Currently the Canadian Model shows interim agreement with this configuration and both show possible MJO phase 6_&7 with elnino pattern , If this holds true rainfall is favorable in the mediterranean sea and south Europe .

The middle part of February is the main period of time that is interesting .

12_15 February possible configuration for 500 hpa anomalies .

atmospheric rivers analysis for 12 Feb. praying this would hold true.

@Statisticizer Please be true, mediterranean side of Spain needs water

@yukfilo Praying it will hold true . If my statistical analysis was correct then the Eastern and ssouthern sides of Spain and the Iberian Sea might get immense storms/rain odds- Hopefully . Blue and Purplish colors imply greater rainfall risk in the analysis .

@Statisticizer But I don't understand what parameters you are comparing here to get these maps.

@PedroCFernandez I used the cluster analysis and ANN of the climatic oscillations archives(NAO QBO AO PDO IOD AMO) and other Length of the day parameters and solar TSI parameters for the last 80 years to identify analogous seasons (n=20) for current one : In short this reanalysis of them combined