Yara’s mom; Senior Analyst, Gulf states
@CrisisGroup
; eyes on GCC states & foreign policies, Gulf regional security, & Red Sea/Horn of Africa. Views mine.
Major development, if true: “Iran's navy commander said his country and Saudi Arabia, as well as three other Gulf states, plan to form a naval alliance that will also include India and Pakistan, Iranian media reported on Saturday.”
MBS “has signalled he is prepared to go it alone without the help of the United States to pursue Saudi interests, whether it means re-establishing ties with U.S. adversaries like Iran, or removing supplies from the oil market and angering consumers.”
“At least five members of the Arab League, including Morocco, Kuwait, Qatar and Yemen, are refusing to readmit Syria into the group, the Arab officials say. Even Egypt…is pushing back, they added.”
@WSJ
Very excited to share that I have started a new position at
@CrisisGroup
as a Gulf analyst. I’ll still be based in Doha and will be covering the foreign policies of GCC countries. I’m honored and humbled to be working with such a wonderful team of people.
25 years after Crisis Group was founded, our mission has not changed.
We work to save the lives of those caught in the throes of violence through conflict prevention, mitigation, and resolution.
"A mission that is ever vital"
@EroComfort
.
In this new
@CrisisGroup
commentary we argue that Saudi Arabia is recalibrating its foreign policy & placing itself at the centre of high-stakes diplomacy & mediation but further changes must be made or it’s efforts are likely to hit a ceiling
Wash Institute poll w/ a sample size of 1,000 Saudis: “almost all (96%) agree with the proposal that ‘Arab countries should immediately break all diplomatic, political, economic, and any other contacts with Israel’”
#Gaza
#Saudi
The Iranian FM’s Gulf tour includes visits to Oman, Qatar, UAE, and Kuwait right after hosting the Saudi FM in Tehran. This is a clear sign that both sides of the Gulf are serious about bilateral rapprochement efforts and regional dialogue. A quick 🧵
A call between Qatar’s Emir Tamim and Ukraine’s President Zelensky, UAE’s President MbZ going to Russia, and Turkey’s Erdogan could discuss potential Russia-West talks with Putin this week. This all seems like mediation efforts not countries taking a particular side.
In this latest
@CrisisGroup
commentary, I argue that the nearly 4 year blockade of Qatar by rival Gulf powers is over, but fault lines among them remain. If gaps are not bridged, the competition could exacerbate conflicts & spark new ones.
#GCC
1) Qatar and the UAE will resume full diplomatic relations over two years after the signing of the Al Ula agreement in January 2021. This announcement shouldn't be a suprise, it comes after a long period of high-level dialogue and visits between the two..
My colleague Laure Foucher and I look at the limits to Israel-Gulf cooperation and their divergent strategies on dealing with Iran. For Gulf capitals, the Israeli ambitions for a Middle East NATO risks too much and offers too little. via
@crisisgroup
Omar Radi is one the kindest people I have ever had the honor of knowing and working with. He took so much time to teach my students in Morocco and to support their journalism projects as much as possible. He was really the bright light during their time in Morocco.
“Saudi Arabia will host a meeting of regional foreign ministers on Friday to discuss Syria's return to the Arab League, a Qatari official said on Tuesday, adding that an ‘Arab consensus’ plus a ‘change on the ground’ would shift Qatar's position.”
THREAD: 1/ Je veux exprimer ma totale solidarité avec
@OmarRadi
et dire qu’ayant travaillé avec lui sur des projets analysant l’économie et liés aux affaires et aux investissements au Maroc pour des sociétés de consulting, ces fausses accusations sont des tentatives effroyables..
Omar Radi is an incredible journalist and a wonderful person. He was sentenced to 6 years in prison for being an exceptional journalist & speaking truth to power in Morocco. My respect for him grows by the day. We will always support you Omar ❤️❤️
#JournalismIsNotACrime
#Morocco
“Saudi Arabia, the region’s biggest economy, recorded the fastest GDP growth in the world last year among major economies…The U.A.E. was just behind it at 7.6% and Qatar grew at 4.8%, its fastest rate in nearly a decade.”
يسعدني أن أعلن انضمامي الى مجموعة الازمات الدولية كمحللة لمنطقة الخليج العربي. سيكون مقري في الدوحة، و سوف أركز على السياسات الخارجية لدول مجلس التعاون الخليجي.
@ICG_Arabic
Finally watching the documentary Being Serena. It’s a must-see.
@serenawilliams
is truly the greatest athlete of all time. Also her love story with
@alexisohanian
is truly gorgeous 🥰🥰🥰
A must read from my colleague
@MairavZ
“With all eyes on Gaza, the West Bank is at its most combustible. Settlers have taken advantage of the situation by stepping up abuse of Palestinians in a calculated effort to seize control of more land.”
Qatar issues statement about the violence unfolding now in Israel and Gaza, calls for de-escalation and restraint on both sides, but also says that it holds Israel responsible for this escalation.
Great reporting from Riyadh by
@viviannereim
on what the China-brokered Saudi-Iran deal says about U.S policy and power projection in the region, with some thoughts from me.
@nytimes
In another positive sign of Saudi-Iran rapprochement, re: Saudi Arabia's evacuation of Iranian citizens from Sudan, Iran FM spokesman says "We have seen effective co-operation and assistance from Saudi Arabia that deserves appreciation and gratitude,"
“The United Arab Emirates is increasingly pursuing bilateral trade deals outside of the Saudi-headquartered regional Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), as competition with Riyadh intensifies for economic dominance in the oil-rich region.”
"While he described the restoring of ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran as 'good for the region', he called for greater inclusivity in the peace talks with the Houthis, which did not involve the Presidential Leadership Council or regional allies."
#Yemen
“We used to give direct grants and deposits without strings attached,” the Saudi finance minister, Mohammed al-Jadaan, said…“And we are changing that. We are working with multilateral institutions to actually say, ‘We need to see reforms.’”
#SaudiArabia
“Iran and Saudi Arabia have agreed to resume flights and bilateral visits of official and private sector delegations, in addition to issuing visas for citizens, according to a joint statement signed by the two countries on Thursday.”
In Brookings conference, Morocco FM Bourita says Iran and Hezbollah are in the Maghreb region, cooperating with the Polisario. I personally haven't seen any credible evidence for the Polisario-Hezbollah-Algeria link that Morocco has claimed since it broke ties with Iran in 2018.
Omar Radi turns 36 today. Another birthday he has to celebrate far from his family and friends. Another day spent in prison in Morocco for working as a journalist. We think of you everyday Omar and especially today. Happy Birthday, dear friend.
@OmarRADI
@oum_radi
@RADIDriss4
This is important to keep in mind and too often dismissed in discussions about Saudi-Israel normalization. Public opinion matters more to the calculations of leaders in the Gulf than many observers think.
Opinion polls have shown support plunging for the Abraham Accords in the Gulf. In the UAE and Bahrain respectively, according to the latest surveys, just 27% and 20% of respondents view them as positive for the region. That compares to 47% and 45% in 2020
A thread on Moroccan historian Maati Monjib: 1/ I started reading his work on Moroccan political history over ten years ago, and I was overwhelmed with joy when I finally got to meet him in Rabat. His work and his insights made me a better researcher, and most importantly...
Our latest look at the impacts of Saudi-Iranian Rapprochement on Middle East conflicts. My colleagues and I look at the consequences for Gulf Arab states, Iraq, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen
@CrisisGroup
In this Q&A
@DEsfandiary
and I look at the emerging rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran, as well as how China helped facilitate the deal
@CrisisGroup
"The forum would include Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait and Bahrain and is envisaged to continue its work beyond the UN General Assembly gathering, Amirabdollahian suggested."
#Iran
#gcc
via
@AJEnglish
Not sure what stopping “diplomatic coordination” means, but it’s extremely unlikely that the UAE would ever cut ties with Israel. Senior Emirati officials have criticized the war throughout, but they consistently emphasize the importance of the bilateral relationship with Israel
🔴UAE halts Diplomatic coordination with Israel following the killing of 7 World Central Kitchen humanitarian workers in
#Gaza
Official sources confirm the details to i24NEWS Senior Editor
@GuyAZ
Qatar’s PM/FM gave a rare live interview where he laid out Qatar’s positions on a range of domestic and foreign policy issues, and took the opportunity to reaffirm Qatar’s opposition to normalization with Assad and Syria’s return to the Arab League.
Interesting news re: US-Gulf maritime security cooperation: “As a result of our ongoing evaluation of effective security cooperation with all partners, two months ago, the UAE withdrew its participation in the Combined Maritime Forces,”
I spoke to
@viviannereim
@nytimes
about the growing Arab consensus in favor of normalization with Assad. Importantly, Gulf states Qatar and Kuwait, among other countries, still oppose the move, while Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Oman support it.
#Syria
Houthis: “Saudi Arabia must know that our relationship with Iran is not one of subordination…Resolving the Yemen issue [can only be achieved through negotiations] between Sanaa and Riyadh, and not Tehran and Riyadh”
“Riyadh’s refusal to jump on the Abraham Accords bandwagon was not merely a personal preference of King Salman, instead reflecting a longstanding and complicated Saudi foreign policy.” Great read by
@AzizAlghashian
#SaudiArabia
#Israel
.
@OmarRADI
taught and supported American university students in their understanding of Morocco. This is WHY US students want to visit and study in Morocco, to meet and learn from highly skilled journalists and activists. The Moroccan gov is now targeting him for this.
Disturbing images from a teachers protest in Rabat yesterday. Sadly, Morocco’s human rights violations continue to go unchallenged by international allies like the United States.
Short thread on this: 1/Iran’s line on the Saudi-Iran dialogue hasn’t changed & unfortunately suggests that not much progress will be made in these talks anytime soon, even if they do continue. Some dialogue is better than no dialogue yes, but…
Great piece by
@betuldoganakkas
on what Erdogan’s Gulf tour tells us about Türkiye-Gulf relations moving forward: “Erdogan’s Gulf Visit Heralds New Regional Approach”
Despite Saudi-Iran tensions & paused bilateral dialogue, reports say that Iran FM will attend 2nd Baghdad Conference Dec 20 in Amman; MBS and MBZ also likely to attend. This could be a small, but positive step for regional dialogue at a precarious moment
#SaudiArabia
#Iran
Saudi Tourism Authority: under its Frequently Asked Questions page stating “Are LGBT visitors welcome to visit Saudi Arabia?” The answer:“We don’t ask anyone to disclose personal details and never have. Everyone is welcome to visit our country.”
Was happy to contribute some brief thoughts on Saudi-China relations and Saudi Arabia’s decision to become an SCO dialogue partner in this
@ispionline
piece: The Middle East is SCOping out the “Asian Club”
“The Arab League has affirmed that the first Arab-Chinese summit, set to be hosted by Saudi Arabia in December, represents a milestone in the strategic partnership between Arab countries and China.”
“An upcoming test could be the result of ongoing negotiations in which [KSA] has requested US [tech] to enrich the uranium Riyadh possesses to produce and then sell fuel. Otherwise, Saudi officials have said they could look to China, Russia or France…”
Very excited to be joining
@GulfStatesInst
as a non-resident fellow! I’ll be focusing on foreign policy and great power competition in North Africa and the Mediterranean
An important point in this new
@WSJ
piece on potential Saudi-Israel normalization is that MBS "has given conflicting messages about his commitment to different audiences." via
@WSJ
“just to be blunt here, I think the reporting has left some people with the impression that the discussions are farther along and closer to some sense of certainty than they actually are," NSC spokesperson John Kirby said.
#SaudiArabia
#Israel
“United Arab Emirates' president Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan confirmed the Gulf state's commitment to relations with Israel in a call with prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu that discussed strengthening ties, UAE state media said on Tuesday.”
Large-scale protest movements have broken out this year in Hong Kong, Lebanon, Iraq, Chile, and Iran. Brookings scholars unpack the reasons for these protests and their possible outcomes.
A must-read from
@viviannereim
: After nearly 2 years since the signing of the Al Ula agreement, the World Cup in Qatar very much reflects the complicated, uneven, and uncertain intra-Gulf reconciliation processes taking place
#FifaWorldCup
Iran has agreed to halt covert weapons shipments to its Houthi allies in Yemen as part of a China-brokered deal to re-establish diplomatic relations with Saudi Arabia
Wow! “China had brokered a deal to restore relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia…The broader summit between Iran and the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council, which hasn’t previously been reported, is on track for later this year”