If Sandro Marcos meant that the peso depreciation was WHOLLY because of the dollar appreciation, he is only partially correct. He is wrong because he attributes the weakness of the peso to something we cannot control, i.e., the monetary policy of the US. BUT we CAN CONTROL our...
It is OUTRAGEOUS! We were on our way to visit Leila de Lima on her birthday when our request made weeks ago was just now VERBALLY disapproved. I and my husband, Justice Carpio. Chel Diokno, and others ALL barred. Too much! She’s not convicted, not allowed a phone, and now this!
Postpone Barangay elections to save 9 billion? Sabi ni Speaker Romualdez it would save P9 billion that could be used for other more important projects. Well, if the incoming President would just pay some of his tax liablilities there would be no problem.
President BBM has started off on the wrong foot, what with an inaugural address that was filled with FC and/or IS and/or E. That stands for False Claims, Inaccurate Statements, and Exaggerations. Let’s take a look at some of them: Read more at
TRADE DEFICIT: make our exports more attractive (and imports less attractive) so WE get the benefit of the strong dollar.
p.s. If it helps, I'm trying a short video to show how I'd explain this to my students.
So what did PBBM accomplish during his first 100 days? I make as comprehensive a list as I can gather. Read them here: (ps:I veer from Sen. Zubiri's list that includes a subway opening)
BBMs last sentence: “The State of the Nation is sound”. Which part? Economic? Political? Social? Moral? Physical? If these were sound, what was the last 73 minutes about?
#BBMSONA
#Sona2022
#BBM
PBBM arrived from Davos on Jan. 21. It is now Jan 31, and we the people still don’t know how much the Davos trip cost-for an official party of 18, transport, the accommodation, the food, and the other expenses like cost of entry to the Forum, the in-city transport costs if any.
I rejoiced when the SB denied Imelda and Aimee Marcos’s motion to return to them properties and accounts covered by a 30-year-old case which the SB had decided in favor of the Marcoses.I took the denial as an exceptional display of balls on the part of the SB. No such luck.
Good news! My Facebook page is up. Thank you for your patience. I understand my webpage had bugs as well so it’s going to be fixed before this Saturday. I’ll make an announcement see you!
That 433-winner lottery is certainly worth investigating. The odds of winning the 6/55 Lotto prize, according to Philippine Lotto, itself, are 1 in 28,989,675. The odds of being struck by lightning in a person’s 80-year lifetime are 1 in 15,300. That means we are 1,895 times
Senator Tulfo has the right of it in this argument. Senator Villlar, because of her family's real estate activities, should know more than most that when farm lands are “converted” the ones who benefit are the original owners of the land and not the farmers/workers. Shame on her.
A very conservative cost estimate of the Davos Trip is P65M.This assumes 18 delegates shared a room, and did not pay for meals or WEF membership fees needed before buying the P950,000 ticket. The benefit? 13 unnamed attendees. Worth it? Read the analysis:
I still don’t know what role Rep Sandro Marcos and Yedda Romualdez played in the Davos Debacle.Also,Sen.Mark Villar.Yet we paid for their travel and stay in Switzerland. What role did they play,and how much did WE spend? Let us demand an accounting of our hard-earned money.
What a joy to have had an intelligent, no-b-s conversation, with
@IanEsguerra
in his FactsFirst show. A breath of fresh air. We were in sync, Christian. I look forward to more of this — I as your guest, or you as mine.
Cruelty, Sadism, and Impunity behind the cancellation of our visit. What does it say about the PNP that they waited 3 weeks to disapprove without reason a two-hour birthday visit to de Lima, telling her 2 hours before her visitors arrived? Read more at
Why is there a news blackout on Sp. Martin Romualdez’ involvement in the Okada case? It was filed in the US, for heaven’s sake- Bloomberg and Japan Times picked it up,feat. Romuialdez and not in good way. But our major print/broadcast media orgs are quiet!
Faster than a speeding bullet. The numbers show how bad the Philippine justice system is compared to the region and the world. That is, except for the very few. Read more about our criminal justice index scores v. the Remulla III trial timeline here:
The data is in: more Filipinos are poor in 2021. Maybe no surprise during a pandemic. But did you know that there are many provinces and cities that DECREASED poverty during the pandemic? I'm crunching the numbers to find out which leaders did it better:
The Sandiganbayan had no choice but to deny the motion, because the decision on the original case is not yet final. It is still on appeal by the PCGG to the Supreme Court. We have to keep our eyes on the ball — that is, on the PCGG and the Supreme Court.
USVP Kamala Harris’ visit is meant to show "US commitment to the rule of law, human rights, and democracy”. So Kamala, pls show your support for Leila de Lima, whose 6-yr incarceration exemplifies Philippine distortion of rule of law, human rights violations, and autocratic rule.
BREAKING. US Vice President Kamala Harris arrives in Manila, marking her first vice-presidential trip to Washington’s oldest ally in Asia. | via
@bnzmagsambol
This is the way the government seems to be doing it. Claiming support where none exists. Knowing they cannot be contradicted. Hoping that invoking those names will deodorize the foul smell of the bill. Read more at:
The DA makes a volte face on importation in less than ten days. The Ombudsman arouses from sleep to investigate this importation and raises two new issues. Is this a new rubbers stamp? Read more at:
Hello, readers! I finally got COVID 19 for the first time-one of the last in the family. I’m grateful it’s not serious. But the rise in infections is real! Please be careful out there. Take precautions. Wear a mask (over the nose also for heavens sake) and wash hands. God bless
Golly. is down for violation of community standards. We're waiting for the appeal. Any suggestions in the meantime? (Salamat dear readers for the heads up!
@c_bibi
)
On Onions.1) PH has a comparative advantage in onions so we should be a net exporter? 2) the 2019 net returns per hectare of onions is P237,681 v in 2021 net return/cropping season for rice is P19,593? 2) the net profit cost ratio is 215% Read more:
So you didn’t have time to look up the papers I recommended last week. No problem. I was going to give it to you anyway, in a more “fun” form - a few facts and figures that tell a great story. Here are the Marcos Dictatorship years in numbers:
The proposed Maharlika Wealth Fund does not follow any criteria of creating a sovereign wealth fund, says UP professor emeritus and economist Winnie Monsod. She clarifies that a sovereign wealth fund comes from excess reserves which the country lacks as of now.
#ANCHeadstart
The efforts of the Marcos social media propaganda machine ...to revise Philippine history, are now being pursued and expanded enthusiastically by politicians who want to brown-nose the new administration or who have an axe to grind....Read "As I See It"
A blessed Sunday Morning! There are two must-reads on the so-called Golden Years of the Marcos dictatorship: One written during the dictatorship, and the other with 20-20 hindsight. Now as much as ever, knowledge is power. Read more at
@jcpunongbayan
Apologies in 4 tweets: Sorry, folks! but between reviewing my roughly 300 students for their first exam (I am anxious, too, that they do well), participating in a zoom meeting about the economy under the first Marcos,
Congratulations to BBM and economic team for 3rd quarter economic growth! But...there's bad news and uncomfortable news, and there are a lot of tough decisions to be made. Read more at
PBBM seems to think he was a successful DA Sec. Delusional? Growth in agriculture, fisheries and forestry (AFF) sectors show that he did A LOT WORSE than his last three predecessors, and that his AFF exports actually CONTRACTED. See the numbers at
“New Society” was the spoonful of sugar the dictator Marcos used to help his “Martial Law” medicine go down. It was a PR thing. Now Sara wants to do the same thing.
Vice President Sara Duterte denied that DepEd was "rebranding" the martial law period following reports that the military rule under former president Ferdinand Marcos, Sr. was being reintroduced as "Period of the New Society" in some schools.
READ:
This week I write on two issues: the stupidities surrounding the death of Mr. Crisanto Villamor, and the cupidity of the executive pork barrel, aka, confidential intelligence funds. Read more at On Mr. Villamor:
There are so many inaccurate economic claims behind the move towards charter change. Did you know that despite changing the 1935 Constitution allowing Americans to own land after WWII, they were still not investing? Read more at
The Comelec in the meantime has pointed out that the postponement would result in other expenditures = there would be no meaningful savings, in other words.
So why does Congress still want to postpone the barangay elections? Halatang halata naman, ‘di ba?
Are we really getting $63 billion in FDI from BBM trips?Hard to tell. Report discrepancies, a number that almost equals the total FDI of the ASEAN-5 in 2022, old pledges to Duterte, and non-binding commitments are part of that $63B. Read more at
Folks, pick up your phones, send text messages to your Congressmen and to the media that you are against such a scratch-my-back-and-I’ll-scratch-yours arrangement. Congress should not pass that bill.
With the postponement, the incumbent officials will have overstayed their term by 3 years and seven months. Their term was for 3 years, and now they will serve for 6 years and seven months.
EO 39 makes no sense. Why a Price Ceiling on rice? Why now? It has historically not worked and in fact made things worse. The reasons behind it don't exist. Read the breakdown at
Notice the difference between this coordinated deceitful arrest for alleged SSS violation re ex-kasambahay vs no arrests for billion peso fraud of PHILHEALTH or overpriced DEPED computers.Also wondering if PNP are making their kasambahay SSS payments
Cong. Salceda et al should stop citing the OECD FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index to prove that the Phils. should remove Constitutional foreign restrIctions. More recent studies show there are more important factors to FDI than equity.
#nochacha
(Sorry for the delayed article dear Readers. Internet.) The data here is fascinating. Look at the jump in our FDI in 2016 when the OECD deemed us even more restrictive than China. Read more here.
If you're interested in the analysis and cost of the DOT error (yes, not the private agency because DOT is the one accountable to the people), come read my blog As You Like It in full here:
They’re stalling again on
#FreeLeilaDeLima
. The DOJ is part of the justice system. Before it can “let the court decide” the DOJ must first act. Read more about the two-faces of the DOJ here:
I'm coming out of COVID quarantine with a twofer! These are the first two parts on What-They-Don't-Tell-You about our development. First? Filipino people now have less income than the people of either Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia or Vietnam (ASEAN-5).
more likely to to get hit by lightning in our lifetime than winning the lotto.The only other nat'l lottery that has had multiple-winners of that magnitude is Spain’s El Gordon. That is only a 5-number lottery. AND they know exactly how many duplicates a ticket number has. Do we?
Kudos to
#varsitarianust
- prime example of the power of youth seeking truth. They found that Sec. Laurel had never enrolled at UST, and from SEC his explicit claim to a UST bachelor’s degree. A lack a degree? Sure, it happens. Why the lie? Then deny that?
Readers, sincerest apologies. Holy Week, then family and health took over my April! I'm back online this May but moving forward, articles will come out at the start of the week. I hope last May 3’s look at Duterte v ICC will help keep us talking. Be safe!
To settle the controversy of whether PBBM knew about SO4, all he must do is tell the truth. But he remains silent. We are left with the findings of the Blue Ribbon Committee Majority v. the Minority. Which would you stand behind? Read more at
We're in the middle of another sugar import scandal. What does it mean? In short: we, the people, the consumers, pay for it. We already pay at least 80% more for sugar than in 2021. What will this new importing "arrangement" mean for us? Read more at:
and then traveling to check for property typhoon damage, my week’s been pretty busy. In other words, pardon the delay in putting out my blog! It comes out tomorrow, and is entitled “Pussyfooting Around the President”. It's about what Zubiri calls the Sugar Fiasco. But...
This week we are (re!)talking about the importance of Barangays as we approach our Barangay Assembly days and debate on Barangay elections. Read more at:
Is the Philippine Justice System really "competent, capable, and running"? Looks like our PSA doesn't say so, the World Justice Report doesn't say so, and our own government actually didn't say so. Read more at:
Good News: Phils. is up 5 ranks in World Justice Rule of Law index 2022. Bad News: Phils. scores are below both the regional and global average. Worst News: Phils. lowest scores are in criminal justice. Phil Navy case is the latest example. Read more at
For your Thursday lunchtime brain-bite: Here is my quick goodbye to EO 39s Rice Price Ceiling with a rundown on its unsurprising and disappointing effects:
2ndQ GDP Estimates highlights: 1) The 4.3% estimate is much lower than expected; 2) PH is no longer the best GDP Growth Performer in Asia Pacific; 3) Agriculture rates went from .22% to .16% 4) Investments lower than last year. Read about what they mean at
Fascinated by the judicial delays in this case. Read the 586 page decision, related cases, stats on court turnover, speedy trial act. Most of the accused have died, are still at large, or acquitted because the prosecutor put the wrong charges. No speedy trial stats from SC since
Then-Philippine Navy procurement officer and requisitioner Gilmer Batestil has been convicted by the anti-graft court Sandiganbayan of 20 counts of malversation of public funds and 16 counts of graft for these transactions.
READ:
When the OECD deemed Philippines more "restrictive" than China, our FDI was up. When China was most restrictive, their FDI was up. Our FDI seems to depend more on perceived corruption than on restrictiveness. Why make restrictiveness a reason for ChaCha?
SONA 2023 is coming up, and the comments will start flying since judging this President brings strong emotions. How can we be fair and objective about his performance? We can start by using his own criteria: the PDP 2023-2028. Go through it with me at
attending Synergia’s National Education Summit (I don’t know how Nene Guevara manages it! We now have 500 mayors advocating parental participation in reading programs and Local School Boards ❤️), going to Malarayat, Batangas for a despedida,
Busy weekends so deepest apologies for the late post! Will have to have Monday morning posts for the month of February. So much going on, hope to see more of you online!
Cong. Salceda et al should stop citing the OECD FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index to prove that the Phils. should remove Constitutional foreign restrIctions. More recent studies show there are more important factors to FDI than equity.
#nochacha
Did you know: Our average Rule of Law score in the World Justice Report is 97th out of 140. But in criminal justice scores only, we would be 132 out of 140. In all, our scores are lower than the world average AND the regional average.
As I See It
PBBM declared we are not rejoining the ICC. Was it ever in our national interest to join in the first place? Let former Sen. Miriam Defensor Santiago remind us of why the Philippines fought so hard to create it. It's As I See It at
MOA signed for a second Congressional think tank for an Evidence-based Research Project (a title and purpose full of redundancy) with reps from PIDS-the existing national think tank-to study the Dev’t Plan created by the gov’t. Wonder what it's really for.
Teves fears for the safety of his family. But he defends on two fronts: Congress and DOJ. So far, he has the right of it. Why not allow him to attend the hearings via Zoom? And the DOJ? No warrant yet, so no probable cause yet for his guilt Read more at
Hello Readers, long time! I've been studying and having some exciting discussions that I hope to distill on my blog. For now, see this fascinating study co-authored by Cristina Bonoan of UP Law on the effects of Supreme Court loyalties. See analysis here:
Here is another imagery to illustrate why we need the inconvenient truths or unpleasant facts that accompany good news. Think: joy of nearing your destination v. the "inconvenience" of knowing you are swerving towards an oncoming truck. Read more at:
The Senate approved our entry into the biggest regional trade agreement: RCEP. But we already have trade agreements with its members. Who really benefits? Was India right to back out of it? And how do get the most out of it? Read more at:
Did you know: In PSA's STATDEV 2021, 8 out of 13 targets for justice had a less than 50% probability of being achieved. And we had actually moved away from the targets instead of towards them.
As I See It
2nd: the Philippines has the most unequal distribution of income among the A-5. Yes our inequality decreased from 1997-2021 but see Malaysia and Thailand! 3rd: We have highest poverty headcount ratio. So read more about what these mean in As I See It:
2005, and none in appeals courts since 2015. These are some of the sources of the many overwhelming questions I have about delays in the justice system. I want to lay it all out best I can for you, readers. Maybe you can help fill in the gaps. Meanwhile, keep safe.