Done lots of educational videos at this point...
If you want to *actually* make $ betting, here's the top ones:
1) Intro to profitable betting:
2) Positive EV:
3) Arbitrage:
4) Math:
π§΅PrizePicks strategy ...
On PrizePicks, the optimal slip type = 5 flex or 6 flex
But the most popular slip type = 2 pick power plays
Long-term, you'll make a lot more money playing 5/6 flex plays & hopefully this thread explains why
(continue)
There are 4 main strategies for *actually* making money sports betting
1) Arbitrage
2) Middle
3) Positive EV (+EV)
4) Promos
Let's go through them all ...
Disagree with me? Can't wait to hear it ...
All you people bitching about Caitlin Clark's salary better be buying season tickets & jerseys as we speak...
Money doesn't come out of thin air, maybe try actually supporting the WNBA π«
I've used (basically) every sportsbook in the U.S. at this point ....
FanDuel vs DraftKings vs PrizePicks vs Caesars - which one is best? π€
Pros & cons of each one below π
What 99% of the betting industry says to me:
1) "Nerd"
2) "Data is lame"
Well... I'm at $41,000 profit this month (so far) & ive tried to help other bettors learn
to each their own, though ...
ESPN now has a sportsbook, ESPN BET
Books make money by getting people to lose as much as possible...
So now the largest sports media company & their "impartial" reporters with tremendous influence are financially incentivized to get more people to bet & lose...
Unethical?π€·ββοΈ
Sports betting is by far the most socially unacceptable form of gambling:
1) Tell people you're an options trader (e.g. betting on stock prices), they think you're smart
2) Tell people you bet on sports, they think you have a problem
& nobody has a logical reason as to why...
π¨January Recap
What most people say to me:
1) "Data doesn't work in sports betting"
2) "Nerd"
Well I made over $14,600 tracked profit last month, gave out every play for free, and helped others learn how to beat the sportsbooks ...
But I'm the weird one π€·ββοΈ
Do you know what a βNBA afternoonβ is?
Probably not, considering I invented it with my Rabbi a while backβ¦
In a NBA afternoon, you skip commitments, bet on player props, doordash chocolate chip pancakes from Dennys & watch forensic files until the NBA games start.
Itβs allβ¦
Do you know what a "bottle night" is?
Probably not, because my gf and I invented it during a 2023 blizzard in Buffalo, NY.
We lock our phones away, turn the TV off...
Each grab a bottle of wine, and talk.
That's it, we simply talk and enjoy each other's presence.
We liveβ¦
guess it's february now ...
January sports betting profit closes @ $46,963.42
i appreciate the support from everyone ...
let's run it up even more this month π€
$4,000 comes down to Nurkic Under 24.5 π€€
If he goes under, I'll give somebody who likes this tweet $250. Why not
All my plays are free on Twitter or stream:
People are wasting so much money buying picks, shitty ass Discord servers... It's sad man...π
The price of a stock means something...
Tesla: $233.65
This stock price means Tesla, as a company, is worth $735 Billion (# shares x price). Anybody who believes Tesla is worth less than $735 Billion can sell the stock
It's the same thing in sports betting...
The Eagles areβ¦
Do you know what a "bottle night" is?
Probably not, because I invented it in middle school during a hurricane...
On bottle night, one sits alone, whips out a Heineken, turns on NBA games using a service called StreamEast & bet on sports
That's it. You bet on sports, watchβ¦
Everybody loves to bet on favorites but ...
1) Winning 27% of your bets @ +300 odds means you're profitable
2) Winning 73% of your bets @ -300 odds means you're NOT profitable...
Win-loss record is the most useless stat in sports betting
$350 -> $9,883.93, 5 pick parlay π―
Parlay is on FanDuel, will break down below
If this hits, I'll give $500 to 15 people, just like this tweet
fun sweat π₯Ή
If you're unhappy & in a cold place right now...
Move to Scottsdale & bet on sports
Scottsdale is:
1) Best sports betting in the country
2) Affordable
3) Lit
4) Warm
Prioritize YOU, you'll be happier...
I made that decision 17 months ago, the day AZ legalized sports betting
I've said it too many times...
If you're gonna bitch about every losing play, go pay for your dumbass Discord & shit ass handicapper. Have fun losing money & remaining oblivious π
EVERY SINGLE ONE of my plays is free on Twitter or Twitch:
Ran this 5 pick on Underdog π―
Link to tail:
Underdog works just like PrizePicks, fixed payouts. There's 3 differences between them...
1) They have different lines from one another. PrizePicks has Russell's line @ 6.0. Underdog is 5.5 which is of courseβ¦
There's a new sportsbook in town...
Rebet is legal in 47 states - it's (basically) a new version of Fliff...
Here's everything you need to know about Rebet π
$250 -> $892.29, 2 pick NBA π―
Parlay is on Fliff, a sportsbook legal in basically every state ...
If it wins, I'll give $100 to somebody who likes this tweet, happy Friday π€
Do you know this guy? π€
Probably not, but you should... especially if you gamble
His name is Bill Benter & he profited over $1 billion sports betting
In 2001, he won a $16 million bet & didn't collect the winnings because he felt bad π
Anyways... here's how he did it π
First person to predict the correct score of UConn vs Purdue, Iβll give $250
Just comment π
My prediction: Purdue 74, UConn 70
im so excited to watch Edey destroy UConn π₯Ή
NBA parlay, 2 pick π―
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we hit πͺπͺ
Parlay is on Fliff, a sportsbook legal in (basically) every state ...
Streaming some bets shortly on Twitch, follow here:
Honestly THIS is the problem with gambling twitter π
90% of my timeline is big parlay wins that were posted in a premium (e.g. paid) community, behind a paywall...
Most "premium" communities give out 20+ plays per day. But you only see the wins on Twitter...
Gives completelyβ¦
Want to be the next Shohei Ohtani? If so, you gotta learn to gamble π
I've bet every single day for the past 5 years & have used 50+ sportsbooks as a bettor (FanDuel, DraftKings, etc)
Here's the top 6 things you need to know to *actually* make money sports betting π
I'm just gonna start a thread here ...
Feel free to ask me anything about sports betting & I will answer publicly
Example of a good question: "How did you make $91,113.75 off DraftKings in 2021?"
πππ
$250 -> $859.09, 2 pick NBA π―
Parlay is on Fliff, a sportsbook legal in basically every state
Streaming in a bit on Twitch:
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if it hits πͺπͺ
"Gambling is bad" people are dumb & ignorant, no 2 ways to put it...
Lots of the most lucrative careers are gambling...
1) Venture Capital: "Gambling" on start-ups
2) Investing (funds, banks, etc): "Gambling" on companies
Maybe more people should learn to gamble correctly π«
The 10 BEST early value NBA player props on PrizePicks, include 'em in your plays πͺπͺ
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we go at least 7-3
1) Lillard Over 35.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
2) Kuminga Under 26.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
3) F Wagner Over 8.5 Reb + Ast
4) F Wagner Over 17.5β¦
The 8 BEST early value player props on PrizePicks π°
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we go at least 6-2 πͺπͺ
1) Cade Cunningham Over 7.5 Assists
2) Clint Capela Over 10.5 Rebounds
3) Gary Trent Under 3.5 Rebonds
4) Immanuel Quickley Under 5.5 Rebonds
5) Jalen Johnsonβ¦
Four NBA player props I'm on π―
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we go 4-0 πͺπͺ
1) Jackson Jr. Over 19.5 Pts, -115
2) Zubac Under 9.5 Rebounds, -115
3) Brooks Over 10.5 Points, -140
4) Markannen Under 24.5 Points, -125
Streaming some more plays for tonight on Twitch inβ¦
The 9 best PrizePicks player props for Thursday π°
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we go at least 7-2 πͺπͺ
1) Kyrie Irving Over 9.5 Rebs + Asts
2) Brandon Ingram Under 5.5 Assists
3) Kyle Kuzma Over 11.5 Rebs + Asts
4) Kalil Thomas Over 4.5 Rebounds (CBB)
5) Joeβ¦
NC State respects gambling.
If you would've bet $100 on them & rolled over the winnings, you'd be up $527,000 after their last 9 games π€€
1) Louisville, -455 favorites: $100 -> $122
2) Syracuse, +102 underdogs: $122 -> $246.44
3) Duke, +480 underdogs: $246.44 -> $1,429.35
4)β¦
The 7 BEST early value PrizePicks player props available right now π°
$100 to somebody who LIKES this tweet if we go at least 5-2 πͺπͺ
5-1 yesterday, 8-3 the day before π₯π₯
1) Draymond Over 0.5 Made Threes
2) Duren Over 27.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
3) Vassell Over 4.5 Rebounds
4)β¦
I started
@OddsJam
to help ALL bettors learn & become more profitable. I hate this industry, so backwards...
If you're in college, in a hard place, whatever - email me & I'll hook you up. Can answer any questions you have too
alex
@oddsjam
.com
Just fuck up the books for me π€