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Thomas Abt Profile
Thomas Abt

@Abt_Thomas

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Author, BLEEDING OUT. Founding Director, @VRC_UMD . Associate Research Professor, @UMDCriminology . Senior Fellow, @CouncilonCJ . Opinions, my own.

Washington, DC
Joined September 2014
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
If you're trying to make sense of which policies work to reduce gun violence, it's helpful to keep in mind that here in the U.S., we don't really have one gun violence problem, we have at least four. Read on.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
When speaking to media about gun violence in America, I no longer use generic apolitical terms because they deny the reality that one political party is to blame for the all the bloodshed.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Have some exciting news to share. With the strong support of @UofMaryland and @Arnold_Ventures , I am starting a new venture: the Center for the Study and Practice of Violence Reduction, also known as the Violence Reduction Center or VRC.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
One thing they share, however: if guns were less easily accessible in America, all of these would be easier to handle, and gun deaths would decline. As I've mentioned before, gun licensing laws have been shown to reduce all types of gun violence.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
The fourth is community gun violence, which accounts for the majority of homicides each year and is overwhelmingly perpetrated with guns. This violence doesn't get enough attention, largely because its victims are among the most marginalized in our society.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
These four types of gun violence are separate but interconnected. What works to reduce one type of violence doesn't necessarily work for others, which is why we need multiple strategies to bring this terrible problem under control.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
"Defunding the police" is a terrible idea that won't serve anyone well - not communities, not police, not anybody. Here are just a few reasons why.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
The first are gun suicides, which cause the most gun deaths. Some don't consider this "violence" bc the harm is self-inflicted, but given that almost 25k lost their lives in 2020 to this it's well worth including. I exclude accidents bc thankfully there aren't nearly as many.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Another powerful point from @RachelKleinfeld : "Americans need to understand that you can’t just keep your head down, stay out of politics and avoid what’s happening. You’re not going to be able to hide from it."
@GregTSargent
Greg Sargent
2 years
A deeply unsettling point from @RachelKleinfeld , who studies countries that descend into political violence. Rises in political violence tends to be "preceded by a dehumanization phase." The bad news: We are "well along in that phase."
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
The third is domestic gun violence, which according to one study could account for as much as one quarter of all homicides each year, more than half of which are committed with a firearm.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
Here's yet another implicit bias study failing to find a positive impact on police behavior. If we're going to call ourselves "evidence-based," then we need to follow the evidence and try something else.
@MarshallProj
The Marshall Project
4 years
A new study of implicit bias training for officers in the NYPD finds what one researcher calls a "null result": it may change attitudes but it hasn't changed actions or behavior. Trainers are undeterred. More at @NPR .
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
So when you're thinking about a specific policy, don't think about whether it addresses ALL gun violence, think about whether it addresses one of these four categories. And don't expect any one policy to solve all this all by itself.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
The second are mass shootings, which cause the fewest homicides but get the most attention. According to the CDC, horrific incidents like #Uvalde account for less than 1% of total gun deaths.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
... #DefundThePolice will go down in history as one of the worst political slogans of all time, and deservedly so. All this politics and policy by hashtag must stop.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
As a committed progressive and researcher, I find some of the statements in this blog deeply disturbing. Make no mistake, this is our version of "alternative facts" and the fact it's published by the respected @urbaninstitute makes it even more worrying.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
So please, folks in the media, let's just be clear about who is to blame here. If Republicans moderated on these issues we could put some sensible policies in place to save lives right away. It's not political or partisan to recognize this obvious reality.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
We as a nation are not the problem, Republicans as a party are. We want to address the crisis, they won't let us. We are not responsible for the continued senseless killing, they are.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
We’ve known this anecdotally for some time, but here’s solid research showing that recent violence increases have disproportionately impacted marginalized communities.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
As a former Manhattan ADA and current purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, I think Bragg made the right decision in charging Daniel Penny. Here's why.
@CBSNews
CBS News
1 year
Daniel Penny, a 24-year-old Marine veteran, walked out of an NYPD precinct in Manhattan on his way to be arraigned after he surrendered to authorities Friday morning in the chokehold death of 30-year-old Jordan Neely.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
That said, there's a big distinction between community gun violence and the others: for community violence, the guns used are usually already illegal under our current laws, whereas with other types of violence, the guns were legally owned.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
This is why discussions about mass shootings tend to focus on legislation, while conversations about community gun violence focus on policing, community-based violence intervention, and other programmatic solutions.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Democrats want to address the problem, but they simply cannot enact the laws that we need in red states or nationally if Republicans object. And they do object, blocking even the most modest efforts to keep guns from falling into the wrong hands.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Also, thanks to @Jerry_Ratcliffe for originally bringing the distinctions among forms of gun violence to my attention.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
This irresponsible article reflects a disturbing deepening of the hard left's opposition to anything related to law enforcement, no matter how urgent the problem or necessary the response. Read on.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
Wow. @mattyglesias really nails it here. If you want to understand why the #DefundThePolice movement runs contrary to the science, policy, and common sense, read this.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Qualifier: one party isn't responsible for ALL the bloodshed. But one party is PRIMARILY responsible for our country's unusually high rates of gun violence.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
13/ Trump and Sessions are crime dinosaurs, trying to revive old arguments and strategies that went extinct years old. Don’t be fooled.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Our society feels like it's coming apart. People are angry and scared. During times like these, it's important to send a strong message that taking the law into your own hands will not be tolerated. People are being killed for ringing the wrong doorbell, for chrissakes.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
But some of what the blog says isn't just wrong, it's dangerous. To state that objectivity and scientific rigor are "harmful research practices" is an assault on a collective truth-seeking process that is already under attack by so many on the right today.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
5 months
Any explanation of youth crime in DC must begin here. This is truly an emergency that must be addressed immediately.
@dccrimefacts
DC Crime Facts
5 months
Chronic absenteeism & truancy is still incredibly high in DC schools and much higher than pre-COVID. Over 60% of high school students are chronically absent. Mayor Bowser's "Every Day Counts!" Task Force has failed to get absenteeism under control.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Anyone with any training knows this, and Penny was trained during his time in the marines. He knew, or should have known, better. In continuing to choke Jordan Neely for minutes after he stopped resisting, he recklessly caused his death. That's manslaughter.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
$280 billion per year. $767 million per day. $860 per person. The price tag for gun violence is massive and yet no figure can capture the grief of loved ones or the potential of a life cut short. Thank you @Everytown Research for this important report.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
In @POTUS ' new infrastructure plan: over $5 BILLION for evidence-based community violence prevention. This. Is. Remarkable.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
"When it comes to #urbanviolence , the first priority is to save lives, treating that violence with the same urgency that we would treat a gunshot wound in the ER." Thank you @TEDMED and @TEDTalks !
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Here's what we know: failing to understanding how violent crime concentrates among small networks of people and places may be the single biggest impediment to better policy in this area.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Penny has to be held accountable not for how the incident started, but for how it ended. When you choke someone out, you absolutely know it. You feel it. By disregarding that feeling, Penny killed Neely. Now he has to answer for it.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
When that happens, you must release the choke. IMMEDIATELY. Any aggression past the point of resistance is not self-defense or defense of a third party, it's assault. Or worse, as it was in this case.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
@CSGJC @chris_winship 12/ Cognitive behavioral therapy is perhaps the most powerful violence prevention tool out there:
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
It's pretty simple, but that doesn't make it easy. Read on.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
This is a great article that discusses racism and extremism within police ranks, as well as the response to it. No easy answers here, but this is an incredibly important issue that not enough people are talking about.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Yesterday DC reached 200 homicides so far this year, the 1st time the city has reached that number since 2004. Baltimore is past 300. Philly is at 496. And it's only November. Folks are desperate and there seems to be no relief in sight. Frankly...
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Lastly, I'd like to know whether the @urbaninstitute is moving in this direction in the future. If so, I'll be a lot less interested in what their "research" has to say. We already have enough advocacy. We need more objective and rigorously produced data, facts, and evidence.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
8 years
#WhyImWithHer : because I want to tell my kids how I helped elect the 1st AfAm POTUS, then the 1st female one right after.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Also in 2019, I wrote this in BLEEDING OUT: "Curbing illegal gun carrying—hot people, carrying hot (illegal) guns, in hot spots—is crucial. This behavior is perhaps the most important proximate cause of urban homicide today." That's still true today.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Today, as cities across America struggle to curb increases in deadly gun violence, the @CouncilonCJ 's Violent Crime Working Group - which I chair - released our evidence-backed action plan to reverse the trend and promote peace in the streets.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Your stance is unpopular with every major demographic and unsupported by any evidence that it will actually improve the lives of those you claim you want to help. Abolitionism. Will. Not. Work.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
It's not all about the guns, but the guns are a huge part of it and if you can't acknowledge that you're part of the problem.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
We progressives cannot push back as effectively against anti-vaxxers, climate deniers, and election conspiracy theorists, among others, if we don't stay consistent. Truth is truth and facts are facts, however difficult, unpleasant, or inconvenient they may be.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
@abbie_henson @urbaninstitute This is not a game, or some abstract intellectual exercise. Last year we lost almost 5000 more souls to violence than the year before. We need researchers to give us the cold, hard facts on what do in response to this crisis. Hope this answers your question.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 months
This is one of the most clear, cogent explanations I've seen of where policing is, where it's been, and where it needs to go. Check it out.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 months
Contrary to public perception, there are more gun deaths in rural counties than in urban ones. Urban counties have more gun homicides, but that difference is outweighed by a large differential in gun suicides.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Over almost ten years practicing BJJ, I have accidentally choked people unconscious in practice and in competition several times. You know it within seconds. Their body goes limp. They stop resisting. They become unresponsive.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Many people in our field are debating the recently-released results of READI Chicago, a well-known anti-violence program that provides cognitive behavioral therapy and subsidized employment to those at the highest risk for violence. For my take, read on.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Science, with all its faults, is still the best process for uncovering both truth and facts, and objectivity and rigor are absolutely essential to that process. If you're against them, you're against science.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
Well done, @NewYorker .
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
Getting ready to speak at #TEDMED 2020 about #BLEEDINGOUT and #urbanviolence . Wish me luck!
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Dear mayors, here's a concrete step-by-step plan for violence reduction as summer approaches. #BleedingOut
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
THIS. Police unions are the single biggest reason for the slow pace of change. I'd like to see suggestions on how to deal with this issue specifically.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Right now, the single most important thing that can happen in terms of stopping violence and saving lives is for #Congress to pass the #BuildBackBetter Act, which includes $5 billion for community violence intervention - a transformative investment would change the game.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
Fascinating and scary - how the right wing has created an alternative reality online:
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
“No city has successfully arrested its way out of violent crime, but no city has successfully programmed its way out either. We need police and community-based groups working together, not competing for funding.”
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Here's my latest in the @WSJ , discussing evidence-based strategies to reduce violence and announcing the @VRC_UMD , which will help to put these policies into practice. A couple of things to note as you read...
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
According to excellent work by @Crimealytics , we can expect murder to be up about 7% nationally in 2021. That follows a 29% surge in homicides in 2020. Why is this happening? What can be done?
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
It's hard to be nonpartisan about this when one side wants to fix it and the other doesn't.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
@abbie_henson Strongly disagree that objectivity is an illusion just because it cannot be perfected. The @urbaninstitute blog didn’t just call for critical reflection, as you are. It threw the baby out with the bath water, describing objectivity and rigor as “harmful research practices.”
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
“I’m terrified this stuff is going to reelect Trump in ’24. Forget about the midterms. I’m terrified this stuff is going to take down Biden if he runs for president again.” If that happens...
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Depending on your definition, we had more mass shootings in 2020 than during any previous year. The difference? They happened mostly to non-white people. Safety, awareness, and empathy should never depend on race.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
Wow. @DavidKennedyNYC , chief architect of focused deterrence, one of the most effective anti-violence strategies ever created, has written perhaps the best piece to date on the moment we're in with policing and violent crime. Please read it in full.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
There's so much to say about this @slate article on just how far my fellow progressives have overreached on criminal justice reform. A few thoughts on this below:
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Good news out of Philadelphia: addressing abandoned housing can cut crime. There's more and more evidence showing that paying attention to the physical environment where crime happens can pay dividends. That said...
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
An important point about #DefundThePolice . When meant literally, I oppose it. When it means re-visioning the system so that police can play a smaller role in public life, especially in poor communities of color, then I'm for it, even if I don't like the framing.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 months
This flawed piece from @MeganTStevenson is getting some attention and will likely lead some to wrong conclusions, so I'm going to rebut it below. Dr. Stevenson is an accomplished scholar and this thread challenges this particular article, not her work generally. Read on.
@MeganTStevenson
Megan Stevenson
4 months
So pleased to see my paper out in the BU Law Review! This paper surveys 50+ years of randomized control trials in criminal justice and shows that almost no interventions have lasting benefit -- and the ones that do don't replicate in other settings. 1/
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
Finally had a chance to review the new @GiffordsCourage report on police/community trust and #gunviolence . Bottom line: it's simply excellent - amplifying, expanding, and improving upon the most important points made in #BleedingOut . Please read it.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
1/ Agree or disagree, don't take this searing critique of criminology lightly. Mandatory reading for crime nerds.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
No program is a panacea, but focused deterrence currently has the strongest body of evidence supporting its effectiveness for reducing urban gun violence. Read about the strategy in this new report by Anthony Braga and @DavidKennedyNYC .
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
1/ In criminal justice policy circles, DARE and Scared Straight are #1 and #2 when experts talk about popular programs proven not to work.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
After 5 great years at the @Kennedy_School , so pleased to be joining @abgelb and his team at the @CouncilonCJ . 2020 promises to be a great year, so stay tuned for even more developments :)
@CouncilonCJ
Council on Criminal Justice
4 years
@Abt_Thomas is one of the nation’s leading voices for more urgent and effective responses to urban violence. He’ll continue to spread the word about evidence-based violence reduction strategies and support other Council research and policy projects
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
11 months
People often ask why, if there are proven approaches to reducing community gun violence, haven't we done more to stop it? The bottom line is race - because community violence concentrates among the marginalized, it's often difficult to get - and keep - the political will to act.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
7 years
12/ To combat opioids, we need targeted enforcement, but we really need more prevention; more a public health than public safety challenge.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
I consult all over the country, giving guidance on how best to stop shootings and killings. In city after city, my advice is always the same: begin with a good problem analysis.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
@abbie_henson Thanks for asking. In criminal justice policy (not academia), we deal with big, tough, real issues. Life, death, freedom, incarceration. No one can challenge the undeniable salience, gravitas, and objective reality of murder, for instance.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
We need cops and communities to come together. That's hard to say politically in some corners, but if we really care about saving lives, we must have the courage to follow what the science is telling us. And that science says it's not either police or communities, it's both.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
"Police are part of the solution, but they are not the whole solution," I told @cnn recently. "You need community-based organizations and law enforcement agencies working together."
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Congratulations to my friend, colleague, and mentor Laurie Robinson on receiving @ASCRM41 ’s Herbert Bloch Award, which recognizes “outstanding service contributions to the American Society of Criminology and to the professional interests of criminology.” Very well deserved!
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
"Hey, at the end of the day, we’re just like you, just in blue." GREAT @nytimes piece interviewing 11 officers from a diverse set of backgrounds. Lots of humanity and complexity here - give it a read.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
Today the @CouncilonCJ released a landmark report on racial disparities in the U.S. criminal justice system. Read the whole report, but for some key takeaways, see below.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
I'm pleased to announce the launch of the @CouncilonCJ 's new Violent Crime Working Group, which I will chair. More on the effort below.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
4 years
"It's not that we overfund police; it's that we underfund community-based violence prevention. You can't just arrest your way out of violence, but you also can't just program your way out of it either."
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
2 years
There's been a lot of coverage of record-breaking homicides over the past year, but not much news on what can actually be done. Next Wednesday, let's change that.
@CouncilonCJ
Council on Criminal Justice
2 years
On Wednesday, Jan. 12, CCJ’s Violent Crime Working Group will release its final report, Ten Essential Actions Cities Can Take to Reduce Violence Now.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
What happened was a tragedy. For both parties. Neely was acting out but he certainly didn't deserve to die. Penny was trying to be a good samaritan, but that doesn't excuse what he eventually did.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
3 years
Wow. Congrats to Paul Carrillo and the @GiffordsCourage team for putting the single best resource on community violence intervention workers I've seen to date. If you read one report about this important area of violence reduction, this should be it.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
1 year
Check out this important new @CouncilonCJ report on 2022 crime trends. The good news: homicide is down 4%. The bad news: homicide remains 34% higher than before the pandemic (although still below the historical highs of the 80s and 90s).
@CouncilonCJ
Council on Criminal Justice
1 year
OUT TODAY – A new study from CCJ finds that most types of violent crime declined in major U.S. cities in 2022, but robberies and theft offenses rose. Homicide counts were 4% lower last year than in 2021, representing 242 fewer murders in the cities studied.
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@Abt_Thomas
Thomas Abt
8 years
As a former prosecutor and DOJ official, this was the scariest moment of the night for me. Downright un-American.
@voxdotcom
Vox
8 years
Donald Trump’s threat to imprison Hillary Clinton is a threat to democracy
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