Prudent poker player Putin who four times rose from the table with imperial gains (Abkhazia, S Ossetia, Crimea & this month, Belarus), is suddenly gambling recklessly at the roulette table by invading Europe's largest country with an army much too small for the task. Finis Putin
@ELuttwak
Rather try to topple the government and set up a client State. But it’s a good point: should 🇺🇦 army stand the test for just 1 week, international opposition might reach critical mass. Also resupplying troops will be a growing concern. Key: will Ukrainians withstand the push?
@ELuttwak
how'bout the 2014 maidan coup? in your judgement how did that gamble worked out, especially for the Ukrainians of course.. Lots of gamblers in Washington and Langley too I'm afraid