THANK YOU! for helping us celebrate 25 years of the
@UVa
@Center4Politics
. Hope you enjoy this fun recap of our anniversary weekend and ceremonial groundbreaking for the expansion of the Center.
We're thrilled to share
@RepLizCheney
will be joining us as a Professor Practice. "There are many threats facing our system of government and I hope my work with the Center for Politics and the broader community at the University of Virginia will contribute to finding lasting…
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: Former Rep. Liz Cheney is joining The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia as a professor of practice, the university is planning to announce today. More in Playbook PM:
We're thrilled to share
@Liz_Cheney
will be joining us as a Professor of Practice. "There are many threats facing our system of government and I hope my work with the Center for Politics and the broader community at the University of Virginia will …
"The election process has improved every year & it's time for people to stop running it down...When a candidate screams voter fraud, it ought to be considered the equivalent of a concession speech,"
@LarrySabato
told
@Acosta
, reacting to
#BlakeMasters
sowing doubt in
#Arizona
As first seen in
@playbookdc
: Our first Electoral College Ratings for 2024 are out today. Expect another highly competitive and close presidential election in 2024. Our ratings start with just 43 Toss-up electoral votes at the outset. Read the full analysis by
@kkondik
on…
Final Crystal Ball ratings:
-Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.
-House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.
-projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican or net Republican gain of 1 gov
“It’s not the American way,” Center for Politics Director
@LarrySabato
tells
@Acosta
about Hitler-type remarks made by
#DonaldTrump
. “And it’s not the image of America that a large majority of Americans have.”
.
@briansflood
should immediately clarify this misleading
@foxnews
headline. So far
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball has correctly forecast all states called to this point including Ohio and Florida for President Trump. "Landslide" is not a word we used.
This headline is a little misleading. When the Crystal Ball put out our prediction, we never used the term "Biden landslide," though
@LarrySabato
is on track to nail 49 of 50 states in the Electoral College. And yes, most can agree there was polling error.
"America saw [in Sen. Britt's response to the State of the Union address] an unreasonable person saying inaccurate, misleading things in a weird way,"
@LarrySabato
tells CNN Newsroom Anchor Jim Acosta
@Acosta
. "It was weird, no question about it," replies Acosta.
We look forward to honoring Officers
@SemperWry
,
@SergeantAqGo
,
@libradunn
, Michael Fanone & Sandra Garza, partner of Brian Sicknick (posthumously) as Defenders of
#Democracy
on 9/23 @ 12 pm in
@UVA
Rotunda. Limited seating remains:
Claim your seat FRONT ROW AT THE TRUMP SHOW tomorrow (Tuesday, April 7) as
@Center4Politics
'
@LarrySabato
interviews
@ABC
News White Correspondent
@jonkarl
on his jarring new book & 26 years of covering Donald Trump. Live Tues 4/7 at 3:30 PM Eastern at:
Sen.
@TimKaine
tells
@LarrySabato
that he would support a 9-11 type commission to investigate the Capitol insurrection of Jan. 6. Stresses importance of safe and peaceful transition of power.
Thank you to the Virginia Gentleman for joining us again in Pavilion IV to celebrate
@uva
Lighting of the Lawn. The weather may be frightful but your music is always delightful!
“What she had to endure is astounding. Still, she stood strong in the face of unprecedented attacks to do what she felt was right for the future of this country. And that’s why she’s here, as profile in courage and to pass on these important lessons in leadership. You don’t see…
“I have never seen a party change the way the Republican Party has changed,” says Center for Politics Director
@LarrySabato
speaking with
@Acosta
this evening.
Center for Politics Director
@LarrySabato
with
@CNN
on Trump's bond reduced in civil fraud case to $175M: "Every time we try to put a period at the end of the sentence about Trump's trials, we end up with a comma, and we ought to remember that. That's what we're going to have, a…
Today, Sept. 23rd noon-1:30 pm
@Center4Politics
'
@LarrySabato
& U.S. Sen.
@TimKaine
honor U.S. Capitol Police Officers & D.C. Metro Police Officers who defended the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 with first annual “Defender of Democracy” awards. Rotunda Dome Room.
New supply of
@Center4Politics
VOTE face masks are in.
@LarrySabato
models below 🙂. How to get 1 FREE while supplies last?
1. Subscribe to our FREE YouTube channel (UVaCFP)
2. Check out our new PBS docuseries
3. Send name & address to gac4t
@virginia
.edu
Scenes from our inaugural Defender of Democracy Awards ceremony today.
@LarrySabato
and the Center's staff honored officers -- and the family members of officers -- who answered the call of duty on January 6th.
(Thanks to Sanjay Michael Suchak for the photos)
In last night’s high-stakes state Supreme Court race in
#Wisconsin
, Democratic-aligned
@janetforjustice
comfortably dispatched former Justice Daniel Kelly, giving liberals a 4-3 majority on the court.
2023 featured the second highest-turnout April state Supreme Court race of the…
Welcome to what portends to be a sleepy but explosive presidential election year. In a new analysis for
@LarrySabato
’s Crystal Ball,
@kkondik
shares what to expect as primaries and caucuses begin. We’ve decided to stick with our 2024 Electoral College Ratings, at least for the…
Looking at the history & current state of democracy in the U.S., preserving it will be a feat no less significant, no less difficult than establishing it in the first place. Catch up on
@Center4Politics
new
@PBS
series "Dismantling Democracy" free online.
Center director
@LarrySabato
on FL ruling putting abortion at the forefront of 2024: “This really is a terrible development for Trump and the Republicans generally, not just in Florida but also maybe in Arizona and Nevada…Anything that happens in a mega state like Florida, any…
The
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball is experiencing heavy traffic today, and we forecast similar conditions over the coming days. We apologize for the delay and thank you for your interest. Politics is a good thing!
Celebrating
#PresidentsDay
by remembering President Jimmy Carter's mid-1980s visit to
@LarrySabato
's class. Were you a student in that class? We'd love to hear your memories as we wish the former President well.
.
@LarrySabato
: How did you deal with negative tweets from Donald Trump? "I'm asking for a friend."
Paul Ryan: Let it roll off your back.
Sabato: I'll tell my friend.
Happy Birthday to
@Center4Politics
Scholar Robert Costa
@costareports
, Chief Election & Campaign Correspondent for CBS News, seen here at our event with
@SenSanders
earlier this year.
"We have to do what we can to remind people what happened and why it matters," says
@uva
Center for Politics Director
@LarrySabato
welcoming folks to a private screening of our new documentary "Defenders of Democracy: The Thin Blue Line" which focuses on
#January6
.
.
@LarrySabato
, Director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, said Iowa’s delay is a disaster for the future of the Iowa caucuses.
via
@DMRegister
Beyond the 2020 elections, what matters most for the future of democracy in this country and around the world? All new
@Center4Politics
@PBS
three-part docuseries "Dismantling Democracy" now available on
@Amazon
@PrimeVideo
.
Harvard Political Review recognized
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball as the
#1
election forecaster in 2020. Please help us continue this FREE resource with a tax deductible gift to the UVA Center for Politics on this Giving Tuesday.
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
RIP Sen. Bob Dole. We celebrate your life and service to the nation, and remember fondly the times you spent with us at the
@UVA
@Center4Politics
. Below is
@LarrySabato
's introduction from our mock Constitutional Convention of Oct 2007.
We were proud to meet with 7 of the 9 outside consultants on this important project.
@LarrySabato
is available to console
@uva
students and alum as we work through this change to be more reflective of what we stand for.
Center Director
@LarrySabato
to
@CNN
on Hur's testimony to Congress today: "The whole point of this hearing was to give Republican partisans...the opportunity to say when Trump's turn comes in court...to say the only reason Trump's on trial is because that Democratic justice…
"Never underestimate the ability of one event to excite you and get you engaged in politics,” Professor
@LarrySabato
@uva
tells
@UVaSummer_JTerm
students in a course with us this summer sharing a poster from a
#JFK
campaign stop in Norfolk, Va he attended when he was 8 years old…
Polls are open for 2 more hours! You better follow Professor
@LarrySabato
!
Thanks to
@uva
students at SERV for golf carting voters to the polls on this beautiful
#ElectionDay2023
!
What an incredible semester & year at the Center for Politics! We are deeply grateful to all of our partners, scholars, colleagues,
@UVA
students, and supporters who make our work meaningful and impactful. We look forward to continuing to lean into politics and working to…
"Almost certainly
@Sen_JoeManchin
would pull more votes from
#JoeBiden
. When you examine his record, he has a better chance of throwing the electoral college to
#DonaldTrump
- btw something he said he's concerned about doing. If somehow
#JoeManchin
elects
#Trump
, his name will be…
The 21
#Republicans
who did not vote for
#KevinMcCarthy
on every roll call generally, but not exclusively, come from uncompetitive districts. Read "The Political Profile of McCarthy’s Detractors" by
@kkondik
on
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball:
Today we honor Officers Harry A. Dunn, Caroline Edwards, Michael Fanone, Sergeant Aquilino Gonell, Eugene Goodman, Daniel Hodges, Howard Liebengood (posthumously), Jeffrey Smith (posthumously) & Brian Sicknick (posthumously). Defenders of Democracy on Jan 6, 2021 and always!
Biden 321 - Trump 217.
@LarrySabato
@kkondik
@JMilesColeman
discuss the final Election 2020 ratings in an all new VIDEO edition of Sabato's Crystal Ball. Available now.
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇Click here👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
.
@Center4Politics
'
@LarrySabato
:
"The resurrection Joe Biden experienced is almost unprecedented in American politics. There are a few other examples in our history, but none this dramatic."
Tomorrow, Sep. 23rd noon-1:30 pm
@Center4Politics
'
@LarrySabato
& U.S. Sen.
@TimKaine
honor U.S. Capitol Police Officers & D.C. Metro Police Officers who defended the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 with first annual “Defender of Democracy” awards. Limited seats:
We've updated
#GeorgiaRunoff
to Leans Democratic. Most indicators point to a Warnock advantage & it wouldn't be shocking if he ends up improving on 51%-49% margin he notched 2 years ago. More on the rating change by
@JMilesColeman
on the Crystal Ball:
We're so grateful to
@CarterMountain
, our Fall interns, more than 40
@uva
student volunteers & a partnership with UVA Housing & Residence Life for making "Do-Nut Forget to Vote" parties possible. We had a blast celebrating
#ElectionDay
!
Nearly midnight on the East Coast, but our dedicated
@Center4Politics
interns continue their good work assisting
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball with election analysis and data collection. Thank you
@JohnSMichaelD
(pictured)...but you still have to come to class tomorrow.
On behalf of our director
@LarrySabato
and all of us at
@Center4Politics
, THANK YOU for your generous support and good wishes celebrating Larry's 70th. 263 generous donors in 35 states, DC & abroad contributed $82,000+ to the Center. We're grateful to you.
Thank you Sen.
@BernieSanders
@costareports
for continuing the conversation with our interns after the public event. We are deeply inspired by your service for the public good and in pursuit of a more just and inclusive democracy. We hope you like upcycled Vermont wool mittens we…
#Louisiana
Gov. Jeff Landry (R) signed a bill into law this week that creates a new congressional map featuring two majority-Black districts, ending a nearly two-year saga over adequate Black representation in the state. Crystal Ball House ratings for LA-6 change from Safe…
.
@LarrySabato
is much better at giving you the answer after everything is finished and the final result is in, than he is at telling you what is going to happen because, in fact, he doesn’t have a clue!
Join Professor
@LarrySabato
for an Evening with The Honorable
@Liz_Cheney
, Professor of Practice,
@UVA
Center for Politics next Wednesday, April 19, 2023, 6:30 pm - 8:00 pm in the Jefferson Ballroom in Alumni Hall. There is a 2 ticket per person: (account…
“Our young people need to understand that you have to be involved and to make a difference,” says new Center for Politics Professor of Practice
@Liz_Cheney
in conversation with
@LarrySabato
@uva
on 4/19/23. “I don’t think you have a choice. I don’t think any of us have a choice.…
“We don’t have a choice…our democratic system can’t fail. Ensuring we don’t means everyone has to be aware of the threats we face. I’ve been impressed with the way your generation really recognizes the danger. I say it sincerely that it’s you who gives me hope.”
@Liz_Cheney
, our…
Congratulations to our graduating
@uva
students and thank you for joining us in
@LarrySabato
’s Pavilion Garden with your families to celebrate your accomplishments this afternoon! We can’t wait to see what you achieve next. See you at
#uvagraduation
tomorrow morning!
"Sleepwalking into a dictatorship."
Center for Politics Professor
@Liz_Cheney
discusses her new book "Oath and Honor" with
@jdickerson
in
@UVA
Dome Room. Behind-the-scenes pics below. Watch the full interview this Sunday, Dec.3rd on
@CBSSunday
.
"One of the things that we see...is a sort of a sleepwalking into dictatorship in the United States."
Liz Cheney forewarns John Dickerson if Donald Trump is re-elected, it could mean the end of the republic & expresses concern about her party's comfort with Trump and his lies.
"A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate," writes
@AlanIAbramowitz
for
@LarrySabato
's Crystal Ball.
Three former U.S. Senators join us next week
@clairecmc
@HeidiHeitkamp
@JoeforIndiana
to discuss "The State of the Democratic Party". Don't miss it. Click below for free tickets.
.
@Center4Politics
at
@UVA
releases findings from JFK assassination records at start of
@LarrySabato
's spring semester class on JFK's legacy. Students will assist with ongoing research.
TONIGHT: Sen
@TimKaine
delivered an interview w/
@LarrySabato
that you won't want to miss. Discusses events of Jan 6th in vivid detail & when he "knew there was a massive disaster that was underway." Editing now. Subscribe to YouTube channel (UVaCFP).
Tremendous thanks to
@ClintHill_SS
and
@Lisa_McCubbin
for speaking to
@LarrySabato
's JFK class today. Decades of service can't be covered in just one class, so we're over the moon that they'll back with us next month!
U.S. Secret Service Agent
@ClintHill_SS
will forever be remembered for his bravery on the day President Kennedy was assassinated. He and co-author
@lisa_mccubbin
join
@LarrySabato
Monday for a special guest lecture. Register for seats below.
Trump impersonator, comedian
@JLCauvin
joined
@LarrySabato
live for class today. Follows in the fine tradition of presidential mimicry from Vaughn Meader ("Kennedy") to Rich Little ("Nixon") to Alec Baldwin and others. Click to view:
To young people
@uva
& beyond, Sen.
@BernieSanders
says, “You don’t have the right to be burned out. Change is not easy. It’s part of a long struggle for justice.”
All over the world, people are remembering the Queen’s visits to their country. At
@UVA
we welcomed the Queen on July 10, 1976 in the wake of the nation’s Bicentennial. She walked the Lawn and had lunch in Jefferson’s Dome Room at the Rotunda.
#PlatinumJubilee
Sen.
@BernieSanders
@uva
@Center4Politics
speaking about why he wrote his new book, It’s OK to be Angry about Capitalism”. He has some important questions he wants us to consider:
We're honored to learn that Private First Class Brian Sicknick's
@Center4Politics
Defender of Democracy Award is now displayed in the U.S. Capitol in the
@CapitolPolice
memorial case dedicated to their fallen. We're deeply indebted to Pfc. Sicknick for his service on
#January6th
Trump's recent comments that he might not commit to a peaceful transfer of power offends many military members,
@Center4Politics
'
@LarrySabato
tells
@usnews
because it's "not un-American, it's anti-American."
On this 60th Anniversary of
#JFKassassination
, we remember the ways in which
#JFK
inspired public service, courage to sacrifice for the things in which we believe & to fight what he called the "common enemies of man: tyranny, poverty, disease & war itself." Choose to do things…
Over the last month, we’ve posted daily some of our most significant findings from the
@USNatArchives
release of JFK assassination documents. This is our penultimate post before the 60th anniversary of JFK’s assassination (11/22/23).
Alarming to us is the vast number of records…
Rating changes: Both Georgia Senate races move to Toss-up as runoffs loom; our read on the presidential race with five days to go; the race for the state legislatures
.
@Center4Politics
Senior Scholar
@C_C_Krebs
testified before the Australian security and intelligence committee on why policymakers should consider adding elements of the country's election system to the list of critical infrastructure.