Putin's agreement to talks with Zelensky's reps is an abject surrender: by now the Russians should have been in control in Kiev and across the Ukraine with Zelensky dead or exiled. Frantic to divert attention, Putin has placed Russia’s nuclear forces on high alert. Meaning: zero
@ELuttwak
Correct! But problem is that russians will deliver message to Ukraine that Putin will nuke them and that he does not care what will happens afterwards
@ELuttwak
I'm kind of thinking a member of the Russian General Staff would pull out a Tokarev and do the predictable thing if Putin decided to go nuclear.
@ELuttwak
Let's be honest: russians avoided NATO/US doctrine of bombing for days destroing everything they can (mostly civilians) and then enter a ruined country. They put boots in the ground from day 0 and in 4 days they are getting the capital circled and disconnecting them from sea
@ELuttwak
Domande :questa è una guerra? Con i carri armati che si fermano davanti alle persone?senza nemmeno un bombardamento aereo? È una guerra? Chi è che mente? Chi è il guerrafondaio? Chi il pacifista? Chi ha ragione? Se può spiegarlo, grazie!
The people who know Putin the best -- people I know in Russia -- are worried about his recent nuclear statement. The people who know him the least are saying it's cheap talk.
@ELuttwak
🤔 mi sembra una visione estremamente di parte piuttosto che una considerazione igienicamente asettica (e quindi strategica)
Concordo peralto sul meaning di breve.
Parliamone dopo il 2 Marzo.
@ELuttwak
@TheWarMonitor
I think you GREATLY overestimate Russian military capabilities & under appreciate UKR resolve to repel this invasion. Kiev is a large city & it won’t easily be subdued by Russian forces.