Alexander Lanoszka @ALanoszka Twitter profile

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Alexander Lanoszka

27 days

Delighted to see my new @ISQ_Jrnl article with @Lauren_Sukin on how respondents in Poland, Romania, and the Baltic countries evaluated U.S. reassurance efforts in March 2022, not long after Russia initiated its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. A brief 🧵.

Credibility in Crises: How Patrons Reassure Their Allies

Abstracts. How do citizens of US allies assess different reassurance strategies? This article investigates the effects of US reassurance policies on public

academic.oup.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

It must be weird for older people to watch the Soviet Union collapse again and Iran have a revolution again.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Wow. Russia will be suspended indefinitely from international football. It won't be playing under ANY name.

FIFA and UEFA suspend Russia from international football and clubs from European competition

FIFA has suspended Russia from competing in international games until further notice due to their invasion of Ukraine. The suspension means Russia will not play its European World Cup play-off...

theathletic.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

A book published recently was titled 'Is Russia Fascist?' and I think we can settle on an answer now.

Erica Marat

@EricaMarat

2 years

Z salutes by students at a shopping mall in Kazan. Fascism has gone mainstream. via @nexta_tv

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

For those in North America trying to grasp the size of Ukraine. Wikimedia:

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Local eyewitnesses report heavy drinking, black market selling of fuel supplies, and lots of trash left behind by Russian soldiers in southeastern Belarus during military drills. All this implies poor discipline and even low morale among Russian troops.

'They Drink A Lot, Sell Their Fuel': Belarusians Give Low Marks To Russian Troops Deployed For...

Russian soldiers in southeastern Belarus "settled in the surrounding forests," one local resident said. "They drink a lot and sell a lot of their diesel fuel."

www.rferl.org

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

It finally happened: I got sanctioned by Moscow.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I hate to say it, but Poland 1939 is an appropriate historical analogy: an attack on a vulnerable country by a major power led by a personalistic dictator whose beliefs consist of ethnic chauvinism and imperial nostalgia, whose choices are disastrous for his own country.

Michael Beschloss

@BeschlossDC

2 years

Told by his ambassador in Paris, William Bullitt, at 2:50 AM, on September 1, 1939, that Germany had invaded Poland and World War II had started, FDR said into his bedroom telephone, “Well, Bill, it has come at last. God help us all!”

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Remember that time when Ukraine used the weapons it received from the west to reverse Russian gains in the areas up north near Kyiv and Russia responded with "direct attacks against NATO"? I don't either.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I honestly didn't know the Polish ambassador to the US spoke perfect and very clear Spanish.

NTN24

@NTN24

2 years

"Estamos hartos de todas las amenazas de carácter nuclear que hemos oído, no tenemos miedo. Nosotros somos miembros de la OTAN, de la UE, de la alianza más fuerte en la historia del mundo", dijo el embajador de Polonia en Estados Unidos, Marek Magierowski

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

There is a reason why the meme below exists. Alas, it is both very sad and upsetting that a number of observers choose, for whatever reason, to ignore the growing mass of evidence regarding Russia's genocidal intent.

Oleksandr Polianichev

@OPolianichev

1 year

If you think that the beheading of a screaming Ukrainian soldier has nothing to do with Medvedev's tweet explaining why Ukraine should not exist, or with a priest on state TV saying that Ukrainian infidels should have their throats cut according to the Old Testament, think again.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

"U.S. elder statesman Henry Kissinger on January 17 said Russia's invasion shows there is no longer a point to keeping Ukraine out of NATO, the long-held aspiration of Kyiv that he once opposed."

Henry Kissinger Says Russia War Validates Ukraine's NATO Bid

U.S. elder statesman Henry Kissinger on January 17 said Russia's invasion shows there is no longer a point to keeping Ukraine out of NATO, the long-held aspiration of Kyiv that he once opposed.

www.rferl.org

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

8 months

This article on the vulgarity of Russian diplomacy today is worth the read. One quote that stood out for me was Bondarev's account of Sherman's exchange with Ryabkov in January 2022. Those advising Ukraine to negotiate a settlement should take note.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The US has agreed to act as an intermediary between allies and Ukraine regarding the transfer of Soviet-made tanks. These shipments will begin soon and, as such, it "will be the first time in the war that the United States has helped transfer tanks."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I am no expert of Iran, but that cannot be good for the regime if riot police have joined the protesters.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Many times have I wished that Macron had married his history teacher instead.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

I never thought I would see a sitting president walk out in the open in a foreign city with an air raid siren blaring in the background. What a boss move.

War Monitor

@WarMonitors

1 year

⚡️Biden and Zelensky walking around Kyiv during the alarm

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

That National Interest piece declaring that the three Baltic countries should be kicked out of NATO and that the US should recognize Russian and Chinese spheres of influence in return for recognition of its own is an early candidate for worst national security op-ed of the year.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Wow. Just wow. All I can say at this stage is that it will take a very, very long time for the Russian diplomatic service to repair its reputation. All its members should be deeply ashamed of what has become of it.

Bianna Golodryga

@biannagolodryga

2 years

Sick sick sick…”Sergei Lavrov said the fact that Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is Jewish does not negate the Nazi element in his country. Lavrov said that Nazi Germany's Chancellor Adolf Hitler also ‘had Jewish blood.’”

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

No, if war happens, then it's because Russian policy makers wanted a war, disinterested as they have been in undertaking good faith diplomacy.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

If Germany did deny airspace to a UK transport aircraft destined for Ukraine, then the diplomatic fall-out will be severe among allies, especially those on the Eastern flank. Between NS2 and the decision not to send arms to Ukraine, Berlin's reputation will take a huge hit.

Kyle Glen

@KyleJGlen

2 years

A second RAF C-17 is heading towards Ukraine this evening, both deliberately avoided German airspace. I wonder if Germany is refusing flights with weapons for Ukraine access to their airspace.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

10 months

"The largest one-time military aid package – which includes 100 armoured vehicles from the Bulgarian police stockpile, mostly infantry carrier vehicles – was sent to Ukraine in what was Sofia’s first official decision to help Kyiv with heavy equipment."

Bulgaria sends largest military aid package to Ukraine

www.euractiv.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Macron: "We must not humiliate Russia so that the day when the fighting stops we can build an exit ramp through diplomatic means ... I am convinced that it is France's role to be a mediating power." Ooh boy, where to begin?

Russia must not be humiliated despite Putin's 'historic' mistake, Macron says

French President Emmanuel Macron said it is vital that Russia is not humiliated so that when the fighting stops in Ukraine a diplomatic solution can be found, adding that he believed Paris would play...

www.reuters.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

"Japan will accept injured Ukrainian soldiers for medical treatment as part of efforts to support their war-torn homeland in its ongoing battle to defend itself against Russia."

Japan to accept wounded Ukrainian soldiers for treatment

Japan will accept injured Ukrainian soldiers for medical treatment as part of efforts to support their war-torn homeland in its ongoing battle to defend itself against Russia, sources close to the...

english.kyodonews.net

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Note the diplomatic plates. Your regular reminder that Canada is one of a handful of NATO members not to have expelled any of Russia's "diplomatic" staff from Canadian soil.

Peter O'Neil

@poneilinOttawa

2 years

⁦ @OttawaPolice ⁩ three Russians spraying black paint on yellow and blue bike in front of embassy. Looks like vandalism to me.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

10 months

This is an awful piece. It is also dishonest. A quick thread.

Stephen Walt

@stephenWalt

10 months

The decision to send cluster munitions to Ukraine shows how quickly foreign policy liberals abandon their principles when pressed. I don't mind their being inconsistent, but I wish they'd tone down the self-righteousness. Latest FP column:

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The failed Siveskyi Donets River crossing does not capture the imagination as much as the sinking of the Moskva. However, it increasingly seems like one of the biggest single events in terms of tactical losses suffered by Russia in this war.

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker

@UAWeapons

2 years

#Ukraine : Even more Russian losses today related to the failed Siverskyi Donets River crossing- a T-80 or T-72 series tank, and 3x BMP-1/2 IFVs.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

NATO has bent itself backwards to be compliant with the NATO-Russia Founding Act by not positioning substantial combat forces east of Germany on a permanent basis. The Founding Act was already dead, but Belarus' announcement today about Russian troops is its epitaph. Quick 🧵.

Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹

@GLandsbergis

2 years

Russian troops stay on in Belarus violating all guarantees to withdraw. It's a clear preparation to attack Ukraine towards Kyiv & creeping annexation of Belarus: game-changer for security of NATO countries bordering Belarus: 🇱🇹🇵🇱🇱🇻! NATO reinforcements & EU sanctions are in order

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Lavrov: "American medium-range missiles are about to appear in Europe, bringing back the nightmare scenario of a military confrontation." I suppose those Russian medium-range missiles that have already appeared have been good for regional security.

Russia Ukraine: Lavrov warns of return to military confrontation nightmare

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov floats the idea of a new European security pact to prevent Nato expansion.

www.bbc.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

If only that dog were a Shiba Inu for the memes. That said, it looks like other dog breeds are in solidarity with NAFO.

Dario Blenich

@dblenich

2 years

Anti Fakenews doggo

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Things must be really getting desperate then in Minsk. Perhaps even more so than we realize. I did predict some time ago that the Belarusian regime would have a lot more difficulty than usual in trying to survive 2022. I suppose I should not underestimate it, but still ...

Hanna Liubakova

@HannaLiubakova

2 years

#Belarus The foreign minister Uladzimir Makei called on the EU to restore dialogue and abandon the sanctions policy. He called torture and killings of citizens “the unfortunate events of 2020” The regime needs money and wants to avoid responsibility for helping Russia in the war

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

@TheEconomist Can you please stop peddling Mearsheimer's bad faith analysis? We are familiar by now with what he thinks and I suspect most of us are no longer interested.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

4 years

"All 3 major telecom companies in Canada will use European suppliers for 5G, in snub to Huawei." Good.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

4 years

Trump's new campaign manager is already off to a very strong start.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Macron is a thoroughly mediocre statesman with an exagerrated sense of his historic destiny. Books will be written about how he missed a massive opportunity to use the Russian offensive to frame and to push his vision of European strategic autonomy around containment of Russia.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

4 years

"Merkel said there was "hard evidence” that Russian intelligence was behind the hacker attack, in which an estimated 16 gigabytes of data, documents, and emails were siphoned off from the Bundestag's IT network." Hence calls for more sanctions.

Germany calls for EU sanctions against Russia

Germany is stepping up its demands for punitive measures againt Russian hackers who Berlin blames for an attack on the German parliament, the Bundestag. Chancellor Angela Merkel says Germany is...

www.dw.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The only pro-Kremlin rallies that seem to be happening in the EU are in Germany. I may be missing something but I have not seen any take place in Estonia and Latvia, which have been perceived (incl by German politicians) as soft targets for Kremlin propaganda and subversion.

ArianaGic/АріянаҐіць

@GicAriana

2 years

Russians marching in Berlin the day after mass Russian atrocities in newly liberated cities in the Kyiv region were discovered and revealed for the world to see. They are marching in SUPPORT of Russia’s unlawful, genocidal war. It’s NOT just Putin!!

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

7 years

Wise words from @EliotACohen about why you should take charge rather than sit and mope about the state of the world:

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Considering "the realist case for why NATO expansion is bad", "the realist case for not arming Ukraine at all", and "the realist case for giving Russia anything it wants", I will take a hard pass on "the realist case for a Ukraine peace deal."

Foreign Policy

@ForeignPolicy

2 years

If we care about Ukraine, our immediate goal should be to end the war before even more damage is done, writes Stephen Walt.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

11 months

"Denmark is ready to provide Ukraine with F-16 fighter jets after the approval of the United States, which manufactures these aircraft, according to the acting Danish Defense Minister ... Denmark has 43 F-16 fighters, 30 of which are in active use."

Denmark ready to provide Ukraine with F-16 jets, Danish Defense Minister says

Denmark is ready to provide Ukraine with F-16 fighter jets after the approval of the United States, which manufactures these aircraft, according to the acting Danish Defense Minister, Troels Lund...

euromaidanpress.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

Delighted to announce that the President of the University of Waterloo has approved the recommendation of the University Tenure and Promotion Committee that I be promoted to Associate Professor with tenure, effective as of 1 July 2023!

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Please let this be true.

NEXTA

@nexta_tv

2 years

⚡️ In #Russian Belgorod, 5,000 contract servicemen rioted and refused to go to fight #Ukraine , reports Obozrevatel

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Looking forward to op-eds decrying Iran's proxy war that needlessly extends the suffering of Ukrainian civilians while making it harder to negotiate a peace.

Michael Weiss

@michaeldweiss

2 years

"Iran’s armaments industry is preparing a first shipment [to Russia] of Fateh-110 and Zolfaghar missiles, two well-known Iranian short-range ballistic missiles capable of striking targets at distances of 300 and 700 kilometers."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

A common criticism leveled at the Russian army is that units are overly discouraged from taking initiative and risks. Yet perhaps, as this video shows, there are good reasons to limit such things in that army.

Dylan Frank

@DylanFrank21

2 years

#Russian 🇷🇺 #BMP sinks after the unit expected it to float over the river.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Russification imposed by Moscow is not just something that happened in the history books.

Oleksandra Matviichuk

@avalaina

2 years

The Russians excluded the Ukrainian language from the educational process in schools in the occupied Mariupol. They brought a teacher from St.Petersburg (Russia) to teach Russian to Ukrainian children. It's cultural violence and identity destruction. #RussianWarCrimes

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

New military assistance package to Ukraine just dropped.

Daniel Foubert

@d_foubert

1 year

Spoted in Poland. Kraków-Lviv expressway. Via @Christophe_Tymo

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

I guess we can't complain anymore about Israel's lack of military assistance to Ukraine.

BREAKING NEWS: UKRAINE

@MrFukkew

1 year

The factory that produces ammo and Shahed kamikaze drones is hit by a kamikaze drone in Isfahan, Iran. Oops! #Iran #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineRussiaWar ️

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

"Asked about [Russian defence minister] Sergey Shoigu being out of the spotlight since March 11, a source in the defense minister’s entourage told investigative outlet Agentstvo that he is unwell and has "heart problems.""

Sergey Shoigu, where are you? Amid war against Ukraine, Russia’s defense minister hasn’t been seen...

It’s been 28 days since Russia went to war against Ukraine. And it’s been 12 days since the public has laid eyes on Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu. Indeed, as first pointed out by Mediazona...

meduza.io

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Russia is attacking the city currently hosting the UN Secretary-General in case you still think there is a place for it in the European security architecture.

Anastasiia Lapatina

@lapatina_

2 years

Explosions reported in Kyiv, clouds of smoke are seen in the centre of the city

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Huge NATO news.

Teri Schultz

@terischultz

2 years

JUST IN: #NATO will double its number of deployed battlegroups, sending them to Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and Slovakia. Sec Gen Stoltenberg says he expects further announcements tomorrow reinforcing the alliance's eastern flank.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

John Kirby is all of us who saw far too many images of dead or maimed children and read too many stories of sexual violence committed by Russian soldiers in Ukraine.

Caitlin Doornbos

@CaitlinDoornbos

2 years

The typically stoic Pentagon spokesman John Kirby gets choked up talking about the images of Russian "depravity" coming out of Ukraine.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

It is a symbolic gesture that does nothing for Bucha, but my fury reminds me of those calls For expelling the Russian ambassador to Canada when the invasion began. I don't see why a fascist totalitarian country carrying out genocide should be represented here at that level.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Why are people still writing essays about the need to force Ukraine into a negotiated settlement with Russia in mid-May? Read the room: the Ukrainians want to fight; enough countries judge the nuclear risks to be low; and most 'escalatory' decisions have passed without incident.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

A war crime being launched.

Jimmy Rushton

@JimmySecUK

2 years

The first visual confirmation of the Russian TOS-1a thermobaric MLRS being fired in Ukraine.👇

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

Some analysts told me there would be a massive escalation by Russia because it would do anything to avoid losing Kherson. After all, giving up that city would have been somehow so unbearable and totally embarrassing for Putin that he would use nuclear weapons.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The Netherlands has sent F-35s to Bulgaria today, making it their first foreign mission, given the Russian threat. The Dutch government also expresses an openness to supply Ukraine directly with 'defensive weapons' if it receives such a request from Kyiv.

Kabinet staat open voor defensieve wapenleveranties aan Oekraïne

Het kabinet staat open voor defensieve militaire steun aan Oekraïne. Dat zei minister Wopke Hoekstra (Buitenlandse Zaken) in de Tweede Kamer. Ook een meerderheid in de Tweede Kamer sluit het leveren...

www.ad.nl

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

"Former Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht apparently banned an inventory of Leopard 1 and 2 tanks within the ministry a week before her resignation, against the advice (she received)." Some very unfortunate clarity on Pistorius' statement yesterday.

Christine Lambrecht soll Leopard-Bestandsaufnahme verboten haben

Boris Pistorius' (SPD) erste Amtshandlung wurde am Freitag angeordnet: Die Prüfung der Bestände von Leopard-Panzern für eine eventuelle Lieferung in die Ukraine. Ein Bericht enthüllt nun, dass seine...

m.focus.de

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

For North Americans, the day began with Boris Johnson resigning and ended with Shinzo Abe getting shot. I don't know what this says exactly about the present zeitgeist but it cannot be good.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

This really should lay to rest the NATO enlargement debate. For Russian leaders, the reason for invading Ukraine is simple: it is just about territorial conquest and empire because their country apparently is not already big enough.

max seddon

@maxseddon

2 years

Lavrov gives the biggest official signal yet that Russia is planning to annex southern Ukraine. "Now the geography has changed. It's not just Donetsk and Luhansk, it's Kherson, Zaporizhia, and several other territories. And this is an ongoing process, consistent and insistent."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

"The Czech Republic has been sending old Soviet-era tanks into Ukraine, providing badly needed heavy weapons to outgunned Ukrainian troops that are battling a much better-equipped Russian invasion force."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

Russia alleged that its own physical security was under so much threat from Ukraine that it had to invade that country. 15 months later, with its military fully committed on Ukrainian territory, Russia cannot defend its own border from a token force. NATO is not even involved.

WarTranslated (Dmitri)

@wartranslated

1 year

Belgorod region just announced a counter-terrorist operation. This is now clearly shaping up to be a very serious development. The group did not pull out like in the March Bryansk incident. They are probably staying in and they're also very vocal about it. Crybar mentioned 8km of…

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Australia, which has at best an indirect stake in a ground war taking place in Europe, provides more armored vehicles to Ukraine than Germany.

Euromaidan Press

@EuromaidanPress

2 years

Australia provided 20 Bushmaster armored vehicles for Ukrainian armed forces. "Transfer procedure was done at the invitation of the Australian defense minister. Truly a historic moment,"–🇺🇦Ambassador to Australia Myroshnychenko wrote

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The Collective Security Treaty Organization is falling apart. Kazakhstan will tilt more towards China. Armenia expresses a readiness to establish diplomatic ties with Turkey. Belarus refuses to fight Ukraine on land. Uzbekistan supports Ukraine and pledges humanitarian support.

Bakhti Nishanov

@b_nishanov

2 years

Uzbekistan’s foreign minister said it won’t recognize the so called LNR and DNR, fully supports Ukraine’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity. Also that Uzbekistan will provide a humanitarian aid to Ukraine. This is massive.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

7 years

At #CyCon in Tallinn, #NATO officials say that Article 5 may be invoked if a member is under serious #cyber attack.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

Hanging out with the Valdai Club in January, questioning whether Russia killed civilians in Bucha in April, and meeting Viktor Orban in November, it has been a banner year for Mearsheimer.

Zsolt Kerner

@kernerzsolt

1 year

John Mearsheimer just met Viktor Orbán. You may not like it, but this is what peak geopolitical performance looks like.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

As with so many who talk of off-ramps and the avoidance of humiliation, Macron is simply projecting what he would do or need if he were in Putin's position. There appears to be little consideration that Putin is a very different political animal than him.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

It looks increasingly like Poland has dispatched those 100 T-72 tanks that had 'disappeared' from its stocks to Ukraine. BWP-1 IFVs have been thrown in for good measure. This provision of military aid may in part explain Duda and Zelenskyy hugging it out in Kyiv today.

Sebastien Roblin

@sebastienroblin

2 years

Finally confirmed that #Poland has dispatched reportedly 100 #T72 #tanks (some with upgraded passive IR sights) to #Ukraine . Equivalent to a full tank brigade/three battalions. Wonder if US has arranged faster M1 backfill... Also BWP-1 IFVs, probably same as Ukrainian BMP-1s.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Unfortunately, the significance of Katyń -- whereby NKVD personnel massacred half the Polish officer corps and many other POWs in the eponymous forest and local prisons in 1940, subsequently blaming it on Nazi Germany -- is probably lost on most observers today.

Poland in the OSCE

@PLinOSCE

2 years

We condemn barbaric violations of humanitarian law committed by Russia against Ukrainian POWs: killing, torture and inhuman treatment. We recognize horrific Russia's patterns of brutality and blaming others for its war crimes as Russians did carrying out the WW2 Katyn massacre.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

3 years

I'm always disappointed to see colleagues tweet mockingly their students' writing. It is unethical; it violates the trust that students have in their professors when they submit work; and we all said something stupid at one point. That everything can be screenshot is terrifying.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

10 months

Bulgaria has endorsed Ukraine's pursuit of NATO membership. Who would have ever expected such a declaration eighteen months ago?

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

59 Senators voted in favour of the Lend-Lease Act in March 1941. 30 Senators voted against it. Today's vote went 86-11. Supporting Ukraine against Russia is more popular now than supporting Britain against Germany back then.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I deleted the post about Croatian President saying that he would pull troops from NATO in the event of a major escalation between Russia and Ukraine. The only source is TASS and I could not find anything corroborating the claim in HR media. I hope to see @CroatiaNato push back.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I wrote a piece on disinformation a few years back and I totally overlooked how satire and parody can be an effective tool for countering for it. It's okay, though. I am now a #NAFOfella thanks to #NAFOexpansion . #WeAreNAFO

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

10 months

That Richard Haas, Charles Kupchan, and Thomas Graham would have secret talks with top Russian diplomats in April on some sort of "peace deal" with Ukraine speaks both to their hubris and lack of any moral compass. Shame.

Former U.S. officials have held secret Ukraine talks with Russians

The aim of the discussions is to lay the groundwork for potential negotiations to end the war, people briefed on the talks told NBC News.

www.nbcnews.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Putin proposes direct talks between Germany and Belarus, sidestepping Poland altogether. It would damage Germany's diplomatic standing severely if it agrees to negotiate issues pertaining to Poland's eastern border without Warsaw's participation.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Somehow, the failures of the Minsk Accords and the Normandy Process have not registered with him. He is a leader who either lacks any capacity for introspection or is too stubborn to admit failure and let go off past practices that produced it in the first place.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

5 months

It is quite astonishing, and more than embarrassing, that North Korea is able to outcompete the combined weight of the United States, the EU, Canada, and the United Kingdom with respect to ammunition production. And yet I doubt it will serve as the wake up call we all need.

Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

5 months

"Ukraine has warned it is already being forced to downsize some military operations because of a drop-off in foreign aid. Top general Tarnavskyi said troops faced ammunition shortages along the "entire front line", creating a "big problem" for Kyiv."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

This attack comes only a day after the head of the African Union asked Putin personally -- in a politically neutral manner -- to help ease the impending food crisis.

Alexander Khrebet

@AlexKhrebet

2 years

Russia launched a missile strike on the Nika-Tera private port in Mykolaiv, Ukraine. Oligarch Dmytro Firtash owns it. There is a grain terminal on the territory. Russia continues to exacerbate the food crisis.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

"The immediate choice facing democratic societies is whether Russia demanding restraints on other countries’ sovereignty is acceptable – and if not, then where, and at what cost, they decide to make a stand against it instead of placating Moscow."

Russia's threats place Europe at a pivotal moment

Democratic societies must face down Russia’s threats around Ukraine. Establishing the limits of Russia’s power will help secure a safer future for Europe.

www.chathamhouse.org

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The levee has indeed broke. Germany also agrees to Estonia sending Howitzers to Ukraine.

Theo Koll

@TheoKoll

2 years

Bundesregierung bestätigt, dass die Haubitzenlieferung genehmigt ist. Zudem 400 Panzerabwehrwaffen, die in den Niederlanden lagern.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

9 months

Such an awful piece on Ukraine and Biden. For starters, if Ukraine had "kompromat" on Biden, as Abrahms alleges with reference to a debunked conspiracy theory, you'd think it would have gotten ATACMS by now and not suffer so much hesitation on the part of his administration.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Having seen more images out of Bucha, all I can say is that Putin must fail and Russia, for its own sake, must lose in Ukraine. This is just so beyond the pale.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

1 year

I also teach International Relations. I think we're making a mistake in Ukraine by not giving enough for it to win now.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

There seems to be a misunderstanding in Germany that Polish exasperation over that country's policies on Russia, Ukraine, arms transfers, and arms deals is driven by PiS. As much as Poland is divided, there is broad consensus that Berlin drags its feet too much on those issues.

Christian Odendahl

@COdendahl

2 years

Worth reading this long account of the Polish-German #tank deal, by ⁦ @_freidel ⁩ and ⁦ @SchullerKonrad ⁩, on who promised what, the South Korean arms deal and why PiS rarely lets an opportunity go to waste to play the anti-German card.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Next week, my new book, Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century, will be released in the UK/EU! I am grateful for the very kind words about the book from Ikenberry, Amb Edelman, @IainDHenry , and @BrianDBlank . The book is available for pre-order.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I say all this without discussing the definitional issues involved with the notion of humiliation. Frankly, Russia has already deeply humiliated itself. Besides, any final agreement will most likely reflect the reality on the ground in Ukraine and Russia, so the concern is moot.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

BREAKING: Don't trust just any tweet you see on here about the unfolding crisis unless perhaps it has a link to verifiable information from a legitimate source.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Russia justifies its military buildup on Ukraine's border by saying that it has a sovereign right to move kit around on its territory. That same sovereign right does not extend to others, though. Especially not to its neighbors.

AFP News Agency

@AFP

2 years

#BREAKING Russia wants foreign NATO troops to leave Bulgaria, Romania: foreign ministry

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

1. It is Russia's war against Ukraine, not "the Ukraine crisis". 2. This war is conventional. 3. Some argue that had Ukraine kept Soviet nuclear weapons, none of this would have happened. 4. Russian nuclear weapons deter a major NATO intervention on the side of Ukraine.

ICAN

@nuclearban

2 years

1/ The Ukraine crisis demonstrates how disastrously nuclear deterrence has failed. Proof that the world needs a realistic plan to eliminate nuclear weapons. As governments gather in Vienna for #TPNW1MSP we're joining together to loudly and unequivocally say “no” to these weapons!

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Ukraine officially asked the Biden admin last spring to be transferred Iron Dome missiles to Ukraine - something that Democratic and Republican lawmakers supporters. But Israel vetoed the transfer, fearing that it would damage its relationship with Russia.

Israel torpedoed sale of Iron Dome to Ukraine, fearing Russian reaction — report

Kyiv approached US officials last year in bid to buy system, but Israel reportedly vetoed the idea

www.timesofisrael.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Ukraine taking out the garbage.

Rob Lee

@RALee85

2 years

The wreckage of several Russian BMD and BMP armored vehicles.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Trudeau announces that Ukraine will receive heavy artillery from Canada. This was to meet a request made by Kyiv. More details in the coming days.

CPAC

@CPAC_TV

2 years

Ukrainians are "fighting for the values that underpin so many of our free democratic societies," Prime Minister Justin Trudeau tells reporters in Dalhousie, New Brunswick, as he confirms Canada will be sending heavy artillery to Ukraine. #cdnpoli

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

These failures don't bode well for France's diplomatic position within Europe itself. At least it has given heavy weapons to Ukraine unlike another participant in the Normandy Process. Still, many European capitals will be frustrated with and even perplexed by Paris.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Big move by BP: BP to offload 19.75% stake in Russian state-owned oil firm Rosneft after Russia's "act of aggression in Ukraine."

BP to offload stake in Rosneft amid Ukraine conflict

Norwegian energy giant Equinor also says it will start to divest its joint ventures in Russia.

www.bbc.com

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Looks like we are witnessing a (partial) collapse of the Russian front. Winter is indeed coming.

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker

@UAWeapons

2 years

#Ukraine : Some of the most valuable capture so far during the Ukrainian offensive in #Kharkiv - a Russian 9A331 TLAR of the 9K331 Tor-M1 SAM system was captured in the Eastern part of #Balakliya , as well as a fully loaded 122mm BM-21 Grad MRL.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

The anti-UA rhetoric from the Kremlin, the mass civilian victimization, the targeting of UA political and cultural institutions, and, now, the ethnic cleansing settle, in my view, the debate as to whether there is an attempted genocide taking place in Ukraine. It is happening.

The Kyiv Independent

@KyivIndependent

2 years

⚡️Mariupol council: Russian occupiers forcibly move thousands of Mariupol residents to Russia. The civilians were allegedly taken to camps where Russians checked their phones and documents and then forcibly moved some of them to remote cities in Russia.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

I do wonder, though, how many of those Russian generals would have been killed, anyway, in the absence of that intelligence in light of their risk acceptance and the command and control problems undermining the Russian war effort.

Rob Lee

@RALee85

2 years

"The United States has provided intelligence that has helped Ukrainians target and kill many of the Russian generals who have died in action in the Ukraine war, according to senior American officials."

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Reagan joked once that in the US you have the freedom to walk to the White House and criticize the US President, whereas in Moscow you can freely walk up to the Kremlin and criticize the US President.

Oriannalyla 🇺🇦

@Lyla_lilas

2 years

In Russia, near the US Embassy in Moscow, a rally demanding Biden's resignation.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

4 years

Oh no. Franz Ferdinand is trending. Suleimani wasn't a dove who symbolized a hated imperial power. Iraq isn't Serbia because it's not trying to expand territorially. Russia won't be handing out blank checks. Iran isn't a teetering multiethnic empire. Say no to bad analogies.

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

2 years

Nuclear scientist Cheryl Rofer shares her skepticism about the story of Russian soldiers suffering from Acute Radiation Syndrome after spending time in and around Chernobyl.

Cheryl Rofer

@CherylRofer

2 years

Extremely doubtful that this is true

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Alexander Lanoszka

@ALanoszka

9 months

"This does not mean we are abandoning Ukraine or Europe ... Rather, we want to find ways of guaranteeing Ukraine’s independence while bringing Russia back as a more creative player in European security." I thought the goal was to make it less creative.

Former U.S. Official Shares Details of Secret ‘Track 1.5’ Diplomacy With Moscow

Secret diplomatic talks are ongoing between former senior U.S. national security officials and high-ranking members of the Kremlin, a former U.S. official directly involved in the talks has confirmed...

www.themoscowtimes.com

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