Erdogan must know that Turkey will never be able to extract any gas from Greek waters. But he gambles that others are more afraid of war than he is & thus provokes incidents for political gain. But he will die in jail if there is a clash because Turkey's navy is not combat-ready
@ELuttwak
@EEmerson14
Erdogan will push Turkey into military conflict, HAF will bomb S-400 solving the issue for NATO, a few TR ships will be lost to Greek subs, Erdogan will follow Gaddafi's fate and everyone will be happy.
@ELuttwak
@e_amyna
The moment Greeks realize that they will fight alone and Greece takes the political decision to do so erdogan is finished, the magnitude of the defeat will eliminate him , with or without his cronies.
@ELuttwak
Pay attention that some of your poitical/IR analysis tweets gather way more than your average number of mentions then you are hitting a fan base and this is basically wishful thinking
@ELuttwak
La cosa triste di tutta questa faccenda è che un paese dell’UE è palesemente minacciato da un paese non europeo e l’”Unione” non sta facendo e dicendo nulla. Che schifo.
@ELuttwak
Erdogan would not survive one hour in case of a war.Arabs israel and above all the EU would love the opportunity to teach him a lesson,strengthening the eu bond at minimum cost.Turks always surrender unless they outnumber the enemy at least 10-1,they would hang him themselves.