as there has been a surge in people-smuggling operations to the Canary Islands.
Our report by…
#Poland
's ruling nationalists appeared to have lost their parliamentary majority. What happens politically in Central Europe is crucial for the future of Ukraine.
Read more in our recent report by
@KP_Schwarz
:
*The photo presents Viktor Orban, Hungary's…
The U.S. House of Representatives has approved a $61 billion package in new military aid for Ukraine to help combat Russia's invasion.
Will this aid change the situation on the frontline?
NEW REPORT: Many politicians in
#Germany
have not learned their lessons or atoned for their past mistakes with their policy towards
#Russia
.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Matt Boyse:
Over the last six decades, Swiss federal military spending as a percentage of GDP decreased from a high of 2.57% in 1962, when it was $0.27 billion, to a low of 0.63% in 2014 at $4.61 billion.
The latest figures, for 2021, are 0.71% of GDP at $5.74 billion.
Last week
#Italy
shocked banks with the idea of a 40% one-off bank
#tax
.
@Colombatto
writes that though some believe punishing “profiteering” with higher taxation is morally justified, for the economy, it is a dangerous folly:
Thousands of demonstrators in Barcelona, Spain, protest a deal struck by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez that granted amnesty to people involved in the 2017 breakaway attempt in Catalonia. The caretaker prime minister made the deal in exchange for political support that allows him…
The
#Wagner
group has, over a decade, emerged as a force to call when it comes to procuring ruthless security assistance to regimes and embattled rulers in Africa.
That assistance is usually required by fragile states with a history of persistent internal conflicts, pointing to…
China accounted for nearly 23 percent of all Indonesian exports in 2022, more than double the amount of the United States, the second-highest destination.
Indonesia’s growing economic reliance on Beijing risks complicating efforts to address confrontational Chinese behavior in…
NEW REPORT: If the Kremlin proves successful, Russia will likely seek to annex Transnistria and expand throughout
#Ukraine
, and possibly
#Romania
, to the
#BlackSea
.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Prof. Colleen Graffy (
@Colleen_Graffy
):
#Hamas
has mismanaged governance of the
#Gaza
Strip.
In 2007, Hamas, an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood, wrested control of the Gaza Strip from the Fatah-led Palestinian National Authority in a bloody military coup.
Romania has shown unwavering solidarity with Ukraine in its defense against Russia’s invasion even though there are several ongoing territorial disputes between two countries:
➡️ Northern Bukovina
The Soviet Union initially occupied the northern part of Bukovina, a traditionally…
Mexico’s endemic governance problems have created economic hardship and failed to curb violence fueled by organized crime.
Some journalists and analysts have taken to referring to
#AMLO
’s time in power as the “Teflon Presidency” since nothing seems to stick, from a poor pandemic…
The EU’s latest proposal for more stringent supply chain requirements would introduce substantial administrative burdens:
By Prince Michael of Liechtenstein (
@MvLiechtenstein
)
NEW REPORT: Despite historical tensions over minority rights and territorial disputes, Romania has shown unwavering solidarity with Ukraine in its defense against Russia’s invasion.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Prof. Paul Dragos Aligica:
Starting last June, the flow of
#weapons
and ammunition from allies helped
#Ukrainian
forces first halt
#Russia
’s eastern advances and then lay the groundwork for offensive operations.
*Chart below shows commitments made between January 24, 2022, to May 31, 2023.
A wave of protests by farmers across
#Germany
has shocked the country’s political class.
Those who read GIS are less surprised, as our analysis has recognized the government’s anti-business, anti-farmer and anti-middle class policies for years.
Are Germans themselves finally…
NEW REPORT: Prime Minister Meloni wants to revolutionize Italy’s relationship with Africa. The plan has merits, but it would take more than one European country’s involvement to make it work.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Federica Saini Fasanotti:…
Could
#Turkey
broker peace in the
#Hamas
-Israel conflict?
Listen to the newest episode of the
#GISpodcast
, in which Prince Michael of Liechtenstein, GIS Founder and Chairman, is joined by Alper Coşkun, senior fellow in the Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for…
The primary election campaign in
#Argentina
focused on economic and security issues as the economy shrank 2.8% in the second quarter of 2023 and 4.9% versus a year earlier.
The race to replace ousted House Speaker Kevin McCarthy started as Steve Scalise and Jim Jordan said they would seek the post.
According to
@JJCarafano
, political stability in the U.S. will come not from a resurgence of bipartisanship but from the dominance of conservative or…
According to the
@TheStudyofWar
, Russia will likely continue to exploit the
#Hamas
attacks on
#Israel
to deflect the West’s attention from the war in Ukraine.
Read more about how the war in Ukraine affects Middle East geopolitics in our recent report by
@BousselPierre
:…
NEW REPORT: The same traditional parties have long dominated the German scene, but a changing society may upend the status quo.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Andreas Rödder:
NEW REPORT: The bilateral relationship is deep and nonpartisan, with generally common interests in security and trade, bringing continuity no matter who is in power in either country.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Carafano (
@JJCarafano
):
NEW REPORT: Leading nonaligned nations are touted as possible mediators in helping to end
#Russia
’s war on
#Ukraine
– what role might
#Serbia
play?
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Ambassador Klaus Wölfer (
@klauswoelfer
):
NEW REPORT: The British public has grown disappointed with
#Brexit
's consequences. Given the disingenuous national debate leading up to it, the fiasco is not a big surprise.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Prof. Enrico Colombatto (
@Colombatto
):
What can we expect from the energy sector in 2023?
➡️How is the search for alternatives to Russian supplies progressing?
➡️Why has the oil sector become so volatile?
➡️Could nuclear energy and hydrogen storage be parts of the solution?
Find the answers in our new dossier about…
What are the dynamics in the global energy landscape today? What are the roots of the crisis in this area?
In this special episode of the
#GIS
podcast,
@MvLiechtenstein
, GIS founder and chairman, interviews Dr. Frank Umbach, a leading expert on energy security and cybersecurity.…
The EU is primarily focused on routes to Europe by sea. In 2023, the Central Mediterranean Route from Tunisia, Libya or Algeria to Sicily or the Italian mainland had the most traffic. Irregular migration in smaller numbers flows along the Western African Route connecting the…
NEW REPORT: Hungary and Slovakia share some tendencies under their controversial leaders, but when economic policies are compared, Slovakia falls short.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Ivan Miklos:
NEW REPORT: American interests in a free and open Black Sea are enduring, but the level of engagement will be shaped by the war in Ukraine and the depth of future U.S. commitment to transatlantic security.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by
@JJCarafano
:
NEW REPORT: France and Germany's structural problems differ, but they result in the same outcome: subpar productivity, declining competitiveness and sluggish growth.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Emmanuel Martin:
The United States and its allies are facing a formidable alliance of China, Russia and North Korea:
By Prince Michael of Liechtenstein (
@MvLiechtenstein
)
What should decision makers watch for in 2024?
Dr. Peter Brookes (
@Brookes_Peter
), GIS expert on defense and national security, will join us for a live webinar to discuss global hotspots in 2024.
Tune in on January 17, 4:00 PM CET / 10:00 AM EST:
#Greece
recorded the EU’s highest government
#debt
to GDP ratio at the end of the third quarter of 2022.
Check the data for other countries:
***
Our Inflation Dashboard provides daily updates on critical economic indicators affected by inflation.
The German economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of 2023, marking a downturn after two consecutive quarters of stagnation. The French economy showed no growth in the same period. For the full year, France’s GDP increased by 0.9% after rises of 2.5% in 2022 and 6.4% in…
Über-Bundestag? The current Bundestag has a record number of members as a result of the German electoral system’s use of overhang and leveling seats. These mechanisms ensure proportional representation by retaining extra seats won in constituencies (overhang seats) and adding…
NEW REPORT: The Biden administration’s attempts to engage
#Iran
have encouraged
#Israel
’s enemies and could soon force the United States to make dangerous choices.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. James Jay Carafano (
@JJCarafano
):
How will the increasingly unstable geopolitical landscape affect global energy supplies?
Dr. Carole Nakhle (
@carole_nakhle
), an internationally renowned expert on global energy issues, will join us for a special live webinar to discuss energy supplies and geopolitical…
The baseline scenario is that Finland’s military strength and its resolve to fight will be sufficient to deter a direct Russian attack.
Read more in our newest report by Prof. Stefan Hedlund (
@Sarimner
):
Poland intends to extend temporary controls on its border with Slovakia to block illegal migration routes through Poland.
@MVLiechtenstein
argues the EU could improve its immigration policies with enhanced control by Frontex, initiating controlled immigration procedures in…
How will geopolitics shape the future of the energy sector?
In the latest episode of the
#GISpodcast
,
@MvLiechtenstein
and
@carole_nakhle
discuss the most pressing issues regarding energy economics:
Find out more in our new dossier about energy…
➡️Concerned about rising prices?
➡️Wondering why reversing this trend may be more difficult than central bankers claim?
➡️Want to know what to expect in 2023?
Discover the answers in our new dossier on
#inflation
:
NEW REPORT: With China and North Korea making aggressive moves,
#Japan
is awakening to the need for increased defense spending.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Urs Schöttli:
At this stage, the desire for peace is not shared by the instigator of the war nor the leader of the defending country under attack.
Read more:
***
#Ukraine
in focus is a series of comments by
@Mvliechtenstein
:
After Joe Biden assumed the presidency in January 2021 and word spread of a more accommodating border and
#immigration
policy, the number of Latin Americans trying to illegally enter the U.S. surged.
NEW REPORT: Opponents of Ukraine aid often fail to grasp the extent to which a Russian victory would weaken the United States.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Andrew Kureth (
@AndyKureth
):
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa has authorised the deployment of 3,300 army personnel to help combat illegal mining activities.
n May,
@teresa_np
wrote that Africa’s second-largest economy is struggling, and the long-dominant African National Congress party will likely…
The resistance in Congress to Ukraine aid, though loud and somewhat effective so far, is being mounted by a fairly small group of politicians. A majority of Americans understand what is at stake in Russia’s war on Ukraine and favor continuing support.
Read more in our newest…
#Wagner
, the Russian mercenary group, is set to be banned as a terrorist group by the UK government. Though the organization’s future in Europe is uncertain, Wagner’s presence in Africa remains suspiciously active:
NEW REPORT: NATO will benefit greatly from Finland’s provision of clear deterrence; less so from Sweden, with its vulnerabilities to Russian threats.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Prof. Stefan Hedlund (
@Sarimner
):
How to tap the potential of Sub-Saharan Africa?
@MvLiechtenstein
, GIS Founder and Chairman and
@teresa_np
, a leading expert on African affairs, discuss the most likely scenarios of the region’s development.
Listen here:
Thousands of Israelis have been protesting against the government’s judicial reforms in Tel Aviv. The U.S. government also finds Mr.
#Netanyahu
’s judicial reform controversial:
How will inflation shape the future of the global economy?
In the newest episode of the
#GISpodcast
,
@MvLiechtenstein
and
@Colombatto
discuss the most pressing issues surrounding inflation:
Find out more in our new dossier:
NEW REPORT:
#Greenland
has passed a draft constitution, raising the possibility of independence from
#Denmark
and concerns over its strategic significance.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Prof. Stefan Hedlund (
@Sarimner
):
Tax revenue from Russia’s
#oil
and
#gas
has dropped sharply in the first two months of 2023 as
#EU
price caps and import bans cut into energy exports.
But even sold at current discounts, the oil business is still profitable for
#Russia
.
Age is a concern for both President Biden and former President Trump, who could offer changes to U.S. foreign policy as they try to cater to younger voters:
By Prince Michael of Liechtenstein (
@MvLiechtenstein
)
President
#Biden
is under pressure to attack
#Iran
directly. Already in October,
@JJCarafano
wrote that the Biden administration’s attempts to engage Iran could soon force the United States to make dangerous choices:
Tuomas Valimaki, a board member of the Bank of Finland, says that the ECB has done enough to combat inflation, but a further increase in interest rates later on cannot be ruled out.
According to
@Colombatto
, in terms of central banking’s role, investors emphasize public finance…
#Inflation
started rising some three years ago in the U.S. and a few months later in Europe.
Looking at what happened, there are three lessons to be learned that may help understand how future developments will unfold.
NEW REPORT: To sustain its leading position in the global
#LNG
market,
#Australia
must diversify its export partners and invest in exploration, production and infrastructure.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr. Carole Nakhle (
@carole_nakhle
):
NEW REPORT: Technical and, above all, political obstacles block Cyprus’s way to becoming a natural
#gas
producer and exporter. Some Mediterranean neighbors, including Turkey, complicate the problem.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Dr.
@carole_nakhle
:
Africa holds 1/3 of the world’s natural resources.
🌍The continents' strategic location will play a crucial role in future geopolitical developments. Demand for Africa’s lithium, copper, manganese, graphite, and vanadium will rise fivefold by 2050.
🇨🇳China, 🇷🇺Russia, and…
Recorded history's hottest October happened last month.
@JJCarafano
reminds us that Republicans and Democrats are in opposing camps on climate. With the inauguration of President Joe Biden in 2021, the new administration made climate policy a focal point of both its domestic…
NEW REPORT: Despite the war raging nearby, the most pressing risk to
#Moldova
today is not a possible Russian invasion but internal instability.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Paweł Kowal (
@pawelkowalpl_EN
):
Of all the armed groups Iran leverages to spread its influence in the Middle East,
#Hezbollah
is the most formidable.
Its chokehold over Lebanese politics has taken a steep toll on the country.
NEW REPORT: Amid Europe’s drive for sustainability and autonomy, Sweden emerges as a rare metals pioneer aiming to challenge China’s dominance.
Read more in the new
#GISreport
by Ewa Björling (
@EwaBjorling
):