Across all ages, deaths in a private home were 22% higher than expected compared with 10% in hospitals, no excess deaths in care homes, and 12% fewer deaths than expected in hospices.
Deaths from cardiovascular causes in private homes were 27% higher than expected.
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Our new commentary published in
@LancetRH_Europe
discusses the ongoing excess deaths in the UK, and for the first time provides granular analysis by age, place and cause.
Excess deaths now highest for middle-aged adults, driven by cardiovascular causes.
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Excess deaths arise directly and indirectly from the Covid pandemic. This includes:
- increased pressure on NHS urgent care services, resulting in poorer patient outcomes
- direct effects of Covid-19 infection
- disruption to chronic disease prevention, detection and management.
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Newly published data from
@OHID
shows that, from June 2022 to June 2023, excess deaths were highest for ages 50-64, at 15% above normal.
In comparison, excess deaths were 11% higher than expected for under 25s and 25-49s, and were 9% higher for over 65s.
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For ages 50-64, deaths involving cardiovascular diseases such as heart disease and stroke were 33% higher than expected.
Other causes with significant excess deaths at ages 50-64 were acute respiratory infections (43% excess) and diabetes (35% excess).
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Previous analysis by
@ONS
and the
@actuarynews
CMI found over 7% more deaths in 2022 compared to expectations, with the trend persisting into 2023.
We go further by providing a granular breakdown of cause, place and age group to inform prevention and disease management efforts.
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The lead author is my
@LCP_Actuaries
colleague
@pearsonstuttard
. Our co-authors include
@SarahCaul_ONS
, John Newton from
@OHID
and Emily Whamond from
@DHSCgovuk
.
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For those who have queried it, when we talk about the "direct effects of Covid-19 infection" we refer to both acute Covid-19 illness and to elevated cardiovascular risk post-infection (which is now well established).
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@ActuaryByDay
I mean this is just massive. People exercise, eat healthily, take statins - and then do nothing other than vaccines to reduce their risk from covid.
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