@TonyHinton2016 @abirballan @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS Using such a broad age group (10-59) is highly misleading. Most of the unvaccinated people are young. Most of the vaccinated people are older. Since death rates increase sharply with age the protective effect of the vaccines can’t be seen here. This chart is deception! Tweet added by stuart mcdonald @ActuaryByDay

stuart mcdonald

3 years

@TonyHinton2016 @abirballan @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS Using such a broad age group (10-59) is highly misleading. Most of the unvaccinated people are young. Most of the vaccinated people are older. Since death rates increase sharply with age the protective effect of the vaccines can’t be seen here. This chart is deception!

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Dr Anthony Hinton

@TonyHinton2016

3 years

Thanks to @abirballan orange line= vaccinated 10-59 y old blue line= unvaccinated 10-59 y old Orange line is ABOVE blue line => MORE deaths in vaccinated than unvaccinated? Is the right policy to vaccinate low-risk populations? ANY explanation @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS ???

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Abir Ballan

@abirballan

3 years

@ActuaryByDay @TonyHinton2016 @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS Unfortunately, that’s the only data the government is making available. If you can get us a more detailed age breakdown, that would be great.

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stuart mcdonald

@ActuaryByDay

3 years

@abirballan @TonyHinton2016 @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS Here you go - confirmation of what is going on and confirmation that a more detailed age breakdown will be provided next time to prevent misunderstandings.

stuart mcdonald

@ActuaryByDay

3 years

For those who prefer blogs to threads, I’ve written this up here. One important update: ONS confirmed this morning that my explanation is correct and they will use more detailed age groups in the next release (as well as weekly age-adjusted figures). 👍🏻

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Mark

@mellowmark

3 years

@ActuaryByDay @TonyHinton2016 @abirballan @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS

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Michael George

@Mike_aka_Logiqx

3 years

@ActuaryByDay @TonyHinton2016 @abirballan @CMO_England @sajidjavid @ONS I decided to have a quick look at the actual numbers. - vaccinated (2 jabs) > 40 y/o - unvaccinated < 24 y/o Standard UK mortality rates of a 40 y/o are typically 3-4 times higher than a 24 y/o. The chart only shows that mortality rates increase with age, nothing insightful.

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