๐ฅ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ผ ๐๐. ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ - ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐... [๐ฎ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ] ๐งต
Like many of you, I have continued to have this internal debate... Robbo๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ or Diaz๐จ๐ด for the 3rd LIV spot?
I have gone back and forth in my tinkers quite a bit.
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First off, I am not going to compare them one-v-one given the price gap + different positions. ๐ ๐
My debate atm is how to spread the 13 M ๐ทacross a DEF/MID pairing:
๐ดDiaz + 5.0 M DEF (Cash, Tripps, Gabriel, Walker, etc.)
โช๏ธRobbo + 6.0 M mid (Martinelli, Neto, etc.)
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๐ฎ And let's only look at the first 6 GWs given most of us are thinking of the early WC! ๐ฎ
โคต๏ธ
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@fplreview
predicted points GW1-6
Diaz 28.9
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Robbo 27.7
----------------
Gabriel 20.0
Walker 19.0
Doherty 18.5
Digne 17.2
Tripps 16.3
Cash 15.6
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Martinelli 22.6
Neto 20.4
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The "optimal" pairings are:
๐ดRobbo + Martinelli = 50.3
โช๏ธDiaz + Gabriel = 48.9
๐ดRobbo + Neto = 48.1
โช๏ธDiaz + Walker = 47.9
Hmm, there is not much to choose between here AT ALL eh?! ๐ฌ
So perhaps you think that this thread has been useless ๐
๐๏ธ ... but wait!!
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I am looking at this debate in a different way though... it's opening up the question (for me, at least) who has the greater potential over this relatively short period of time to pop. ๐ฅ
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I see many folks saying Robbo will have outscored Diaz by GW38 and using that as a reason to go with Robbo GW1. I agree with the overall point but I don't necessarily agree that this is a great reason to pick Robbo in your first draft.
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I look at LIV's early fixtures and hell yeah, I see strong CS potential but I also see them at the top of
@FPL_Chase
's Projected Gs table (2.5 goals per game!).
Based on the projections I have made earlier, here are preliminary projected CS and Goals for the first 6 GWs
Could be an easy visual reference for some early tinkering
#FPL
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@FplMfdoom
Fantastic thread Pete!
When comparing xGI, what would it look like if you include CS%? That might lift Robbo above Diaz right? I ask as a Diaz owner
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The kicker for me is comparing Diaz vs. Robbo's %xGI and %GI
#s
for GW24-38 from last season.
Diaz = 25% xGI, 23% GI
Robbo = 11% xGI, 17% GI
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Diaz was only behind Salah and Mane in %xGI and we see he was pretty reliable (GI ~= xGI)... while Robbo outperformed his xGI
#s
in the last few GWs of the season and on the season on a whole (xGI 8.7, GI 14) - much higher than in previous seasons.
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@FplMfdoom
Really good thread! The other factor in the equation would be the 5.0 def vs 6.0 mid debate. Does seem like the former offers you a whoooole lot more flexibility. Apart from Martinelli, Neto, and possibly Bruno G, not much value there for now...
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@FPLPotatoMee
totally agree, there's many more defenders in the 4.5-5.0 M that would potentially be of interest to me!
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@FplMfdoom
Great work !! Such an interesting thread!! I will go with robo because I think he will play for sure more minutes. Goals will be splitted but cs are for every defender even if he doesn't play well . In addition to that robo could take huge bonus points plus his xgi are respectful
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@FplMfdoom
Excellent reasoning ๐ Iโm on Diaz currently but have been back and forth with this debate.
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